Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

NFL 2025–26 Week 16 Playoff Chances and Odds for All Teams – Broncos and Rams Clinch Playoffs Spots, Bears Move to the Second Seed in the NFC As Chiefs and Bengals Eliminated!

With the Broncos and Rams clinching playoff berths, there are 12 spots still remaining

Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

It is official for the Denver Broncos and the Los Angeles Rams, who became the first two teams to clinch a playoff berth in the 2025-26 NFL season after their respective wins on Sunday. The NFL playoff chances for 17 teams are still alive.

With 6 more spots left in both conferences, 8 teams are still in the hunt in the AFC, while the NFC features 9 teams that mathematically still have a chance of progressing.

Elsewhere, the Kansas City Chiefs’ dominant run of 7 consecutive AFC Championship game appearances has met its end following their loss to the Chargers in Week 15. That means the Chiefs join the Bengals and multiple other teams to miss the postseason this year.

And with that, it is now time to take a look at the latest NFL playoff chances for all teams ahead of Week 16 as per the official NFL website.

A look at the NFL playoff picture after Week 15 👀 pic.twitter.com/x9xviSgSQX
— Sports Illustrated (@SInow) December 16, 2025

Teams to Have Clinched a Playoff Berth

As of now, only two teams have clinched a spot in the 2025-26 NFL playoffs. Both conferences have 1 team each in the postseason, and those teams are as follows.

AFC	NFC
Denver Broncos	Los Angeles Rams

AFC Teams to Make the Playoffs As per Current Standings

After the latest slate of games that took place in Week 15, not a whole lot has changed in the AFC. As a matter of fact, there has been no change in the seeding order since last week. Now that the Broncos have already booked their spot in the postseason, the Patriots and the Bills hold a 99% chance of making it to the playoffs.

They are then followed by the Jaguars, Texans, and Chargers, who hold 97%, 95%, and 93% chances, respectively. The Pittsburgh Steelers come in next with a 61% chance, holding an 8-6 record. The Steelers are being chased closely by the Ravens, who are currently 7-7, just 1 game behind in the AFC North.

The table below represents the AFC playoff picture if the season ended today, with odds sourced by FanDuel.

Seed	Team	Record	Playoff Probability	FanDuel Odds
2	New England Patriots	11-3	99%	Not available
3	Jacksonville Jaguars	10-4	97%	Not available
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	8-6	61%	-138
5	Los Angeles Chargers	10-4	93%	-4500
6	Buffalo Bills	10-4	99%	Not available
7	Houston Texans	9-5	95%	Not available

We're in.

And we're still climbing. pic.twitter.com/Y4D1u0QcZk
— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) December 15, 2025

NFC Teams to Make the Playoffs As per Current Standings

In the NFC, one major change has taken place as the Bears’ win over the Browns has catapulted them back to the second seed, while the Packers’ loss to the Broncos has sent them to the seventh seed. The rest remains unchanged.

However, it is the Eagles and the Seahawks who hold a 99% chance of progressing, while the 49ers and Packers are on 98% and 88%, respectively. The Buccaneers and Bears round up the top 6 with 77% and 74% chances of progressing, respectively.

The table below represents the NFC playoff picture if the season ended today, with odds sourced by FanDuel.

Seed	Team	Record	Playoff Probability	FanDuel Odds
2	Chicago Bears	10-4	74%	-400
3	Philadelphia Eagles	9-5	99%	Not available
4	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	7-7	77%	-390
5	Seattle Seahawks	11-3	99%	Not available
6	San Francisco 49ers	10-4	98%	Not available
7	Green Bay Packers	9-4-1	88%	-1000

If you’re looking for a complete guide to the best NFL betting sites, we’ve got you covered

AFC Teams in Contention for the Wild Card Spots

The Indianapolis Colts and the Baltimore Ravens are the only two teams in the AFC that still have a chance at a spot in the postseason.

The table below represents the AFC teams still in contention, with odds sourced by FanDuel

Seed	Team	Record	Playoff Probability	FanDuel Odds
8	Indianapolis Colts	8-6	15%	+870
9	Baltimore Ravens	7-7	40%	+116

NFC Teams in Contention for the Wild Card Spots

As for the NFC, three teams are still on the bubble with a shot at a playoff berth, and those teams are the Detroit Lions, Carolina Panthers, and the Dallas Cowboys.

The table below represents the NFC teams still in contention, with odds sourced by FanDuel

Seed	Team	Record	Playoff Probability	FanDuel Odds
8	Detroit Lions	8-6	40%	+152
9	Carolina Panthers	7-7	23%	+310
10	Dallas Cowboys	6-7-1	Less than 1%	+5500

Earned our spot. pic.twitter.com/A6FA6UXg2h
— x – Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) December 15, 2025

Teams Out of Playoff Contention

By the end of Week 15 games, there are a total of 13 teams that are already eliminated from the postseason for the 2025-26 NFL season. Those 13 teams include 7 from the AFC and 6 from the NFC.

AFC	NFC
Kansas City Chiefs	Minnesota Vikings
Miami Dolphins	Atlanta Falcons
Cincinnati Bengals	New Orleans Saints
New York Jets	Washington Commanders
Cleveland Browns	Arizona Cardinals
Las Vegas Raiders	New York Giants
Tennessee Titans

All of the above odds are sourced from FanDuel. Use FanDuel to ace your betting game in all sports!

Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

2025-26 NFL playoff picture

Dallas Cowboys

Green Bay Packers

Kansas City Chiefs

New England Patriots

NFL

NFL playoff picture

San Francisco 49ers

Devavrat Kulkarni

nfl

I am a content writer for the NFL team, and joined The Playoffs after working with Sportskeeda and NFL Analysis as an NFL writer. After starting my professional career as a French-to-English translator, working as a content writer is a new adventure for me. I started out in the sports media field for two main reasons: my love for sports in general, especially the NFL, NBA, and Tennis, as well as my passion for writing. The best part of this job is that I get to write a variety of pieces with the freedom to explore content from various angles. It also enables me to stay up to date with the sporting world, which otherwise can be difficult to do in the day-to-day grind. In a world full of chaos, sports unite and entertain like nothing else!