Pegula looks to maintain dominance, but Kalinskaya won't go down easy.
Top seed Jessica Pegula kicks off her WTA Strasbourg campaign in the Round of 16, where she’ll face Anna Kalinskaya. The tournament, upgraded to WTA 500 status just last year, crowned Madison Keys as its 2024 champion, though she’s absent from this year’s draw.
Kalinskaya earned her spot with a gritty three-set win over qualifier Caroline Dolehide in the opening round, while Pegula received a first-round bye. With Roland Garros just around the corner, Strasbourg serves as a final tune-up for the clay major.
World No. 3 Jessica Pegula hasn’t been flawless this season, but she’s delivered consistent deep runs. With titles in Austin and Charleston, a finals appearance in Miami, and a 28-9 record. She’s backed her performance with solid stats of 80 aces, a 66.7% first-serve win rate, and 45.6% break point conversion.
Kalinskaya, meanwhile, has had a disrupted season marked by illness and injury. She withdrew from three early events but found glimpses of form in Singapore (semifinals) and Charleston (quarterfinals), where she upset Madison Keys. Still, at 7-10 on the year, she’s struggled to build momentum outside those two runs.
Jessica Pegula leads the head-to-head against Anna Kalinskaya 3-0. The record may look one-sided, and technically it is, but every match between them has been a battle. Pegula hasn’t cruised past Kalinskaya once; all three encounters have gone the distance. Their rivalry began at the 2019 Citi Open semifinals, continued in the 2024 Berlin final, and most recently resumed in Miami, each time with Pegula edging out a three-set win.
Given how close their matches have been, Kalinskaya is always in with a shot. So, Strasbourg might just be the place where she finally flips the script.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Citi Open (Washington) | Semifinal | Jessica Pegula | 6–3, 3–6, 6–1 |
| 2024 | Berlin Ladies Open | Final | Jessica Pegula | 6–7, 6–4, 7–6 |
| 2025 | Miami Open | Third Round | Jessica Pegula | 6–7, 6–2, 7–6 |
| Jessica Pegula | Category | Anna kalinskaya |
| 3 | Ranking | 30 |
| 462-257 | Career W-L | 305-188 |
| 28-9 | YTD W-L | 7-10 |
| 8 | Career Titles | 0 |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 2 | YTD Titles | 0 |
While Kalinskaya has shown flashes of potential, Pegula’s experience and strong season stats give her the edge. On paper, Pegula is the clear favorite with a 3-0 head-to-head, but Kalinskaya’s competitive fire means this could be closer than it looks.
Prediction: Jessica Pegula in straight sets
Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:
Jessica Pegula: 7/20
Anna kalinskaya: 11/5
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