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NFL Conference Championship Round Underdog Picks and ATS Best Bets

Eric Divakaran

The NFL Conference Championship round marks the thrilling culmination of the playoffs, with just four teams remaining after the grueling Wild Card and Divisional rounds. These high-stakes matchups pit the top survivors of the AFC and NFC against each other, determining who advances to Super Bowl LX.

Following weeks of intense battles, dramatic comebacks, and defensive showcases, the remaining squads now face their toughest tests yet. One final victory in each conference earns a trip to the biggest stage in sports, setting the stage for an epic showdown on Championship Sunday.

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With that said, it is now time to look at the top underdog picks and ATS best bets ahead of exciting Conference Championship round matchups coming up this weekend.

Our Top NFL Underdog ATS Picks for the 2025-26 Conference Championship Round

Here is a list of our top ATS underdog picks (Sourced via BetMGM).

  • Los Angeles Rams (+3) vs Seattle Seahawks
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Los Angeles Rams (+3) vs Seattle Seahawks

Line: Rams +3 with (-118) odd at BetMGM

The Los Angeles Rams enter the NFC Championship as +3 underdogs against the Seattle Seahawks, with -118 odds at BetMGM reflecting sharp money on the road team. Despite the odds favoring Seattle, the Rams’ offensive firepower makes them a compelling upset pick. Led by MVP frontrunner Matthew Stafford, who boasts pinpoint accuracy and clutch performance, the Rams feature elite weapons like Puka Nacua’s route-running wizardry and Davante Adams’ red-zone dominance. This trio can exploit mismatches in high-stakes games, turning underdog status into opportunity.

Seattle’s defense is a juggernaut with few flaws: No. 1 in scoring defense, allowing just 17.2 points per game, and top-5 in red-zone efficiency, stifling drives. They’re elite against the run (3rd ranked), forcing opponents into predictable passing situations. However, their pass defense ranks 10th- a relative weakness compared to other categories, potentially vulnerable to Stafford’s arm talent and the Rams’ quick-strike plays.

On offense, the Seahawks are equally formidable, blending balance and explosiveness. Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s breakout season as a slot weapon complements Kenneth Walker III’s bruising runs- he torched the 49ers for 116 yards and 3 TDs in the Divisional round- while Zach Charbonnet adds depth. Sam Darnold’s steady play under Mike Macdonald’s genius scheming has elevated Seattle into a complete unit.

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Yet, the Rams’ pass defense (19th-ranked) is a glaring hole, susceptible to Darnold’s precision. Still, in this rivalry rematch, the +3 line offers value: Rams’ playoff road warrior mentality, Stafford’s experience in hostile environments like Lumen Field, and their history of covering as dogs make them a smart bet. An upset potential looms large as the Rams won the Super Bowl in 2021 and know what it takes to win it all.

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

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I cover the National Football League and things cannot get better than that. I always dreamed to play football or basketball professionally since I’m built like a Running Back. But now that I can’t, since I’m technically in the “Unc” age, I thought why not pick a career in sports industry? So here I am, doing what I love, and hoping that the Commanders win the Super Bowl. I give love to players when it’s due, but can be critical about their performances at the same time. Enough about me, now let my articles do all the talking. 

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