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New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons Predictions, Odds, and Best Bets for Week 9 NFL 2025-26 Season

Eric Divakaran
American Football / NFL
02/11/2025 – 19:00
New England Patriots
VS
19:00
02/11/2025
Atlanta Falcons
Odds updated on November 1, 2025 at 12:26 pm

The New England Patriots are set to host the Atlanta Falcons for their Week 9 matchup on Sunday. The Patriots with a 6-2 record, and a 5-game winning streak, have been a force to reckon with this season, and it is time to consider them a championship level team. Drake Maye, in his second season, has shown drastic improvement, and has already thrown beyond 2,000 yards, along with 15 TDs, on only 3 INTs, and on an insane efficiency of 75.2 % pass completion rate. They are currently leading the AFC East, and have taken over the league by storm.

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Meanwhile, the Atlanta Falcons are 3-4 for the season, and are one a two-game losing streak after grabbing an impressive win against the Buffalo Bills. They have struggled to win consistently, even with their RB Bijan Robinson having a great season statistically. They recently lost to the Miami Dolphins in an embarrassing fashion, and we cannot say if they are a playoff contending team just yet.

Recommended Bets and Updated Odds

Recommended BetsFanduelBetMGM
Bijan Robinson Anytime TD scorer-135-130
TreVeyon Henderson anytime TD scorer-115-105
Hunter Henry under 15.5 longest reception-112-105
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Rationale and Analysis

Bijan Robinson is having a great season, and has been a dual-threat running back, running with the football and also catching passes. He’s over 500 rushing yards this season and has two TDs on the ground and 2 through the air. He has been Atlanta’s light, to what has been a disappointing season so far, and looking at the Patriots’ passing defense ranking 23rd, Robinson can certainly score at any given moment.

TreVeyon is a threat to score at any time as he has the big-play potential, the Falcons have shown vulnerabilities at times, against the rushing game as they rank 19th, and we expect the Patriots to go right to their RB to help them score.

The Falcons have had their share of ups and downs this season, and one thing they have definitely improve on, is their pass defense. The Falcons allow fewest passing yards in the league and to make a big play, like a long reception through the air, simply sounds too much of a challenging bet than realistic. Atlanta’s No.1 ranked pass defense is just too much to overcome from any team, to make a huge reception. Therefore, making this a safe bet.

Patriots vs Falcons Prediction

We expect the Patriots to beat the Falcons, as Atlanta is on a two-game losing streak, with their most recent one coming against the Miami Dolphins. The Falcons are simply too unpredictable to trust them night in and out, while the Patriots are on a 5-game winning streak, willing their way through teams.

Prediction: Patriots win the game 24-20

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Week 9 Patriots vs Falcons Spread and Betting Odds

Looking at the spread and the moneyline, the Patriots are the favorites to beat the Falcons, as per BetMGM

TeamsSpreadTotal PointsMoneyline
Falcons+5.5 (-110)45 (-110)+190
Patriots -5.5 (-110)45 (-110)-235
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Patriots vs Falcons Best Bets

Here are some of the best player bets and over/under odds for the New England Patriots and the Atlanta Falcons, as per BetMGM.

New England Patriots Over/Under Odds

Listed below are over/under odds for the New England Patriots, as per BetMGM.

Over/Under BetsOverUnder
Stefon Diggs receiving yards 52.5 (-118)52.5 (-115)
TreVeyon Henderson rushing yards55.5 (-115)55.5 (-115)
Drake Maye passing yards 229.5 (-115)229.5 (-115)

New England Patriots Best Player Bets

Here are some of the best player bets for the New England Patriots, as per BetMGM

  • TreVeyon Henderson anytime TD scorer: -105
  • Drake Maye over 1.5 passing TD: -160
  • Stefon Diggs over 4.5 receptions made: -145

Atlanta Falcons Over/Under Odds

Below listed are over/under odds for the Atlanta Falcons, as per BetMGM

Over/Under BetsOverUnder
Drake London receiving yards63.5 (-110)63.5 (-118)
Bijan Robinson rushing yards 64.5 (-115)64.5 (-115)
Michael Penix Jr. passing yards221.5 (-115)221.5 (-115)

Atlanta Falcons Best Player Bets

Here are some of the best player bets for the Atlanta Falcons, as per BetMGM

  • Kyle Pitts under 4.5 receptions made: -160
  • Bijan Robinson anytime TD scorer: -130
  • Michael Penix Jr. under 1.5 passing TD: -165
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(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

FAQs

Who is favored to win between the Patriots vs Falcons?
The Patriots are -5.5 point favorites to win the matchup against Falcons.

What is the over/under total for the game?
The over/under for total points is set at 45.

What is the predicted score for the Patriots vs Falcons game?
We expect the Patriots to take down the Falcons in a close battle, and the Final score to be 24-20.

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I cover the National Football League and things cannot get better than that. I always dreamed to play football or basketball professionally since I’m built like a Running Back. But now that I can’t, since I’m technically in the “Unc” age, I thought why not pick a career in sports industry? So here I am, doing what I love, and hoping that the Commanders win the Super Bowl. I give love to players when it’s due, but can be critical about their performances at the same time. Enough about me, now let my articles do all the talking. 

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