Comprehensive Look at the Over/Under Betting Odds for the Spain vs France UEFA Nations League Semi-Final.
Two European heavyweights meet in a blockbuster UEFA Nations League semifinal on Thursday evening as Spain take on France in Stuttgart, with a place in the final on the line. Both nations are stacked with attacking talent and have been prolific en route to the Final Four.
Both sides took dramatic routes to reach the last four. Spain edged the Netherlands in a thrilling quarter-final tie, winning the penalty shootout 5-4 after a 3-3 aggregate draw. France, meanwhile, pulled off a stunning comeback against Croatia, rallying from 2-0 down to force extra time and then prevailing on penalties.
↪️ Outside-of-the-boot assist from Lamine Yamal.
— Spanish Football (@SpainIsFootball) June 4, 2025
⚽️ Volleyed finish by @mikelmerino1.
🤷🏻♂️ Was anyone ever in any doubt as to how this move would finish?#VamosEspaña | #NationsLeague pic.twitter.com/y7dl11sxfK
Fans can expect goals, drama, and fireworks with the stats and betting markets pointing to a thrilling contest. Here’s a breakdown of the key Over/Under odds and why this clash between La Roja and Les Bleus could be one for the ages:
Also Read: Spain vs France Nations League Semifinal – Team News, Match Preview and Predicted Line-Ups
Pick: Over 2.5 Goals at +110
Both Spain and France have averaged over two goals per match in the tournament so far. Spain have netted 13 goals in six games, while France have found the back of the net 12 times. With elite attacking names like Alvaro Morata, Lamine Yamal, Nico Williams, Kylian Mbappe, and Dembele on the pitch, there’s enough firepower to comfortably hit the over line here.
Pick: Over 25.5 Shots at -120
Pick: Over 8.5 Shots on Target at -155
Given the attacking depth and direct playing styles of both teams, a flurry of shots is expected in this final. Spain’s aggressive wing play and France’s high-tempo forward line means there will be sustained pressure on both defences. This could result in plenty of shoooting chances. The likes of Dembele, Mbappe and Yamal are not afraid to pull the trigger from distance and midfield creators like Pedri, Olmo and Rabiot will only fuel those opportunities.
Pick: Over 9.5 Corners at Evens
France average 9.17 total corners per game (5.17 for, 4.0 against).Meanwhile, Spain have generated 36 corners in 6 games, averaging 6+ per match. Both sides thrive on creating chances from wide positions and with explosive wingers in both teams, expect several opportunities that could lead to corner kicks. The possibility of attacks from out wide is expected to boost the corner count in this semi-final.
Pick: Over 4.5 Cards at -110
English referee Michael Oliver takes charge of the semifinal. With an average of 4.55 cards per game, and considering the high stakes of a Nations League semifinal, the cards are likely to flow. Add in the situational gameplay of big-name attackers running at defenders, which will most likely result in tactical fouls. This pick looks strong, especially in a match of such magnitude.
Odds via BetMGM.
Teams | Moneyline | Total Goals |
Spain | Win: +130 Draw: +230 | Over 2.5: -110 Under 2.5: -120 |
France | Win: +210 Draw: +230 | Over 3.5: +220 Under 3.5: -325 |
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