Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Predictions, Odds, Bets & Stats First Round Game 4– 04/26/2025

On Saturday, 04/26, the Memphis Grizzlies (0-3) will host the Oklahoma City Thunder(3-0) in Game 4 of the NBA Playoffs’ First Round. The Thunder did a great job of erasing a 25-point deficit in Game 2, winning by 6 points (108-114). Will the Grizzlies be able to snatch one game? Read through the preview, total predictions, and player props here.

Where to Watch Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder

• Time: 2:30 PM (CT) 
• Venue: FedExForum (Memphis, Tennessee)
• Where to watch: This game can be viewed on the NBA League Pass.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Match Preview 

The Grizzlies missed a golden chance

The Grizzlies had a 26-point first-half lead in Game 3. It looked like a golden opportunity to snatch a game and make something out of the series. But as Ja Morant took a hard fall on a drive at the tail-end of the second quarter, their hopes dashed too. However, the Thunder deserve credit for erasing almost a 30-point deficit away from home.

Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren combined for 50 points, while Shai-Gilgeous Alexander tallied a game-high 31 points. Alex Caruso was huge off the bench as he snatched 4 steals and made a huge layup with a few seconds left in the game. This game proved Thunder’s depth, which helped them win the league-high 68 games during the Regular Season. 

For the Grizzlies, Scotty Pippen Jr. led the way with 26 points, nailing 6 three-pointers. Meanwhile, Ja Morant was on fire before injury, scoring 15 in just 16 minutes. Jaren Jackson Jr. had a strong 32-point effort. The biggest negative was Desmond Bane, who shot just 3/14 from the floor. 

Santi Aldama did well with 14 points and played 31 minutes. Overall, Memphis looked hollow without Morant, which led to a historic loss as the Thunder completed the biggest second-half comeback in the playoffs. The Grizzlies should be lauded for putting up a fight after a 51-point defeat in Game 1, but the Game 3 debacle has paved the way for a sweep.

Thunder Expected Starting Lineup

PG: Shai GIlgeous-Alexander | SG: Luguentz Dort | SF: Jalen Williams | PF: Chet Holmgren | C: Isaiah Hartenstein

Key bench players: SG: Aaron Wiggins, SF: Jaylin Williams, SG: Cason Wallace, PG: Alex Caruso.

Injuries/Updates: Nothing significant to report

Grizzlies Expected Starting Lineup

PG: Scotty Pippen Jr. | PG: Ja Morant | SG: Desmond Bane | PF: Jaren Jackson Jr. | C: Zach Edey

Key bench players: PF: Santi Aldama, SG: John Konchar

Injuries/Updates Ja Morant is QUESTIONABLE. Jaylen Wells is OUT.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Total Over/Under Prediction

The first three games have exceeded the 210-point mark, which is higher than the usual affairs in the Western Conference. The Thunder has scored 110+ in each of these affairs, while Memphis hit their series-high with 108.

They could have even hit the 120-point mark if Morant were available. Thus, his presence will probably define the scoring tally again in Game 4. Overall, I see OKC hitting the 110+ point mark again while the Grizzlies scoring around 103 points. However, I think the overall total will be just a couple of points short of 224.

• Grizzlies: Points: Under 104.5 for -110 at BetMGM
• Total: Points  Under 224.5 for -110  at BetMGM

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Player Props Predictions- Projected Top Bets & Odds 

Chet Holmgren to score over 19.5 points: The lanky power forward had a phenomenal 24-point performance in Game 3. He had 20 in Game 2 and 19 in Game 1. The PF has upped his scoring and will likely hit the 20-point mark again.

Jaren Jackson Jr. to score over 21.5 points: JJJ followed a 26-point effort with a 22-point performance in Game 3. He has done well to recover from a 4-point(2/13) performance in Game 1. I see him figuring him in the 22-26 range again.

Jalen Williams to dish over 5.5 assists: The Thunder Wing has dished around 5 assists a game throughout the season and has continued the trend against the Grizzlies. I believe he will be in a similar range again. 

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Game 4 Prediction 

The Grizzlies would have been buoyed had they not conceded the huge advantage in Game 3. They could have even leveled the series here. However, the Thunder has proven that no mountain is steep enough to halt their ascent. If Ja Morant is unavailable, then there is nothing stopping OKC from winning big. I do see them notching a big-time win here, perhaps by a 15+ points margin.

Safe Spread Pick:  Thunder -14.5 for -110 at BetMGM 

Photo Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images

Shubham Singh

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Hi, I am Shubham. I am currently an NBA Predictions Writer on The Playoffs. I enjoy this job because it helps keep me in the loop about the game I love while fulfilling the pleasure I derive from stats. I got into NBA writing through social media interactions in the mid-2010s as I shared my takes on young talents such as D’Angelo Russell. I hope you enjoy reading my pieces as much as Dennis Rodman loved rebounding the basketball!

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