Jul 24, 2025; Washington, D.C., USA; Taylor Fritz (USA) reacts after winning a point against Matteo Arnaldi (ITA)(not pictured) in a men's singles match on day four of the Mubadala Citi DC Open at Rock Creek Park Tennis Center.

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Taylor Fritz vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for ATP Citi DC Open 2025 Quarterfinal

Fourth meeting between Fritz and Fokina in 2025.

Top seed Taylor Fritz has made a ruthless start to his home season, and will look to prolong the dominance against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina on Friday night. The World No. 4 is set to face the Spanish sensation in a high stakes quarterfinal at the 2025 Mubadala Citi DC Open in Washington. Continue reading as we delve deeper into this match-up, and also look at the BetMGM odds ahead of the last eight bout.

After an impeccable grass court campaign that saw him put up a 13-2 win-loss record, Taylor Fritz has started the North American swing where he left off. With straight set wins over Vukic and Arnaldi so far, the 27-year-old has eased into the quarterfinals. Apart from his two titles at Stuttgart and Eastbourne, Fritz also made the semis at the Miami Masters. The American powerhouse has won 92% points on first serve at DC this year, and will be keen to build on his 32-12 season.

Top seed and world #4 Taylor Fritz beats Matteo Arnaldi 6-3, 6-4 to reach the QFs in Washington for the 2nd time. Didn't get broken again and lost just three (!) 1st serve points all match.

Playing VERY well.

62nd ATP QF for Fritz
7th in 2025 pic.twitter.com/h3nzhhUvU3
— José Morgado (@josemorgado) July 25, 2025

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will be facing Fritz for the third time in his last four tournaments. The Spaniard is yet to taste championship success in 2025. The 26-year-old has fallen agonisingly short in poignant fashion, losing in the final at Delray Beach and Acapulco. He is currently on a 30-17 run this year, and defeated Munar and Tien en route to the quarterfinals. With the US Open just around the corner, a solid outing could ensure a maiden Top-20 entry for the Spaniard.

6 – Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has reached the quarterfinals of six ATP-level events in 2025, equalling his most QF appearances during a single season in his career (6 – 2023). Progress. #MubadalaDCCitiOpen | @mubadalacitidc @ATP pic.twitter.com/1FG8tkwt8u
— OptaAce (@OptaAce) July 24, 2025

Taylor Fritz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Head to Head Record

The head-to-head record between Taylor Fritz and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is tied at 3-3. They have faced each other thrice in 2025, ahead of the Washington QF.

Davidovich Fokina got the better of Fritz in their first two meetings – on the clay courts of Estoril and Monte Carlo. But when they moved to the other surfaces, the American won three out of the next four clashes. More recently, Fritz and Fokina met in back-to-back events at Eastbourne and Wimbledon, wherein the World No. 4 emerged triumphant in two tightly contested match-ups.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025 Wimbledon	Round of 32	Taylor Fritz	6-4 6-3 6-7(5) 6-1
2025 Eastbourne	Semifinal	Taylor Fritz	6-3 3-6 6-1
2025 Delray Beach	Quarterfinal	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	7-6(4) 7-6(5)
2022 Paris Masters	Round of 64	Taylor Fritz	7-5 6-2
2022 Monte Carlo	Quarterfinal	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2-6 6-4 6-3
2019 Estoril	Round of 32	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	7-6(3) 6-4

Taylor Fritz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Career Comparison

Taylor Fritz	Category	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0	Grand Slams	0
10	ATP Singles Titles	0
0	ATP Doubles Titles	1
1	Masters-1000 Titles	0
R3 (Paris 2024)	Olympics Best Performance	R3 (Tokyo 2020)
No. 4	Current World Ranking	No. 26

Taylor Fritz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Citi DC Open 2025 Prediction

Having won the last two clashes against Fokina, it wouldn’t be wise to expect something drastically different on Friday. Fritz is looking in fine form, and his strong first serve percentage makes him practically unplayable. While the Spaniard will test Fritz’s movement and use his low centre of gravity to his advantage, the American is likely to pull this off in straight sets.

Prediction: Taylor Fritz in straight sets.

Taylor Fritz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Citi DC Open 2025 Betting Odds

Fritz will start this match as the betting favourite against underdog Davidovich Fokina. The money line suggests a dominant 78% chance for the No. 1 seed to enter the semifinals over the weekend. Here are the odds for the match result, as well as the in-match specifications (as per BetMGM):

Taylor Fritz Win: 7/25
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Win: 11/4

Total Games By Fritz >12.5: 3/5
Total Games By Fokina >10.5: 17/20
Fritz to Win 2-0: 3/4
Total Games in Set-1 and Set-2 >9.5: 7/10

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Geoff Burke, Imagn Images)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

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Betting

Citi DC Open 2025

Taylor Fritz

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Wimbledon

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.