Heavy favorite Swiatek takes on unseeded Lys, who’s chasing a career-defining upset
Second seed Iga Swiatek will take on unseeded Eva Lys in the third round of the National Bank Open in Montreal. Swiatek, who received a first-round bye, opened her campaign with a comfortable straight-sets win over qualifier Hanyu Guo. Lys, meanwhile, is riding the momentum of back-to-back upsets, first over Leolia Jeanjean, then over 27th seed Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, both in straight sets.
Strong start for Swiatek 💪@iga_swiatek wins her opening match in Montreal 6-3, 6-1 against Guo!#OBN25 pic.twitter.com/GgQ8RlBda6
— wta (@WTA) July 30, 2025
Swiatek is coming off her maiden Wimbledon title and sixth Grand Slam overall, a run highlighted by a ruthless 6-0, 6-0 demolition of Amanda Anisimova. She’s had an impressively consistent season, with semifinal finishes at the Australian Open, Roland Garros, Indian Wells, Doha, and Madrid. Also, quarterfinals in Miami, Stuttgart, and Dubai, and a runner-up showing in Bad Homburg, ousted by Jessica Pegula. Statistically, the Pole has been sharp with 143 aces, 68.7% first-serve points won, 51.7% break point conversion, and 47.6% return points won.
Consistency Queen 👑@iga_swiatek is the first player since Monica Seles (64 from 1990-1996) to hold such a successful run of opening matches at WTA events, United Cup and WTA Finals included. 💪#OBN25 pic.twitter.com/LqwgNWMVo6
— wta (@WTA) July 30, 2025
Lys has had a quieter 2025, mostly falling short of the second round in WTA events. Her standout result came in Melbourne, where she reached the fourth round, along with a WTA 125 quarterfinal in La Bisbal. Recently, she withdrew from Hamburg due to an arthritis flare-up. Through 19 matches, she’s tallied 15 aces, winning 59.1% of first-serve points and 43.3% on return, and converting 49.7% of break points.
Without dropping a set 👏
— Tennis Channel (@TennisChannel) July 31, 2025
Eva Lys knocks off Pavlyuchenkova 6-3, 6-4!#OBN25 pic.twitter.com/nqDhwwQtgV
Iga Swiatek holds a commanding 2-0 lead in her head-to-head against Eva Lys, and it hasn’t been close. The Pole dismantled Lys in both of their previous meetings, first in Stuttgart (2022) and then more recently at the 2025 Australian Open. With breadsticks and bagels on the scoreboard each time, Swiatek has made it clear she holds all the cards in this matchup.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Australian Open | Round of 16 | Iga Swiatek | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 2022 | Stuttgart | Round of 16 | Iga Swiatek | 6-1, 6-1 |
| Iga Swiatek | Category | Eva Lys |
| 3 | Current Ranking | 69 |
| 384-86 | Career W-L | 162-109 |
| 42-11 | YTD W-L | 19-17 |
| 23 | Career Titles | 0 |
| 6 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 0 |
Given her form, consistency, and past dominance over Lys, Swiatek is expected to cruise into the fourth round without much resistance.
✨ 2018 – Girls' Singles Champion
— Wimbledon (@Wimbledon) July 12, 2025
✨ 2025 – Ladies' Singles Champion
Seven years on, @iga_swiatek is a #Wimbledon champion again 🏆 pic.twitter.com/uf2x6Hk4MP
Prediction: Iga Swiatek in straight sets
At 15/1, Lys is a massive underdog, and rightly so. Unless Swiatek has an off day, the world No. 2 should justify her 1/40 odds with ease.
Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:
Iga Swiatek: 1/40
Eva Lys: 15/1
Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):
Total Sets Over 2.5: 2/13
Total Sets Under 2.5: 22/5
Total Games Over 19.5: 21/10
Total Games Under 19.5: 1/3
Swiatek to win: Set 1 – 1/12
Lys to win: Set 1 – 15/2
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
Mandatory Image Credit: David Kirouac-Imagn Images
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mma I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.
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