The Chicago Bears finished the 2025-26 season with an impressive 11-6 record, clinching the NFC North title and securing a first-round bye in the playoffs, their best mark since 2018. Under head coach Ben Johnson and with Caleb Williams, in his second year, led a top-10 offense with over 4,000 passing yards and dynamic play from DJ Moore and Rome Odunze, while the defense showed marked improvement.
Though they exited early in the divisional round, the season marked a clear shift from rebuild to contender status. With young talent maturing and strategic offseason moves, Bears fans have legitimate hope for sustained success and deeper playoff runs in 2026-27.
The Bears finished their season with a 11-6 record, clinching the NFC North division over their rivals the Lions, Packers, and the Vikings. Nobody expected a Bears team with a new head coach in Ben Johnson to go as far as the divisional round, but their one season turnaround was truly remarkable. Teams that dominated in the recent years at NFC North, experienced drop off seasons (Lions, Vikings), which ultimately contributed to the meteoric rise of the Bears.
The Bears were one of the most exciting teams to watch last season, due to their potent offense, which helped them win multiple close games. BetMGM lists the Bears’ 2026 win total at under 9.5 games as the favored bet, given that they have the hardest schedule coming up in the upcoming regular season.
Listed below is the table that shows the Over/Under for the Bears’ total wins in the upcoming regular season.
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The Chicago Bears’ 2025-26 season marked a dramatic turnaround, finishing 11-6 and clinching the NFC North under new head coach Ben Johnson, whose hiring immediately instilled a resilient culture of grit and innovation. Caleb Williams blossomed in his second year, overcoming a rough rookie start plagued by injuries and inconsistencies to throw for over 4,000 yards and lead the NFL with seven fourth-quarter comebacks. This tenacity propelled the team from perennial underdogs to legitimate contenders, building an identity around clutch performances and a balanced offense that won multiple close games in dramatic fashion.
Bears fans should remain excited and optimistic, yet cautiously grounded for the 2026-27 season. With WIlliams’ growth and Johnson’s schemes solidified, the team could push for Super Bowl contention if they address some of their issues they have on the defensive side of the field. However, sustaining health and avoiding regression in a tough NFC North will be key, as overconfidence could backfire amid high expectations.
Let us take a look at the Bears opponents for the 2026-27 season;
The Bears have the hardest schedule with a strength of schedule of .550, ranking 1st amongst all 32 teams in the NFL. They will face 7 teams that played in the postseason in 2025-26, and only three or four games that could be considered comparatively easy. While their offense was steady all season long, their defense is a concern going into the new season, and they will have to find a fix through the draft or free agency this offseason.
That said, the Bears have a tough road ahead of them, but are capable to knock off any team in any given night. However, they will be going against multiple teams that have championship pedigree, and will need to improve by adding the right pieces in the offseason.
Early Prediction: Bears finish the 2026-27 season with a 10-7 record.
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The Chicago Bears were moderately affected by injuries during the 2025-26 season. According to RotoWire’s analysis of the most injured NFL teams, the Bears ranked 14th with 17 players injured, resulting in 202 man-games missed (average 11.88 per player). This placed them in the middle of the pack, not among the league’s worst-hit teams like Detroit (2nd) or others with 250+ man-games lost.
While the Bears managed a strong 11-6 record and NFC North title, the injury toll contributed to some inconsistency, particularly in depth roles. However, key contributed like Caleb Williams and the core offense largely stayed healthy, allowing the team to overcome attrition and finish as contenders without major derailment from injuries.
The Bears were more or less healthy in the 2025-26 season, and we expect no major injuries to follow them in their 2026-27 campaign, with the full squad to return by the time training camp comes around.
The Chicago Bears will mostly need to focus on building a tighter and rigid defense, which wasn’t the case last season. Their defense failed to stop teams and allowed 24.4 points per game in the regular season, 24th in the league. Their passing defense wasn’t that impressive either, finishing 22nd allowing 227.2 yards per game, and their rushing defense suffered the most, ranking 27th allowing 134.5 yards per game.
Hence, the Bears key needs include upgrading the defensive line (interior and edge), securing a starting left tackle, and completely rebuilding the safety position. Concerns also revolve around their linebackers and overall defensive depth, which could all help the Bears from a playoff team to a Super Bowl contender.
The Chicago Bears currently hold seven picks in the 2026 NFL draft, while also owning a first-round pick at No.25 overall, along with selections in the second, third, fourth, and seventh rounds. Their win total sits at 9.5, reflecting regression expectations after an 11-6 NFC North title in 2025-26, compounded by the league’s hardest schedule.
These picks offer critical upside to offset the brutal slate. Targeting a top defensive tackle like Ohio State’s Kayden McDonald or Florida’s Caleb Banks at No. 25 could fortify the interior line, improve run defense, and pressure opposing QBs, and if it all works out, a big if, that could potentially add 1-2 wins. Later selection addressing edge rush, safety depth, or linebackers would enhance resilience against tougher opponents, making the Over viable if young talent continues developing under Ben Johnson, who has a proven track record so far.
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