Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

Naomi Osaka vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Head-to-Head Record, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for Wimbledon 2025 Third Round

It will be Osaka's first third-round clash in Wimbledon in seven years.

Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

The four-time major champions and the former No. 1, Naomi Osaka will be taking on Russia’s Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova in the third round of the 2025 Wimbledon championship. The Japanese ace overcame Katerina Siniakova in straight sets to reach the last-32, while Pavlyuchenkova knocked out 31st-seed Ashlyn Krueger 7-6, 6-4 in the second round.

Also Read: Wimbledon 2025 Day 4 Highlights – Jannik Sinner and Iga Swiatek Roll; Marin Cilic Stuns Jack Draper in Major Upset

Naomi Osaka vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Preview

Naomi Osaka will be high on confidence after reaching the third round of the Wimbledon championship for the first time since 2018. The Japanese ace is yet to cross the third-round. If she manages to win on Friday, it will be her first run (4th Round) at Wimbledon. Osaka dispatched Siniakova in straight sets after a nervy victory over Gibson in first round.

Naomi was on another level today 🔥

Osaka advances to her first non-hard court major third round in six years!#Wimbledon pic.twitter.com/5yr33tj3zF
— Tennis Channel (@TennisChannel) July 2, 2025

The former No. 1 has posted a 24-19 record on grass court in her career. She has a terrible numbers on this surface and Wimbledon is the only Grand Slam tournament where she has been a mediocre player. Osaka won 20 matches this season and won a title in Saint-Malo. She also reached the final in Auckland. She had victories against Caroline Garcia and 20th seed Karolína Muchova in Australian Open this season. She moved to top-50 but inconsistent performance pushed her to No. 56.

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova secured two coming-from-behind victories against Tomljanovic and Krueger. The Russian ace had a quarterfinal run in the 2016 Wimbledon and the grass-court suits her. It will be her fourth 3rd round appearance in the Wimbledon. She reached the Eastbourne semifinals last week, her first semifinals since January.

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova secures a brilliant 7-6, 6-4 win over 31st seed Ashlyn Krueger to reach the third round of Wimbledon for the first time since 2021!

Fires 35 winners to just 20 unforced errors, putting up an impressive performance.

[📸: Julian Finney/Getty] pic.twitter.com/HmwUt2xbO3
— WTARussians (@WTArussians) July 3, 2025

Pavlyuchenkova posted a 11-9 record this year but previous grass-court brilliance makes her favorites. She fires 35 winners to just 20 unforced errors in a dominating victory over Kruger and reached the third round for the first time since 2021. In her first round victory, she came back from a set and a break down to beat Ajla Tomljanovic 4-6, 6-3, 6-2.

Naomi Osaka vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Head to Head Record

It will be the fourth time Naomi Osaka and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova fight against each other. The Japanese ace holds the 2-1 edge over Pavlyuchenkova. However, it will be the first grass-court meeting between two. The last time that they locked horns, Naomi Osaka had last laugh with a 6-1 6-2 victory in the first round in at the 2021 Australian Open.

Year	Event	Round	Winner	Score
2021	Australian Open	First Round	Naomi Osaka	6-1, 6-2
2019	Toray Pan Pacific Open – Osaka	Final	Naomi Osaka	6-2, 6-3
2017	Hong Kong Tennis Open – Hong Kong	Quarterfinals	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	6-3, 6-3

Naomi Osaka vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Career Comparison

Naomi Osaka	Category	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
56	Current Ranking	54
304–173	Career W-L	516–360
20-10	YTD W-L	11-9
7	Career Titles	12
4	Grand Slams	0
1	YTD Titles	0

Naomi Osaka vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 2025 Wimbledon Prediction

Naomi Osaka’s real grass-court test starts in third round but she has a variety of shots to counter the Russian ace. Osaka will try to counter the Russian ace with return aggression, and forehand pace. However, Pavlyuchenkova brings value on the grass court and she can be a big threat for Osaka in third round. Pavlyuchenkova would push for long rallies and disturb Osaka’s momentum.

Prediction: Pavlyuchenkova to win in three sets.

Naomi Osaka vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 2025 Wimbledon Betting Odds

At 2/1, Pavlyuchenkova looks slightly favorite, reflecting her recent grass-court form and versatility with the shots. Osaka, at 9/20, brings Grand Slam experience but lack of grass-court consistency. It means, the odds back the Russian ace to prevail.

Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova win: 2/1
Naomi Osaka win: 9/20

Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):

Total Games Over 24.5: 27/20
Total Games Under 24.5: 4/7
Set 1 Winner: Pavlyuchenkova 13/8, Osaka – 8/15,
Set 2 Winner: Pavlyuchenkova 33/20, Osaka – 20/39,
Total Sets Over 2.5: 4/7
Total Sets Under 2.5: 29/20

(All Odds According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

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