New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun WNBA Prediction & Best Bets- 08/25/2025

On Monday, August 25, the New York Liberty (22-15) will host the Connecticut Sun (9-27) in a WNBA regular-season match-up.

The Liberty will enter the game after a disappointing 62-78 loss against the Atlanta Dream. They shot 6/22 from the three-point line in one of their sloppiest performances this season.

The Liberty has now slipped to the fifth position.

On the other hand, the Sun put together a 94-84 win against the Chicago Sky. Tina Charles, Marina Mabrey, and Brea Hartley all scored at least 20 points as the team shot 51.5% from the field.

The Sun has “improved” to the 11th rank after three straight wins.

Can the revved-up Sun sink the Liberty ship further? Check the predictions related to player props, total, and spread here.

Where to Watch New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun

Time: 7:00 PM (ET)
Venue: Barclays Center, New York
Where to watch: Catch the action on WNBA League Pass.

New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Lineups, News, Form

New York Liberty

The Liberty’s W title defense has taken a huge hit. They looked out of sorts in the last game without both Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu.

The team played some solid defense, but the lack of offense hurt, which has usually been the other way around. Anyway, here are some facts about the team:

The Liberty is 5-9 without Breanna Stewart.
Emma Meesseman has dished out 4 or more assists in half of her ten appearances.
Natasha Cloud has scored 10 or fewer points in four of the last five affairs.

Liberty Expected Starting Lineup

PG: Natasha Cloud | PG/SG: Marinee Johannes, | SF: Leonie Fiebich | PF: Emma Meesemann | C: Jonquel Jones

Key bench players: SG: Stephanie Talbot, SF: Kennedy Burke, SG/SF: Rebekah Gardner.

Injuries/Updates: Sabrina Ionescu, Nyara Sabally, Breanna Stewart, and Isabelle Harrison can be OUT.

Connecticut Sun

The Sun is 3-15 away from home.
Leila Lacan has dished out at least 4 assists in five straight games.
Aneesah Morrow has scored 7 or fewer points in three straight games.

Sun Expected Starting Lineup

PG: Leila Lacan | SG: Marina Mabrey | SF: Brea Hartley | PF: Aneesah Morrow | C: Tina Charles

Key bench players: PG: Saniya Rivers, PF: Aaliyah Edwards, C: Olivia Nelson-Ododa.

Injuries/Updates: All fit and fine thus far.

New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Total Over/Under Prediction- WNBA Best Bets

The Liberty is struggling on both ends. They had no trouble scoring 85+ at the beginning of the season. The same can’t be said since the injury to earlier Jonquel Jones and now Stewart.

Ionescu’s absence has worsened the issue. Their defensive discipline, which was the best in the early season, has also taken significant damage.

On the other hand, the Sun also struggles to score. However, the rise of Leila Lacan as a playmaker and Saniya Rivers as a scorer has given them a boost.

The Sun are disruptive on defense with Lacan being their most active perimeter defender.

Overall, we may see an “Under” here.

Total: Under 164.5 for -110 at BetMGM

Here is an overview of my selections

Picks	BetMGM Odds
Total O 164.5	-110
Spread- Liberty -12.5	-110
Jonquel Jones O 15.5 Points	TBD
Money Line- Liberty	-800

New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Player Props Predictions- WNBA Betting Picks

Jonquel Jones O 15.5 Points: Jones’ responsibilities have increased in the absence of Ionescu and Stewart. The defense concentrated on her in the Dream battle, and she struggled to score and also committed 4 turnovers uncharacteristically.

I see a bounce-back game from her and expect at least 16 points from her.

Tina Charles U 16.5 Points: Pure scorer Charles is having another fantastic season with 16.3 PPG. She has put up 20+ in three of the last four games. But I see Jones and Meesseman limiting her below 16 here.

Marine Johannes O 1.5 3-Pointers: Johannes had a rough shooting night against the big and quick Dream perimeter defense. She made just one out of 7 attempts from the three-point line.

Johannes is averaging 1.6 makes per game, and I believe she will nail at least 2 here.

Main pick: Jonquel Jones 15.5 Points at BetMGM

New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Spread Prediction

The Liberty are going through their worst phase right now. The injuries to Ionescu and Stewart put their offense in disarray. It also affects their defense.

Thus, the Sun can be sniffing an opportunity here. They are playing their best basketball, and that strong defense is something to behold these days.

I see Jones and Meesseman taking the responsibilities to overcome these factors. I think they will enable the Liberty to clear the spread, too.

Spread/Money Line Pick: Spread: Liberty -12.5 for -110 at BetMGM

Photo Credit: David Butler II-Imagn Images

Shubham Singh

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Hi, I am Shubham. I am currently an NBA Predictions Writer on The Playoffs. I enjoy this job because it helps keep me in the loop about the game I love while fulfilling the pleasure I derive from stats. I got into NBA writing through social media interactions in the mid-2010s as I shared my takes on young talents such as D’Angelo Russell. I hope you enjoy reading my pieces as much as Dennis Rodman loved rebounding the basketball!