Aug 18, 2022; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Taylor Fritz (USA) and Andrey Rublev (RUS) at the net after their match at the Western & Southern Open at the at the Lindner Family Tennis Center.

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Taylor Fritz vs. Andrey Rublev Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for ATP National Bank Open 2025 Quarterfinal

Winner to face Shelton or De Minaur in the SF.

Aug 18, 2022; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Taylor Fritz (USA) and Andrey Rublev (RUS) at the net after their match at the Western & Southern Open at the at the Lindner Family Tennis Center.

World No. 4 Taylor Fritz battles last year’s runner-up Andrey Rublev in the 2025 National Bank Open quarterfinal on Tuesday. The duo shares a long-standing history and rivalry, dating back to 2018. While the American held his nerve to reach this stage in thrilling fashion, Rublev was taken to three sets but came out relatively unscathed. Keep reading as we break down this Fritz-Rublev match-up, and also explore the BetMGM best odds for the Toronto Masters.

The battle between Fritz and Rublev will be a strong contest of two scintillating forehands. The 27-year-old American got into the thick of things only during the grass court campaign. A Miami Open semifinal happened to be his only noteworthy outing, until he captured two trophies in Stuttgart and Eastbourne. This was followed by a Wimbledon semifinal, and consecutive QFs in Washington and Toronto. The second seed is ranked within the Top-10 in terms of hard court break points converted (nearly 44%).

Taylor Fritz is the first American man to reach the quarter-final of EVERY Masters 1000 event! 🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/iObpNS0Iaa
— TNT Sports (@tntsports) August 4, 2025

After a shocking first round exit at the Australian Open, Rublev refocused to win the championship in Doha, Qatar. The Russian then struggled throughout the European red dirt season, before making the final in Hamburg. With the momentum and rankings slipping out of his grasp, Rublev managed to enter the Wimbledon pre-quarterfinals as well as the last four in Los Cabos. The No. 6 seed is currently 26-17 in 2025, and 11-8 on hard courts.

Andrey advances 🔥

After two tight tiebreaks and Rublev holding a 3-0 lead in the third, Davidovich Fokina is forced to retire…@NBOtoronto | #NBO25 pic.twitter.com/xWXOzpoBoj
— ATP Tour (@atptour) August 3, 2025

Taylor Fritz vs Andrey Rublev Head to Head Record

Fritz currently has a narrow 5-4 edge in the head-to-head against Rublev. However, the Russian has a chance to even the odds in Tuesday’s last eight clash. The two players have neither met at a Grand Slam, nor in a final. In Toronto, they will square off for the 7th time in 10 matches at the Masters-1000 level.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2024 Madrid	Semifinal	Andrey Rublev	6-4 6-3
2023 Laver Cup	Round Robin	Taylor Fritz	6-2 7-6(3)
2023 Monte Carlo	Semifinal	Andrey Rublev	5-7 6-1 6-3
2022 Cincinnati	Round of 16	Taylor Fritz	6-7(4) 6-2 7-5
2022 Indian Wells	Semifinal	Taylor Fritz	7-5 6-4
2021 Paris Bercy	Round of 32	Taylor Fritz	7-5 7-6(2)
2021 Dubai	Round of 16	Andrey Rublev	6-3 6-1
2018 Next Gen Finals	Round Robin	Andrey Rublev	4-2 1-4 3-4(4) 4-3(2) 4-2
2018 Indian Wells	Round of 64	Taylor Fritz	6-4 7-6(4)

Taylor Fritz vs Andrey Rublev Career Comparison

Taylor Fritz	Category	Andrey Rublev
0	Grand Slams	0
10	ATP Singles Titles	17
0	ATP Doubles Titles	4
1	Masters-1000 Titles	2
R3 (Paris 2024)	Olympics Best Performance	R1 (Tokyo 2020)
No. 4	Current World Ranking	No. 11

Taylor Fritz vs Andrey Rublev ATP National Bank Open 2025 Prediction

The match is likely to be decided by whether or not Rublev can neutralise the Fritz serve often enough. The American powerhouse is likely to be partially fatigued from his Round of 16, and may opt for off-pace kick serves to throw the Russian off his rhythm. On the other hand, Rublev might target the cross-court exchanges to stay away from the Fritz backhand.

Prediction: Andrey Rublev in three sets.

Taylor Fritz vs Andrey Rublev ATP National Bank Open 2025 Betting Odds

Taylor Fritz has been given favourable odds to beat Andrey Rublev in the National Bank Open 2025 QF. According to the pre-match probability on the money line, Fritz has a 68% chance of advancing to the last four. Here’s all you need to know about what BetMGM is predicting:

Taylor Fritz Win: 4/9
Andrey Rublev Win: 17/10

Total Games >24.5: 22/25
Total Sets >2.5: 6/5
Rublev +1.5 (Set Handicap): 4/7
Fritz to Win 2-1: 5/3
Fritz to Win 1st Set By 6-3: 3/1

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Susan Mullane, Imagn Images)

Alex de Minaur

Andrey Rublev

ATP

Ben Shelton

Betting

National Bank Open 2025

Taylor Fritz

Tennis

US Open

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.