Hansa Rostock
VfB Stuttgart
>DFB Pokal · 1st RoundHansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart: Prediction and Odds, DFB Pokal, 21/08/2026
The Ostseestadion hosts a mouth-watering DFB Pokal first-round clash on August 21, 2026, as third-tier Hansa Rostock welcome defending cup champions VfB Stuttgart. The Bundesliga heavyweights are priced at 1.22 to advance, but Rostock's fierce home record and a history of cup upsets against this very opponent add genuine intrigue to the tie.
Projected final score: 1-3
Stuttgart's Bundesliga pedigree and 75% DFB Pokal win rate over their last 12 cup matches make them clear favourites here, even with a reshuffled backline. Priced at 1.22, the market reflects near-certainty of an away victory, and their squad depth at top-flight level simply outclasses Hansa Rostock's 3. Liga roster across the pitch.
Hansa's home average of 2.9 goals scored per game at Ostseestadion and Stuttgart's injury-ravaged defence, missing four recognised defenders, points to an open, goal-heavy contest. The 1.91 angle is well-supported: Stuttgart will punish on the break while Rostock's attack is lively enough to grab one before Stuttgart pull clear.
Match Analysis
VfB Stuttgart enter as commanding favorites at 1.22, bringing Bundesliga quality and a 75% DFB Pokal win rate across their last 12 cup matches. As defending champions, they carry undeniable class into this first-round tie.
- 75% DFB Pokal win rate across Stuttgart's last 12 cup matches signals elite cup pedigree.
- Stuttgart concede just 0.92 goals per game on average in their last 12 DFB Pokal fixtures.
- Bundesliga squad depth vastly outclasses a 3. Liga opponent even with rotation applied.
- Defending champions with proven knockout mentality, motivated to begin title defense strongly.
Hansa Rostock face a steep challenge at 11.50, but they are no passive hosts. Undefeated in 12 of their last 15 at Ostseestadion and averaging 2.9 goals per game at home, they have genuine upset credentials.
- Liga level represents a significant class gap against a Bundesliga top-four contender.
- Stuttgart's 8 defensive absentees still leave a reshuffled backline superior to Hansa's attack.
- Hansa's last cup elimination of Stuttgart in 2018 remains an outlier across 30 H2H meetings.
Key point: Stuttgart's threadbare defence and Hansa's 2.9 home goals average make a high-scoring affair plausible; the over 2.5 market deserves serious consideration here.
Statistics and Head-to-Head
Form & Statistics: Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart
Hansa Rostock
Season statistics
VfB Stuttgart
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Probabilities & Odds: Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart
Source : betmgm.comMatch Information
Lineups: Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart
Hansa Rostock
Starters
- 1 Luca Unbehaun
- 2 Florian Bohnert
- 3 Florian Carstens
- 4 Niklas Kölle
- 5 Franz Pfanne
- 6 Jonas Dirkner
- 7 Marco Schuster
- 8 Maximilian Krauß
- 9 Benno Dietze
- 10 Bernie Lennemann
- 11 Andreas Voglsammer
Absent
- Vincent Ehouman (injury)
- Maurice Litka (injury)
- Jan Mejdr (injury)
- Leon Reichardt (injury)
- Lukas Wallner (injury)
- Paul Stock (injury)
- Peter Kiedl (injury)
- Emil Holten (injury)
VfB Stuttgart
Starters
- 1 Alexander Nübel
- 2 Ramon Hendriks
- 3 Maximilian Mittelstädt
- 4 Jamie Leweling
- 5 Angelo Stiller
- 6 Chema Andrés
- 7 Chris Führich
- 8 Ermedin Demirovic
- 9 Deniz Undav
- 10 Nikolas Nartey
Absent
- Yannik Keitel (injury)
- Jeff Chabot (injury)
- Josha Vagnoman (injury)
- El Bilal Touré (injury)
- Dan-Axel Zagadou (injury)
- Justin Diehl (injury)
- Dennis Seimen (injury)
- Lorenz Assignon (injury)
Low confidence
Both lineups carry a speculated tag, drawn from a single source several days out, so treat the tactical picture as provisional rather than settled. That said, the projected 4-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1 matchup frames a classic cup-tie dynamic: a compact second-division side hosting a Bundesliga outfit with considerably deeper resources.
Ermedin Demirovic and Deniz Undav give Stuttgart a dangerous forward partnership, while Hansa will look to Andreas Voglsammer to provide an outlet on the break. If the formations hold, Stuttgart's midfield control through Angelo Stiller could prove the decisive factor in what promises to be a tight opening round tie.
Final thoughts on the predictions for Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart
Stuttgart's Bundesliga pedigree, their status as defending DFB Pokal holders, and a strong recent cup win rate all point firmly toward an away victory. Hansa Rostock's home resilience and past giant-killing pedigree add a layer of risk, but the quality gap is too wide to ignore. The pick is VfB Stuttgart to win at 1.22, with a predicted scoreline of 1-3.
Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main prediction for Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart?
Stuttgart away win is the call, backed at 1.22, with the Bundesliga class gap over a 3. Liga side remaining the single most decisive factor even accounting for the visitors' heavily depleted defensive unit.
What is the highest odd for Hansa Rostock to win?
The best price on a Hansa home win sits at 11.50, reflecting just how steep the mountain is for the hosts. Bettors seeking safer coverage can explore the double chance pairing Hansa with the draw, which cushions the risk without fully committing to the upset.
Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?
Hansa Rostock average 2.9 goals per game at home this season, making their matches naturally high-scoring affairs. However, Stuttgart's cup pedigree, conceding under one goal per game across their last 12 DFB Pokal outings, points toward a tighter contest. The lean is toward N/A given Stuttgart's defensive discipline even when reshuffled.
When and where is Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart played?
The match kicks off on Friday, August 21, 2026, at 20:45 local time (CET) at the Ostseestadion in Rostock, Germany.
Can VfB Stuttgart pull off an upset against Hansa Rostock?
Stuttgart are heavy favourites at 1.22, and realistically the class gap is enormous. Yet eight confirmed absentees in their backline, combined with Hansa's unbeaten home record in 12 of their last 15 at Ostseestadion, keep the upset risk genuine. A historical 2018 DFB Pokal first-round exit against lower-league opposition proves Stuttgart are not immune to shocks.
Which alternative market offers the best value?
Both Teams to Score: No offers solid value at 1.77. Stuttgart's cup defensive record, under one goal conceded per game across 12 DFB Pokal matches, suggests they are capable of keeping a clean sheet even with a reshuffled backline, making a one-sided scoreline the more probable outcome.
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