Mar 22, 2025; Miami, FL, USA; Joao Fonseca (BRZ) reacts after winning a point against Ugo Humbert (FRA)(not pictured) on day five of the Miami Open at Hard Rock Stadium.

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Joao Fonseca vs. Jacob Fearnley Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for Wimbledon 2025 Round-1

Winner to face Griekspoor or Brooksby in Round-2.

Mar 22, 2025; Miami, FL, USA; Joao Fonseca (BRZ) reacts after winning a point against Ugo Humbert (FRA)(not pictured) on day five of the Miami Open at Hard Rock Stadium.

Brazilian prodigy Joao Fonseca is set to make his Wimbledon main draw debut on Monday, as he faces home favourite Jacob Fearnley in Round-1 of the 2025 Wimbledon Championships. Regardless of the result, one thing is for certain – absolute fireworks from the British and South American crowds. Can the 18-year-old keep up his unbeaten streak against Fearnley?

A year ago, Joao Fonseca lost in the opening round of qualifying at Wimbledon. The 2024 Next Gen ATP Finals winner has been breaking new ground at all the majors in 2025. Having displayed a high level of tennis in the grass court season so far, Fonseca lost in three sets to Cobolli at Halle and to Fritz in Eastbourne. The World No. 54 enters this match with a record of 13-10 this year, and a solitary title at the Argentina Open to show for it.

Meanwhile, Jacob Fearnley is ranked just outside the Top-50 at the moment. Having impressed Novak Djokovic en route to a Round of 64 finish at SW19 last year, Fearnley will be aiming to beat his own career-best performance. The 23-year-old reached the quarterfinal stage at the HSBC Championships in London – improving his 2025 stats to 14-12 ahead of Wimbledon.

Joao Fonseca vs Jacob Fearnley Head to Head Record

Joao Fonseca leads the head-to-head against Jacob Fearnley by 1-0. Their only meeting was at the Indian Wells Masters in 2025.

In the Round of 128, Fonseca and Fearnley played out a three set thriller. Unfortunately, the Brazilian was eliminated in the next round by fellow Briton Jack Draper – who went on to win the tournament. Monday’s opening round battle will be the first time these two players square off on grass.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025 Indian Wells	Round of 128	Joao Fonseca	6-2 1-6 6-3

Joao Fonseca vs Jacob Fearnley Career Comparison

Joao Fonseca	Category	Jacob Fearnley
0	Grand Slams	0
1	ATP Singles Titles	0
0	ATP Doubles Titles	0
0	Masters-1000 Titles	0
–	Olympics Best Performance	–
No. 54	Current World Ranking	No. 51

Joao Fonseca vs Jacob Fearnley Wimbledon 2025 Prediction

Fearnley’s grass court game has rapidly improved, which explains how three out of his four career victories on this surface have come in 2025. He has been serving extremely well this year, striking nearly 70% first serve in his loss to Giron at Eastbourne. On the other hand, Fonseca will have the edge in baseline exchanges.

Prediction: Jacob Fearnley in five sets.

Jacob Fearnley produced some TOP quality on his way to the Queens quarter-finals today! 🎾👏 pic.twitter.com/CtRtWOyvsf
— BBC Sport (@BBCSport) June 19, 2025

Joao Fonseca vs Jacob Fearnley Wimbledon 2025 Betting Odds

Joao Fonseca starts as the favourite against Jacob Fearnley, who is the underdog on Monday. The teenager has a 63% probability of emerging as the victor in this Round of 128 encounter. Here are the pre-match result odds (as per BetMGM):

Joao Fonseca Win: 13/25
Jacob Fearnley Win: 6/4

The match has been predicted to extend beyond 40.5 games, which could mean a four or five set tussle. The odds for Set-3 remain extremely tight. Here are the in-match odds for Fonseca v Fearnley (as per BetMGM):

Total Games Over 40.5: 5/6
Total Games By Fearnley >19.5: 3/4
Total Sets >4.5: 7/4
Joao Fonseca -2.5 (Set Handicap): 4/5

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

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Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.