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Champions League
Kairat
11 Aug 2026 11:00
Levski Sofia
Prediction:
Kairat to win 2.60
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Champions League · 3rd Qualifying Round

Kairat vs Levski Sofia: Prediction and Odds, Champions League, 11/08/2026

11 Aug 2026 Astana Arena Marcelo Javelly

Kairat Almaty must overturn a 1-0 aggregate deficit when they host Levski Sofia at the Astana Arena on August 11, 2026, in the Champions League 3rd Qualifying Round second leg. Levski, back in European competition after a 16-year absence, hold the advantage, and the away win price at 2.75 reflects their strong position heading into this decisive fixture.

Our prediction
X2: Double Chance Draw or Levski Sofia
2.75 on fanduel.com · Confidence Medium
Levski Sofia's 1-0 aggregate cushion, their unbeaten run across ten matches, and the tactical flexibility to sit deep and counter make the X2 (Draw or Away) the clear selection here.
Odds recorded on 02 Sep 2026 at 13:51 · Odds are subject to change

Projected final score: 1-1

Levski Sofia arrive in Almaty holding a 1-0 aggregate advantage, meaning a draw is all they need to advance. Their recent form of WDWWD and a season average of just 0.6 goals conceded per game highlight a side built to defend leads. With 2.75 reflecting genuine value, Velázquez's compact low-block setup should comfortably contain a Kairat attack weakened by the absences of Tuyakbayev, Baibek, and Jorginho.

A single-goal margin for each side feels the most plausible outcome here. Kairat must attack and will likely find the net once in front of their home crowd, but Levski's defensive discipline limits the damage. With both teams expected to score yet the overall volume staying low, N/A is a natural companion to this tight, tactically cautious second leg.

Match Analysis

Levski Sofia enter this second leg at 2.75 holding a 1-0 aggregate advantage earned in Bulgaria. A draw on Kairat's turf is enough to advance, giving Velázquez's side a structural edge that shapes every tactical decision tonight.

  • 1-0 first-leg lead means Levski only need a draw to progress to the next round.
  • 10-match unbeaten run (6W, 4D) demonstrates consistent form across all competitions.
  • 0.6 goals conceded per game this season underlines a defensively disciplined, low-block unit.
  • 3-0 domestic win over Septemvri Sofia shows squad depth despite heavy rotation.

Kairat face a steep climb at 2.60, needing to overturn a one-goal deficit without suspended Lucas Áfrico and injured Tuyakbayev, Baibek, and Jorginho. The depleted squad thins both their defensive cover and attacking options in a must-win fixture.

  • Three key absences (Áfrico suspended, Tuyakbayev and Baibek out) weaken Kairat's attacking depth.
  • Jorginho also sidelined and Martynovich doubtful, compounding squad problems across all lines.
  • No home win against a side conceding just 0.6 goals per game makes overturning the deficit unlikely.

Key point: With Levski content to sit deep and Kairat's attack depleted, backing the draw at 3.10 offers value as Levski's likeliest path to advancement.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

Form & Statistics: Kairat vs Levski Sofia

Kairat

Recent form

LWLWW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

1.6Total goals
20%Both teams score
1Goals scored
0.6Goals conceded

Levski Sofia

Recent form

WDWWD
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses0/5 (0%)

Season statistics (5)

2.4Total goals
40%Both teams score
1.8Goals scored
0.6Goals conceded
StatisticKairatLevski Sofia
Last 5 results3W 2L·3W 2D
Avg goals scored1.0·1.8
Avg goals conceded0.6·0.6
Under 2.5 (last 5)4/5·3/5
H2H, last 1 meetings0 Kairat · 0 Draws · 1 Levski Sofia

Kairat vs Levski Sofia: Head-to-Head

Kairat 0 % Draws 0 % Levski Sofia 100 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

1Total goals
0%Both teams score
1Home goals
0Away goals
0%Over 2.5 goals
100%Under 2.5 goals

Probabilities & Odds: Kairat vs Levski Sofia

Source : fanduel.com
MarketProbabilityOdds
Kairat to win38.5%2.60
Draw32.3%3.10
Levski Sofia to win36.4%2.75
Both teams to score (Yes)··
Over 2.5 goals··
Under 2.5 goals··

Match Information

Competition: Champions League
Stage: 3rd Qualifying Round
Date: 11 Aug 2026
Time: 11:00 EDT
Stadium: Astana Arena

Final thoughts on the predictions for Kairat vs Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia's 1-0 aggregate cushion, their unbeaten run across ten matches, and the tactical flexibility to sit deep and counter make the X2 (Draw or Away) the clear selection here. Kairat will push forward, but Levski need only avoid defeat to advance. Back the away side at 2.75 for the value angle, with the draw at 3.10 providing additional coverage. Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di gioco.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main prediction for Kairat vs Levski Sofia?

The pick is Draw or Away (X2), with the draw covered at 3.10, as Levski Sofia's 1-0 aggregate lead means a point is all they need to advance. Their 10-match unbeaten run, conceding just 0.6 goals per game, is the single most decisive factor here.

What is the highest odd for Kairat to win?

Kairat's home win is priced at 2.60, reflecting the genuine difficulty of overturning a deficit against an in-form side. For safer coverage, a double chance backing both a draw and Levski, described in words rather than a dedicated token, effectively mirrors the X2 logic at a reduced risk profile.

Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?

Under 2.5 goals looks the sharper play, available at N/A. Levski concede just 0.6 goals per game across their 10-match unbeaten run, and their defensive setup away from home is designed to limit chances. A tight, low-scoring contest is the most likely outcome given both teams' recent trends.

When and where is Kairat vs Levski Sofia played?

The match kicks off on August 11, 2026 at 21:00 local time (Almaty, UTC+6) at the Astana Arena in Astana, Kazakhstan.

Can Levski Sofia pull off an upset against Kairat?

Levski are far from underdogs here: carrying a 1-0 lead and a 10-match unbeaten run into this second leg, they arrive as the structurally favoured side. The 2.75 reflects a genuine chance of a Levski win on the night. Even absorbing Kairat's pressure, their disciplined defensive record suggests they are well-equipped to see this through.

Which alternative market offers the best value?

Under 2.5 goals at N/A stands out as the best alternative market. Levski's defensive solidity, averaging just 0.6 goals conceded per game, combined with Kairat's squad absences thinning their attacking options, makes a low-scoring affair highly probable regardless of which side ultimately advances.

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