Sept 2, 2024; Flushing, NY, USA; Iga Swiatek (POL) after beating Liudmila Samsonova (not pictured) on day eight of the 2024 U.S. Open tennis tournament at USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center.

tennis-predictions

Iga Swiatek vs. Victoria Azarenka Predictions, Betting Odds and Head to Head for WTA Bad Homburg Open 2025 Round of 16

Two former World No. 1s collide in mammoth pre-quarterfinal clash.

Former World No. 1 Iga Swiatek begins her grass court charge at the 2025 Bad Homburg Open WTA-500 event on Tuesday. She will face the in-form Victoria Azarenka, who has been showcasing a tremendously high level this week, in the pre-quarterfinals. The duo shares a rich history in terms of head-to-head rivalry, which we will find out about today.

Recommended bets	Odds
Iga Swiatek to Win	4/11
Azarenka to Win Over 9.5 Games	3/4
Swiatek to Win Under 12.5 Games	10/13
Swiatek to Win 2-0	10/11

Odds are subject to change.

With the Wimbledon seeding confirmed, Iga Swiatek has been slotted at No. 8 as of now. This will make it her lowest seeding at a Grand Slam since the 2021 French Open. Arguably the least compatible surface for her style of play, the Polish phenom is yet to make it past the quarterfinal stage at All England. Swiatek is searching for her first title of the season – her 31.6% break point conversion rate on this surface will not amuse her.

For the first time since 2006, Victoria Azarenka has dropped out of the Top-100. Since then, ‘Vika’ picked up three consecutive wins in Bad Homburg to ensure she will return among the elite centurions next week. Yet to win a trophy this year herself, the two-time major champion comes into this match with a meak 7-9 record in 2025. Nonetheless, Azarenka will bank on her experience and higher match practice to carry her through.

Iga Swiatek vs Victoria Azarenka Head to Head Record

The head-to-head between Iga Swiatek and Victoria Azarenka is 4-1 in favour of Poland’s elite star. The four-time Roland Garros champion also landed the knockout blow in their sole 2025 encounter.

In the first ever Swiatek-Azarenka match, it was the Belarusian who procured a straightforward victory at the 2020 US Open. Since then, Swiatek has risen to become one of the WTA’s best players. She has triumphed on four consecutive occasions since then – dropping merely one set along the way. Tuesday’s Round of 16 will be the first contest between these players on the hallowed grass courts.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025 Dubai	Round of 32	Iga Swiatek	6-0 6-2
2024 Doha	Quarterfinal	Iga Swiatek	6-4 6-0
2022 Rome	Round of 16	Iga Swiatek	6-4 6-1
2022 Adelaide	Quarterfinal	Iga Swiatek	6-3 2-6 6-1
2020 US Open	Round of 32	Victoria Azarenka	6-4 6-2

Iga Swiatek vs Victoria Azarenka Career Comparison

Iga Swiatek	Category	Victoria Azarenka
5	Grand Slams	2
22	WTA Singles Titles	21
0	WTA Doubles Titles	10
10	WTA-1000 Titles	10
Bronze (Paris 2024)	Olympics Best Performance	Bronze (London 2012)
No. 8	Current World Ranking	No. 105

Iga Swiatek vs Victoria Azarenka WTA Bad Homburg Open 2025 Prediction

Now playing on the grass… 🎥🌱@iga_swiatek makes her 2025 grass court debut! Stream live Tuesday at 10am ET on the Tennis Channel App! 📲#BadHomburgOpen pic.twitter.com/Ul0KJFAaeo
— Tennis Channel (@TennisChannel) June 23, 2025

This remains a favourable match-up for Swiatek, in terms of ranking and history. The 24-year-old will be refreshed and recharged for the grass court season, and has the endurance to outlast Azarenka. A lot will depend on the range that both players find on serve. The Belarusian former No. 1 put up mind-blowing numbers of 79% first serves in and 85% first serve points won against Seigemund.

Prediction: Iga Swiatek in straight sets.

Iga Swiatek vs Victoria Azarenka WTA Bad Homburg Open 2025 Betting Odds

According to the implied probability on the money line, Swiatek starts with a 77% chance of entering the quarterfinals. Here are the odds for the match (as per BetMGM):

Iga Swiatek Win: 4/11
Victoria Azarenka Win: 21/10

The match is unlikely to enter a deciding set, as per the betting market. While Swiatek is tipped to win close to 12.5 games, Azarenka’s score has been predicted at around the 9.5 game mark. Here are the match-specific odds for Tuesday (as per BetMGM):

Azarenka to Win Over 9.5 Games: 3/4
Swiatek to Win Under 12.5 Games: 10/13
Swiatek to Win 2-0: 10/11

Get up to $1,500 Back in Bonus Bets

Click to copy code

COPIED

TPOVIP

Claim $1,500

21+. AZ/CO/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA/MD/MA/MI/NJ/OH/PA/TN/ VA/WV/WY only. Offer not available in DC/MS/NV/NY/PR. New customers only. Qualifying deposit (min $10) and first real money wager required. If qualifying bet settles as a loss, user is refunded 100% in non-withdrawable bonus bets up to $1,500. Full T&Cs can be found on betmgm.com.

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Aryna Sabalenka

Bad Homburg Open

Betting

Iga Swiatek

Tennis

Victoria Azarenka

Wimbledon

WTA

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.