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November 18, 2024 - 7:23 pm

MVP race: Does Josh Allen make a statement for his case with his late 4th quarter TD? 

Josh Allen’s Late-Game Heroics: A Game-Changer for His MVP Hopes

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen is showing strong potential to become the best player in the team’s history, supported by both anecdotes and statistics in his Week 11 win against the Kansas City Chiefs.

In the highly anticipated nationally televised game, he carried his team to victory by scoring a 26-yard touchdown in the final moments, securing a two-score lead and handing the Chiefs their first loss of the 2024 season.

The play generated a huge amount of attention across the country, leading to Allen being considered a top pick for the NFL MVP Award at certain sportsbooks. Adding to the quarterback’s impressive touchdown run is that it enabled him to equal a remarkable franchise record: the score marked Allen’s 244th career touchdown, tying him with Hall of Fame quarterback Jim Kelly for the most in franchise history.

The play gained significant attention nationwide, with Allen even being considered the top choice for the NFL MVP Award at certain sportsbooks. Adding the final touch to the quarterback’s outstanding touchdown run was the fact that it enabled him to equal an incredible franchise record: it was Allen’s 244th career touchdown, putting him on par with Hall of Fame quarterback Jim Kelly for the most in franchise history.

NFL MVP Race Rankings Through Week 11

The quarterback for the Buffalo Bills, Josh Allen, is steadily making a case for being the best player in franchise history, showing this through both anecdotes and statistics during his team’s Week 11 win against the Kansas City Chiefs.

What is the current status of the NFL MVP race following Week 11? Even though Lamar Jackson was expected to win another MVP award, the Baltimore Ravens’ team performance is crucial in individual award races, and they now stand at 7-3 after Sunday’s game.

This is our perspective on the NFL MVP competition as we approach Week 12:

Three quarterbacks, Jared Goff, Lamar Jackson, and Josh allen, lead the pack in what’s shaping up to be a hotly-contested MVP race. As the 2024 NFL season unfolds, Goff’s performance once again resurrected his career with Detroit Lions—though now 9-1, he remains in a prime position to claim the NFC’s No. 1 seed. His strong bounce-back effort in Week 11 included 412 yards passing with four touchdowns and puts him squarely in the MVP discussion. 

Meanwhile, even a reduced effort by Lamar Jackson still made him the most statistically dominant quarterback, in terms of total passing yards, touchdowns, and total EPA added in the league. Jackson’s perfect 100.0 grade in PFN’s QB+ system reflects his remarkable season, but his MVP odds are tied to the Ravens winning the AFC North.

Also, Josh Allen’s game-winning efforts, most prominently outdueling Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, have made him the new MVP favorite. With the Bills at 8-2 and looking to clinch the top AFC seed, Allen’s big-game heroics put him squarely in the MVP mix.

Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills)

  • Week 11 QB+ Grade: B- (80.3)
  • 2024 QB+ Grade: B+ (87.2)

Josh allen’s impressive Week 11 performance, which involved beating Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, has now positioned him as the top choice in MVP betting. His excellent performance, which includes both effective passing and important rushing yards, has propelled the Bills to an 8-2 record. Even though Allen ranks lower than Goff and Jackson in total EPA, his impressive play in important games and Buffalo’s chance for a top seed in the AFC position him as a serious contender for the MVP title. Buffalo’s position in the playoffs will boost Allen’s chances for MVP since they have a tiebreaker advantage over Kansas City.

Jared Goff (Detroit Lions)

  • Week 11 QB+ Grade: A (94.7)
  • 2024 QB+ Grade: A- (92.5)

Goff’s story is compelling – once considered a minor part of the Matthew Stafford deal, he is now the top player on a 9-1 Detroit Lions squad. He has performed exceptionally well individually, particularly in Week 11 when he made a strong comeback by throwing for 412 yards and four touchdowns. If the Lions win 13 or more games and finish first in the NFC, Goff has a good chance to be a top MVP contender because he currently has the highest passing success rate in the NFL at 54.8%. His consistent guidance, along with a talented team and top-notch coaching, position him as a strong competitor.

Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens)

  • Week 11 QB+ Grade: D (65.9)
  • 2024 QB+ Grade: A+ (100.0)

Jackson remains the top quarterback of 2024 based on statistics, despite a subpar showing in Week 11 versus Pittsburgh. He is the top performer in the NFL for passing yards, touchdowns, and total expected points added (EPA). Since 2019, no quarterback has had a higher grade than his 100.0 in PFN’s QB+ system. Jackson’s argument for MVP is supported by his unmatched performance, even as the Ravens compete closely with the Steelers in the AFC North. Should the Ravens end with a impressive record, Jackson’s statistics and ability to make plays might earn him his first MVP title.

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