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As teams continue to shuffle around the playoff seeding possibilities, entering Week 12, the Denver Broncos and the New England Patriots are atop the AFC standings with 9 wins and 2 losses each. On the NFC side of things, the Philadelphia Eagles and the Los Angeles Rams lead the way with 8 wins and 2 losses each.
Suddenly, the Detroit Lions now find themselves out of the playoffs if the season were to end today. Thankfully, for many such teams, there are still a handful of games left, and anything can happen between now and then.
That said, here are the playoff chances for all teams ahead of Week 12 as per the official NFL website.
As mentioned previously, the Broncos, Patriots, Eagles, and Rams have the best records in the AFC and NFC, respectively. And, as expected, all four teams have the highest probability of making the playoffs.
In the AFC, the Bills and the Colts are next with 93% and 90% chances, respectively, while the Jaguars, Chargers, and the Steelers occupy the final playoff spots with 64%, 60%, and 39% chances.
In the NFC, the Seahawks, Buccaneers, and the 49ers each have a 91%, 85%, and 85% chance, respectively, of progression to the postseason. The Packers and Bears currently hold the final two spots with 73% and 59% chances.
The table below represents the AFC playoff picture if the season ended today, with odds sourced by FanDuel.
| Seed | Team | Record | Playoff Probability | FanDuel Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denver Broncos | 9-2 | 96% | -5000 |
| 2 | New England Patriots | 9-2 | 97% | -10000 |
| 3 | Indianapolis Colts | 8-2 | 90% | -1600 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 6-4 | 39% | +160 |
| 5 | Buffalo Bills | 7-3 | 93% | -3500 |
| 6 | Los Angeles Chargers | 7-4 | 60% | -168 |
| 7 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 6-4 | 64% | -194 |
The table below represents the NFC playoff picture if the season ended today, with odds sourced by FanDuel.
| Seed | Team | Record | Playoff Probability | FanDuel Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philadelphia Eagles | 8-2 | 99% | Not provided |
| 2 | Los Angeles Rams | 8-2 | 99% | -10000 |
| 3 | Chicago Bears | 7-3 | 59% | -142 |
| 4 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6-4 | 85% | -1050 |
| 5 | Seattle Seahawks | 7-3 | 91% | -2000 |
| 6 | Green Bay Packers | 6-3-1 | 73% | -355 |
| 7 | San Francisco 49ers | 7-4 | 85% | -590 |
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In the AFC, three teams are still in the hunt for the playoffs and have decent chances to get in, but multiple factors will have to come into play. The Houston Texans, Kansas City Chiefs, and the Baltimore Ravens all currently hold a 5-5 record, but the Texans occupy the number 8 spot as they have won more games within their division.
The table below represents the AFC teams still in contention, with odds sourced by FanDuel
| Seed | Team | Record | Playoff Probability | FanDuel Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Houston Texans | 5-5 | 45% | +310 |
| 9 | Kansas City Chiefs | 5-5 | 63% | -194 |
| 10 | Baltimore Ravens | 5-5 | 81% | -320 |
In the NFC, technically only the Detroit Lions (6-4) and the Carolina Panthers (6-5) have decent chances at making the playoffs this season.
The table below represents the NFC teams still in contention, with odds sourced by FanDuel
Plenty of teams from both conferences are nearly out of the playoff race as we head into Week 12 of the season. While some teams may have just a glimmer of hope, a lot would have to go in their favor for them to have a shot.
The table below represents AFC teams nearly out of the playoffs
| Seed | Team | Record | Playoff Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Miami Dolphins | 4-7 | 1% |
| 12 | Cincinnati Bengals | 3-7 | Less than 1% |
| 13 | Las Vegas Raiders | 2-8 | Less than 1% |
| 14 | New York Jets | 2-8 | Less than 1% |
| 15 | Cleveland Browns | 2-8 | Less than 1% |
| 16 | Tennessee Titans | 1-9 | Less than 1% |
The table below represents NFC teams nearly out of the playoffs
| Seed | Team | Record | Playoff Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dallas Cowboys | 4-5-1 | 6% |
| 11 | Minnesota Vikings | 4-6 | 5% |
| 12 | Arizona Cardinals | 3-7 | Less than 1% |
| 13 | Atlanta Falcons | 3-7 | 2% |
| 14 | Washington Commanders | 3-8 | Less than 1% |
| 15 | New Orleans Saints | 2-8 | Less than 1% |
| 16 | New York Giants | 2-9 | 0% |
All of the above odds are sourced from FanDuel. Use FanDuel to ace your betting game in all sports!
Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images
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