Winner to face Sinner or Bublik in the QFs.
Paris Olympics bronze medalist Lorenzo Musetti is set to face Spain’s Jaume Munar in the Fourth Round of the 2025 US Open on Monday. While both players have enjoyed a fairly successful year on the whole, their hard court records could be better. As a result, this match gives both of them a chance to book a spot in their first-ever hard-court Grand Slam quarterfinal.
Lorenzo Musetti is having a surprisingly robust US Open campaign so far. The Italian was coming off a very bad run, particularly during the North American swing. In fact, the chances of Musetti becoming one of the seeds to make a potentially early exit were fairly high. Instead, the 23-year-old peaked at the perfect time. With a record of 26-12 ahead of the 2025 US Open, Musetti’s chances look great on paper.
On the other hand, Jaume Munar is going through a purple patch on tour. The Spaniard has reached a Grand Slam Round of 16 for the first time in his career – beating the likes of Diallo and Bergs along the way. While the 28-year-old doesn’t possess as many weapons as Musetti, he could hold a psychological edge over the Italian on Monday. So who will prevail in this match? Let’s find out using the great odds from BetMGM.
Jaume Munar leads Lorenzo Musetti 2-1 in their face-offs on the ATP Tour so far.
To the naked eye, this may seem like a slender advantage; however, matches on the Challenger Tour and Futures Circuit make this an outright 4-1 lead for the Spaniard.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Hong Kong | Quarterfinal | Jaume Munar | 2-6, 7-6(4), 7-5 |
| 2023 | Wimbledon | Round of 64 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 2023 | Santiago | Round of 16 | Jaume Munar | 6-4, 6-4 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | Category | Jaume Munar |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Current Rank | 44 |
| 26/12 | YTD W/L | 21/19 |
| 0 | YTD Titles | 0 |
| 21/19 | Career W/L | 111/153 |
| 2 | Career Titles | 0 |
Despite Jaume Munar’s great record against Lorenzo Musetti, the chances of him winning are relatively slim. Musetti’s versatility has seen rapid growth over time, and the Italian has been managing to generate great depth and accuracy in New York this week. More importantly, Musetti’s only win against Munar came on a similar big stage – at a Grand Slam event. It will be interesting to see whether Munar’s grit and endurance can outlast Musetti’s flair and elegance.
Prediction: Lorenzo Musetti in four sets.
With 43/100 pre-match odds, Lorenzo Musetti is a heavy favorite in the eyes of the odds-makers. Meanwhile, Munar is the underdog as per the odds provided by BetMGM.
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals, and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
