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Ligue 1
Lens
22 Aug 2026 11:15
Auxerre
Prediction:
Lens to win 1.61
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Ligue 1 · 1

Lens vs Auxerre: Prediction and Odds, Ligue 1, 22/08/2026

22 Aug 2026 Stade Bollaert-Delelis Marcelo Javelly

Stade Bollaert-Delelis hosts the curtain-raiser for both clubs as the 2026/27 Ligue 1 season kicks off on Saturday, August 22. Lens, last term's runners-up, open at 1.61 to beat an Auxerre side winless in eight consecutive away fixtures. Early-season cohesion and summer recruitment make this a fascinating opening-weekend clash.

Our prediction
1: Lens to win
1.61 on betmgm.com · Confidence High
Lens at home, backed by a dominant record of eight consecutive victories at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, represent the strongest play on this opening weekend.
Odds recorded on 10 Sep 2026 at 15:54 · Odds are subject to change

Projected final score: 2-0

Lens are the clear favourites here, priced at 1.61, and the underlying numbers back that confidence. Their 20-7 all-time H2H advantage at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, combined with six consecutive home wins last season, makes this fortress a genuine problem for an Auxerre side that failed to win any of their eight away fixtures in 2025-26.

A clean sheet looks achievable for Lens given Auxerre arrive without Onaiwu, Mensah, and Bair through suspension, gutting their attacking options on the road. With Auxerre conceding in every away game last season and carrying an xG of just 0.9, 2.20 reflects a controlled, professional home win rather than an open affair.

Recommended Bets for Lens vs Auxerre

Lens vs Auxerre, Odds Comparison

Odds comparison

betmgm.comfanduel.com
Lens to win1.611.53
Draw4.104.20
Auxerre to win5.255.30
Under 2.52.202.32
BTTS Yes1.651.66

Odds recorded on 10 Sep 2026 at 15:54 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Lens open their 2026/27 Ligue 1 campaign as clear favourites at 1.61, and the data justifies that confidence. Last season's runners-up averaged 1.9 goals per game at home and remain unbeaten across their last eight fixtures at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.

  • Six consecutive home wins and unbeaten in eight at Stade Bollaert-Delelis heading into this opener.
  • 20-7 all-time H2H advantage at this venue, with both 2025-26 meetings won by Lens.
  • 1.9 goals per game scored last season, backed by a superior xG of 1.6 vs Auxerre's 0.9.
  • Pierre Sage holds a winning head-to-head record against Auxerre manager Christophe Pélissier.

Auxerre arrive at 5.25 as heavy outsiders, burdened by a wretched road record and a severely depleted squad. Four confirmed suspensions, including Onaiwu, Osho, Mensah, and Bair, strip the visitors of key personnel before a ball is kicked.

  • Zero away wins in their last eight road fixtures last season, conceding in every match.
  • Four players suspended, Onaiwu, Osho, Mensah, and Bair, gutting Auxerre's available options.
  • Auxerre's xG of just 0.9 per game reflects a chronic inability to create quality chances on the road.

Key point: With both squads disrupted by absences and new combinations, backing both teams to score via 1.65 offers a complementary angle given Lens's leaky moments despite their home dominance.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

Form & Statistics: Lens vs Auxerre

Lens

Recent form

WWLWD
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

3.8Total goals
67%Both teams score
2.7Goals scored
1.1Goals conceded

Auxerre

Recent form

WWWLD
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

2.4Total goals
46%Both teams score
1.1Goals scored
1.3Goals conceded
StatisticLensAuxerre
Last 5 results3W 1D 1L·3W 1D 1L
Avg goals scored2.7·1.1
Avg goals conceded1.1·1.3
Under 2.5 (last 5)4/5·2/5
H2H, last 4 meetings2 Lens · 1 Draws · 1 Auxerre

Lens vs Auxerre: Head-to-Head

Lens 50 % Draws 25 % Auxerre 25 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

3Total goals
50%Both teams score
1Home goals
2Away goals
75%Over 2.5 goals
25%Under 2.5 goals

Probabilities & Odds: Lens vs Auxerre

Source : betmgm.com
MarketProbabilityOdds
Lens to win62.1%1.61
Draw24.4%4.10
Auxerre to win19%5.25
Both teams to score (Yes)60.6%1.65
Over 2.5 goals62.1%1.61
Under 2.5 goals45.5%2.20

Match Information

Competition: Ligue 1
Stage: Regular Season, 1
Date: 22 Aug 2026
Time: 11:15 EDT
Stadium: Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Final thoughts on the predictions for Lens vs Auxerre

Lens at home, backed by a dominant record of eight consecutive victories at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, represent the strongest play on this opening weekend. Auxerre's winless eight-match away run and persistent defensive vulnerabilities on the road make an upset unlikely. The pick is Lens to win at 1.61, a price that reflects fair value given the gulf in quality between these two sides.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main prediction for Lens vs Auxerre?

Back Lens to win at home at 1.61: eight consecutive unbeaten home fixtures and a dominant H2H record of 20 wins to 7 at Stade Bollaert-Delelis make the hosts the clear pick, with Auxerre arriving severely short-handed due to multiple suspensions and absences.

What is the highest odd for Lens to win?

The best available price on a Lens victory is 1.61. Punters seeking a safer entry can cover the double chance that includes a Lens win or a draw, effectively reducing exposure while still backing the hosts who have not lost at Bollaert-Delelis in eight straight matches.

Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?

The lean here is toward under 2.5 goals at 2.20. Auxerre managed just 1.0 goals per game last season and failed to score in several away outings, while a defensively organised Lens side averaging 1.9 goals per game may not need to open up fully against a depleted opponent.

When and where is Lens vs Auxerre played?

Lens vs Auxerre kicks off on Saturday, August 22, 2026, at 17:15 local time (CEST) at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis in Lens, France, as part of the opening weekend of the 2026/27 Ligue 1 season.

Can Auxerre pull off an upset against Lens?

An Auxerre upset is very unlikely at 5.25. They won none of their last eight away games last season, conceding in every single one, and arrive missing seven or more players including key defenders. Lens, with European ambitions and a fortress home record, present a formidable barrier for a short-handed visiting side.

Which alternative market offers the best value?

The most interesting alternative market is BTTS No at 2.10. Auxerre's chronic away attacking struggles, compounded by the absence of multiple forwards and midfielders, make it genuinely plausible that Lens keep a clean sheet, giving this market solid underlying value beyond the straightforward home-win pick.

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