Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Carlos Alcaraz vs Fabio Fognini Head to Head Record, Preview, Prediction and Betting Odds for 2025 Wimbledon First Round

Alcaraz has posted a 42-5 record this season and won five titles.

Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The defending champion, Carlos Alcaraz will take on Fabio Fognini, the Italian veteran in the opening round of the 2025 Wimbledon championship. The Spaniard is coming off a great season where he claimed the Roland Garros title for the second straight year. Fognini, on the other hand, is likely to step up for the final time in London. It’s a battle of era and Alcaraz would look to make a statement victory on Day 1.

First round? First class 💥

Gentlemen's Singles defending champion Carlos Alcaraz will face Fabio Fognini on Centre Court 🤝#Wimbledon pic.twitter.com/yhdqjuOBGb
— Wimbledon (@Wimbledon) June 27, 2025

Also Read: Jasmine Paolini vs. Anastasija Sevastova Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for Wimbledon 2025 First Round

Carlos Alcaraz vs Fabio Fognini Preview

Carlos Alcaraz is in his prime phase of the career and enter the fixture as the reigning winner. The Spaniard would eye to defend his Wimbledon title one more time and become only the 9th men’s player to win the championship three in a row. In this century, only Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic won three straight Wimbledon titles. He recently won the Roland Garros after beating Jannik Sinner in a high-intense final.

Alcaraz has posted a 42-5 record this season and won five titles. The Spaniard reached the final in 5 consecutive tournaments, and lost only one in Barcelona. He has gone 25-1 on grass court since the 2022 Sinner loss. He is unbeaten in the Wimbledon since 2023. The world No. 2 is coming through a title in Queen’s Club championship which was a warm-up event for him on grass court.

"I want to lift the trophy."

Carlos Alcaraz is solely focused on the three-peat at Wimbledon 🏆🏆🏆 pic.twitter.com/T3MPLG2EkG
— TNT Sports (@tntsports) June 29, 2025

Fabio Fognini is on his final journey of the career and his first assignment is against the five-time Grand Slam winner. He has a terrible 4-14 record in the season and is yet to win a game on grass (0-3). He faced defeats against Moutet, Fery, Altmaier on this surface in 2025. Fognini hasn’t been impressive at Wimbledon, losing 11 out of 14 first round matchups. He made third round appearances six out of last 8. Fognini became pro in 2004 but still, his grass record is disappointing with 26-36. He hasn’t defeated a top-5 player since 2019 when he defeated Nadal to reach maiden Masters 1000 final.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Fabio Fognini Head to Head

Carlos Alcaraz have taken a 2-0 lead over Fabio Fognini in the ATP H2H meetings. Both meetings came at Rio de Janeiro and Fognini managed to win just one set against Carlos. Their rivalry began right here on the Rio Clay in 2023, where Alcaraz cruised past the Italian in straight sets.

Year	Event	Round	Winner	Score
2023	Rio de Janeiro	Round of 16	Carlos Alcaraz	6-7, 6-2, 6-4
2022	Rio de Janeiro	Semifinals	Carlos Alcaraz	6-2, 7-5

Carlos Alcaraz vs Fabio Fognini Career Comparison

Carlos Alcaraz	Category	Fabio Fognini
2	Current Ranking	138
247-61	Career W-L	426–395
42-5	YTD W-L	4-14
21	Career Titles	9
5	Grand Slams	0
5	YTD Titles	0

Carlos Alcaraz vs Fabio Fognini Wimbledon 2025 Prediction

Carlos Alcaraz is an all-court player and won Wimbledon championship twice which is a huge landmark. Fognini can take advantage of Alcaraz starts slow. However, the Spaniard has the ability to turn the table like he did in the Roland Garros final. Carlos offers a complete package of all-court player and he can easily counter Fognini through his early returns, and aggressive forehand court control.

Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz to win in straight sets.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Fabio Fognini Wimbledon 2025 Betting Odds

As of 1/100, Alcaraz is a heavy favorite, and rightly so given his in-season form and Wimbledon record. Fabio Fognini’s 50/1 odds reflect his poor run of form this season and lack of consistency on grass.

Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:

Carlos Alcaraz: 1/100
Fabio Fognini: 50/1

Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):

Total Games Over 24.5: 30/100
Total Games Under 24.5: 5/2
Set 1 winner: Alcaraz– 1/14, Fognini– 10/1
Set 2 winner: Alcaraz– 1/12, Fognini– 9/1
Total Sets Under 2.5: 1/40
Total Sets Over 2.5: 15/1

(All Odds According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

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