Manchester City forward Erling Haaland (9) celebrates scoring their second goal with midfielder Rodri (16) during a round of 16 match of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup at Camping World Stadium.

soccer-predictions

Manchester City vs. Manchester United Premier League 2025-26 Over and Under Odds

All about the over/under odds for the blockbuster Manchester Derby.

Manchester City forward Erling Haaland (9) celebrates scoring their second goal with midfielder Rodri (16) during a round of 16 match of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup at Camping World Stadium.

Fans will be on the edge of their seats on Super Sunday, as Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City take on Ruben Amorim’s Manchester United in a massive Premier League encounter. The 197th Manchester derby has the potential to set a precedent for what is to come this season – as two struggling sides compete for regional supremacy. Can the Etihad Stadium push their men in blue over the line?

Manchester City are currently languishing in the bottom half of the table. Having won their first four games across the past two seasons, this is unfamiliar territory for Guardiola and Co. The fact that United have inflicted 4 out of 16 home defeats on the Catalan manager in the Premier League, won’t boost their confidence whatsoever. For Amorim, the pressure continues to mount – especially considering his flailing record in terms of consistency in the league.

Who will pick up the important three points over the weekend? Let’s look at the best odds – via BetMGM:

Total Goals Over/Under Odds for Manchester City vs Manchester United

Pick: Over 2.5 Goals at -175

Considering the attacking threat of both setups, there is a likelihood of a goal fest on Sunday. With big names such as Erling Haaland, Bruno Fernandes and Bernardo Silva set to feature, one can expect some goals and thrills. Moreover, the defensive weaknesses of City and United are glaring in nature. While the 2023-24 champions are struggling with their defensive shape, the Reds will be desperate to put an end to their goalkeeper conundrum.

Total Shots and Shots on Target Over/Under Odds

What did you expect @ErlingHaaland? 🤣☔️ pic.twitter.com/BgL0RKqZEF
— Manchester City (@ManCity) September 13, 2025

Pick: Over 24.5 Shots at -143

Pick: Over 9.5 Shots on Target at -110 (via BetMGM)

City have a knack of cutting through defences in the final third, and Guardiola could insist on testing the shot-stopper of the Reds with more shots. With the likes of Fernandes and Mainoo providing options from midfield for the away side, there will be a threat on the counter-attack. Once the game starts to become end-to-end, the quick transitions and half chances make the odds of >24.5 and >9.5 seem very accurate.

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Total Corners Over/Under Odds

Pick: Under 10.5 Corners at -137

While the past derby duels have yielded a plethora of corners, the count is not expected to go well into the double digits. The head-to-head statistics show that many of the shots taken are stopped, rather than parried away. City likes to engage in patient build-up play and carefully crafted transitions, making their corner count relatively low. On the contrary, United’s intent and ability to cause chaos/disruption in their attacking third will determine how the match unfolds.

International break: over.

Club football and a Manchester derby to look forward to this weekend ⏳ pic.twitter.com/XFAxAh9APP
— B/R Football (@brfootball) September 10, 2025

Total Cards Over/Under Odds

Pick: Over 3.5 Cards at -150

In a high stakes, high reward match-up like this, tensions and tempers are bound to flare up. In their most recent 0-0 draw during the 2024-25 campaign, a total of 5 yellow cards were handed out. The fact that both teams have players who tend to be on the rash side when it comes to challenges, makes this >3.5 at -150 a spot-on prediction.

(Image Credits: Lee Smith, Imagn Images)

Bruno Fernandes

Erling Haaland

Manchester City

Manchester Derby

Manchester United

Pep Guardiola

Premier League

Premier League 2025-26

Ruben Amorim

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.