Energie Cottbus
FC Augsburg
>DFB Pokal · 1st RoundEnergie Cottbus vs FC Augsburg: Prediction and Odds, DFB Pokal, 22/08/2026
The DFB Pokal first round brings Energie Cottbus and FC Augsburg to the Stadion der Freundschaft on August 22, a cup tie dripping with underdog intrigue. Augsburg carry Bundesliga quality and are priced at 1.61 to advance, while Cottbus face a squad in flux after a bruising pre-season. Stakes are simple: survive or go home.
Projected final score: 1-3
FC Augsburg's Bundesliga class is the decisive factor here. Their recent form of WWDWD, combined with an attacking trio of Gregoritsch, Rieder and Ribeiro that comfortably outguns a Cottbus defence conceding 2.0 goals per game, makes the visitors strong favourites. Cottbus, meanwhile, arrive disrupted by suspensions, injuries and a 0-3 cup hammering by Bielefeld. 1.61 reflects the class gap accurately.
Both sides carry genuine attacking threat, with Augsburg's 80% BTTS rate across their last five matches and Cottbus averaging 2.2 goals scored per game suggesting this will not be a shutout. However, Cottbus's defensive vulnerabilities and depleted squad point to a high-scoring affair, making N/A a natural fit for a four-goal total.
Match Analysis
FC Augsburg enter this DFB Pokal first-round tie as commanding favourites at 1.61, and rightly so. Their Bundesliga pedigree, possession dominance of 68%, and an attacking line featuring Gregoritsch, Rieder and new signing Rodrigo Ribeiro represent a clear class advantage over lower-league opposition.
- 68% possession dominance vs Cottbus's 39% signals a significant technical superiority.
- Gregoritsch, Rieder and Ribeiro form an attacking trio that outclasses a defence conceding 2.0 goals per game.
- 80% BTTS rate in Augsburg's last five games confirms they generate chances freely and consistently.
- Cottbus winless in 88% of their last eight DFB Pokal games, underlining cup-format vulnerability.
Energie Cottbus face a steep climb at 4.80, arriving off a damaging 0-3 home defeat to Bielefeld on August 16. Bittencourt's suspension, Cigerci's foot inflammation and Engelhardt's cruciate tear strip the squad of meaningful depth at the worst possible moment.
- Three confirmed absentees, Bittencourt, Cigerci and Engelhardt, severely limit Cottbus's squad options.
- Cottbus concede 2.0 goals per game, a rate that Augsburg's attack is well-equipped to exploit.
- A 0-3 home loss to Bielefeld just days prior reveals poor form and defensive fragility entering this tie.
Key point: Augsburg's 12 away losses in 20 trips keeps the door ajar; backing the double chance covering an away win or draw complements the main prediction without overcommitting to a single outcome.
Statistics and Head-to-Head
Form & Statistics: Energie Cottbus vs FC Augsburg
Energie Cottbus
Season statistics
FC Augsburg
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Probabilities & Odds: Energie Cottbus vs FC Augsburg
Source : betmgm.comMatch Information
Lineups: Energie Cottbus vs FC Augsburg
Energie Cottbus
Starters
- 1 Marcel Lotka
- 2 Henry Rorig
- 3 Dominik Pelivan
- 4 Fousseny Doumbia
- 5 Luca Erlein
- 6 Lukas Michelbrink
- 7 C. Kinsombi
- 8 Julian Guttau
- 9 K. Manu
- 10 Lucas Copado
- 11 Moritz Hannemann
Absent
- Janis Juckel (injury)
- Jannis Boziaris (injury)
- King Manu (injury)
- Erik Engelhardt (injury)
- Jan Shcherbakovski (injury)
- Leonardo Bittencourt (Indirect Card Suspension)
- Tolcay Cigerci (Inflammation of the sole of the foot)
- E. Engelhardt (Cruciate Ligament Tear)
FC Augsburg
Starters
- 1 Finn Dahmen
- 2 Chrislain Matsima
- 3 Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
- 4 Cédric Zesiger
- 5 Robin Fellhauer
- 6 Han-Noah Massengo
- 7 Marius Wolf
- 8 Fabian Rieder
- 9 Anton Kade
- 10 Michael Gregoritsch
- 11 Rodrigo Ribeiro
Absent
- Reece Oxford (injury)
- Alexis Claude-Maurice (injury)
- Thomas Kastanaras (Injury)
- Uchenna Ogundu (Injury)
- Yannik Keitel (Injury)
- Ruben Vargas (Suspension (red card from previous season))
Low confidence
A 4-2-3-1 against a 3-4-2-1 shapes the tactical picture here, though Cottbus's setup carries less certainty, drawn from a single speculative source rather than confirmed reports. Augsburg's structure is the more reliable of the two, with Michael Gregoritsch leading the line and Fabian Rieder providing creativity behind him.
For the third-division hosts, the wide attacking trio behind Moritz Hannemann will need to press aggressively to disrupt Augsburg's wing-backs and deny them rhythm in transition. The confidence gap between these two lineups is real, and Cottbus's final shape may yet shift before kickoff.
Final thoughts on the predictions for Energie Cottbus vs FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg's Bundesliga quality, squad depth, and attacking firepower make them the clear pick to advance past a depleted Cottbus side reeling from a heavy defeat and significant personnel losses. The away win at 1.61 represents the strongest value on the board. Pick: FC Augsburg to win. Cottbus may create noise early, but class should tell over ninety minutes.
Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di gioco.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main prediction for Energie Cottbus vs FC Augsburg?
FC Augsburg away win is the call at 1.61, driven by a massive possession and quality gap: Augsburg dominate the ball at 68% versus Cottbus's 39%, and Cottbus arrive badly depleted after a 0-3 thrashing by Arminia Bielefeld just days before this DFB Pokal opener.
What is the highest odd for Energie Cottbus to win?
The best available price on a Cottbus home victory sits at 4.80, reflecting just how steep the task is against Bundesliga opposition. Punters seeking safer coverage can consider the double chance pairing Cottbus with the draw, though the home win token 4.80 alone illustrates the long odds involved.
Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?
Augsburg's 80% both-teams-to-score rate in their last five matches, combined with Cottbus averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game, points firmly toward a high-scoring affair. The recommendation is Over 2.5 goals at N/A, as both sides carry genuine attacking threat despite their defensive frailties.
When and where is Energie Cottbus vs FC Augsburg played?
The match kicks off on Saturday, 22 August 2026 at 13:00 local time (CEST) at the Stadion der Freundschaft in Cottbus, Germany, the historic home ground of Energie Cottbus.
Can FC Augsburg pull off an upset against Energie Cottbus?
Framing this as an upset is misleading: Augsburg are the clear favourites at 1.61, and rightly so. Cottbus are missing Bittencourt, Cigerci and Engelhardt through suspension and injury, while Augsburg still field Bundesliga-quality starters in Gregoritsch, Rieder and Ribeiro. Augsburg's away form is shaky, but the class gap is simply too wide here.
Which alternative market offers the best value?
With no over/under market odds available to compare, the standout alternative is Both Teams to Score at 1.50. Augsburg's 80% BTTS rate in recent games and Cottbus's leaky defence averaging 2.0 goals conceded per match make this a well-supported angle regardless of which side takes the three points.
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