Spain head into their final Group E qualifier against Turkey knowing that a draw or even a modest defeat would still likely secure them a place at the 2026 World Cup, thanks to their superior goal difference. They have a good lead at the summit and are boasting a flawless qualifying campaign.
This makes them strong favourites in this home clash. Turkey, meanwhile, must pull off a remarkable result in Seville if they are to leapfrog Spain. Sitting three points behind, they realistically need a large win to challenge for top spot and avoid heading into the playoffs.
🎙️ "We approach this match with great responsibility. We are the best in the world and we want to remain so, to keep winning and bringing joy to our fans."
— Spanish Football (@SpainIsFootball) November 17, 2025
➡️ "Our players want more."
🗣️ Luis de la Fuente, head coach.#VamosEspaña | #FIFAWorldCup pic.twitter.com/wKDNPNCCLR
| Bets | Status | Moneyline |
| Total Goals | Over 3.5 | +105 |
| Total Shots on Target | Over 10.5 | -118 |
| Total Corners | Under 8.5 | -102 |
| Spain Goalkeeper Saves | Over 2.5 | +180 |
| Turkey Goalkeeper Saves | Over 5.5 | +125 |
La Roja have been imperious in qualifying: five wins from five and five clean sheets, scoring 19 goals so far. In their latest outing, they battered Georgia 4–0, breaking a national record for consecutive competitive matches without defeat. In that game, Mikel Oyarzabal netted twice (on his 50th cap), while Martin Zubimendi and Ferran Torres also found the net. Squad-wise, Real Madrid’s Dean Huijsen remains doubtful due to a groin issue, and De la Fuente could freshen things up up front with Yeremy Pino.
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Turkey arrive in Spain after securing a second-place finish in the group, but their path to automatic qualification is far from straightforward. They claimed a narrow 2–0 win against Bulgaria in their last game, while missing Fenerbahçe’s İsmail Yüksek due to suspension. Key defensive figures Kaan Ayhan, Abdulkerim Bardakçı, and Kerem Aktürkoğlu are all managing fitness concerns, which could limit Montella’s options for this crucial trip.
Spain have looked inexorable in this qualifying cycle, showing both attacking firepower and defensive solidity. They hammered Georgia 4-0 in their most recent match, extending their record to five straight shutouts. Meanwhile, in a previous meeting with Turkey in this campaign, they destroyed them 6-0 on the road. These numbers support the idea that Spain could dominate again, with a strong possibility of racking up multiple goals. Backing over 3.5 goals at +105 makes sense. A 4-0 win wouldn’t be outlandish given their current momentum.
Ferran Torres has been a reliable attacking outlet for Spain, and he played a crucial role in their 4-0 win over Georgia, demonstrating his sharpness in key moments. In addition, during their 6-0 demolition of Turkey, Torres was directly involved, showing he can thrive against this opposition. Considering his tendency to find space on the break and finish clinically, betting on Torres to score at any point looks like a solid play at -110.
Oyarzabal has been a standout for Spain throughout qualifying. In the 4-0 win over Georgia, he converted from the penalty spot and later headed in a second goal. Moreover, his involvement is not limited to scoring. He is influential in build-up play and has assisted for his teammates, exemplified in other matches such as the 6-0 rout of Turkey where he set up Merino. Given his consistent influence, the bet on him scoring or assisting anytime at -210 is backed by his pivotal role in this Spain side.
| Picks | Moneyline |
| Ferran Torres to score first | +370 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal to score anytime | -115 |
| Yeremy Pino to assist anytime | +135 |
| Fabian Ruiz to either score or assist | +115 |
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Spain have dominated Turkey this qualifying campaign, including a resounding 6-0 away win earlier this year. They’ve won all five of their group matches to date without conceding, and Turkey enter this game with defensive vulnerabilities and injuries limiting their squad.
Combined with the fact that Turkey must chase an unlikely large win to topple Spain, a 4-0 home win for La Roja appears a very realistic outcome. It’s a result that would likely seal their World Cup place without drama.
The Spain vs Turkey UEFA World Cup qualifiers clash is on November 18, 2025, at La Cartuja Stadium, Seville, Spain.
Spain are favorites to win with a moneyline at -375, to draw at +525 and for Turkey to win at +900.
Ferran Torres to score anytime: +105
Yeremy Pino to assist anytime: +270
Mikel Oyarzabal to either score or assist: -143
soccer Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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