Elena Rybakina has a tricky round of 16 clash against Katerina Siniakova
The WTA Berlin Open continues with more round of 16 matches today, with Elena Rybakina taking on Katerina Siniakova at Steffi Graf Stadion. The match is expected to be a good tussle between the pair, considering how their earlier battles have panned out. The winner of this match will face the winner of the match between Aryna Sabalenka and Rebeka Masarova for a place in the quarters.
Rybakina enters the Berlin Open after a somewhat surprising loss to Tatjana Maria in the HSCB Championships at the Queen’s Club earlier this month, but earned a straight-sets win over Ashlyn Krueger in the previous round to continue building momentum through tennis’ grass swing.
Rybakina has been quite dominant on serve this year with 210 aces as against 97 double faults. She holds a first serve percentage of 72.9%, while winning 79.6% of her service games. She has also converted 40.5% of her break points.
Final match of the day? Wrapped. Birthday win? Secured. Watch the Elena #Rybakina highlights now! 🎥#BTO pic.twitter.com/yy0wikXgbE
— Berlin Tennis Open (@berlin_tennis) June 17, 2025
On the other hand, Siniakova started her grass-court swing with a round of 32 loss in her first match at the Libema Open, but has come through the qualifiers and her round one win over Viktoriya Tomova without breaking a sweat.
The Czech has struggled quite a bit on serve this year, hitting just 30 aces while serving up 88 double faults. She has a low service games won percentage at 55.7%, and has conceded serve on nearly 51% of break points. Her return game has been decent, with 35.4% return games won and 40.2% conversions on break points.
The pair has met 7 times in their professional career thus far. Their match at the Berlin Open will be their 8th meeting at the highest level. Currently, Rybakina holds a slight 4-3 lead in the head-to-head battle.
The duo first met in Istanbul in 2019, where Rybakina earned a three-set win, which started their rivalry. They last played against each other in the final at Portoroz, Slovenia, in 2022. That meeting went Siniakova’s way in another three-set battle.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Portoroz, Slovenia | Final | Katerina Siniakova | 6-7, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 2022 | Madrid, Spain | Round of 32 | Elena Rybakina | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 2020 | Doha, UAE | Round of 16 | Elena Rybakina | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 2020 | St. Petersburg, Russia | Round of 32 | Elena Rybakina | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 2019 | Guangzhou, China | Round of 32 | Katerina Siniakova | 6-3, 3-1 RET |
| 2019 | Roland Garros | Round of 128 | Katerina Siniakova | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 2019 | Istanbul, Turkey | Round of 32 | Elena Rybakina | 3-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| Elena Rybakina | Category | Katerina Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ranking | 74 |
| 358-154 | Career W-L | 379-277 |
| 27-11 | YTD W-L | 13-13 |
| 9 | Career Titles | 5 |
| 1 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 0 |
Rybakin has had a much better year, and her stronger game on grass should help her in this match as well. She is the 2022 Wimbledon Champion, which backs up her ability to play on this surface.
While the pair have a close head-to-head, this will be their first meeting on grass. In all likelihood, Rybakina is the favorite to win the match.
Match Prediction: Rybakina in three sets
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Rybakina holds a very high win probability of 73%. The money line for this match suggests that Rybakina is the favorite to win this match by a big margin. (Sourced from BetMGM).
| Bet | Elena Rybakina | Katerina Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Match Odds | 3/10 | 5/2 |
As for the number of games and sets, the betting odds by BetMGM reflect that the match is more likely to go to three sets.
Total Sets: Over 2.5: 29/20
Total Sets: Under 2.5: 13/25
Rybakina to Win Over 12.5: 41/50
Siniakova to Win – Over 10.5 – 10/11
Rybakina to Win 2-0: 11/2
Siniakova to Lose 0-2: 5/6
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals, and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
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