Aug 14, 2011; Los Angeles, CA., USA; Los Angeles Dodgers center fielder Matt Kemp (27) is met by second baseman Aaron Miles (6) after a home run against the Houston Astros at Dodger Stadium. Dodgers won 7-0. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

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Dodgers vs. Mets NLCS Game 3: Prediction, Odds, and Top Picks for October 16

Natasha Bose

Last updated: October 16, 2024 - 3 min read

With the series tied 1-1, both teams are vying for an edge. Can Walker Buehler deliver for the Dodgers, or will Luis Severino lead the Mets to victory?

As the LA Dodgers face off against the New York Mets in Game 3 of their best-of-7 NLCS on Wednesday, the stage is set for an exciting showdown at Citi Field, with first pitch scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET (FS1).

Playoff Series Overview

Series Status: Tied 1-1

The Mets pulled off a significant win in Los Angeles, dominating 7-3 to even the series while covering as a +140 road underdog. Star shortstop Francisco Lindor set the tone early with a solo home run in the first inning, leading to a commanding 6-0 lead by the end of the second, highlighted by a grand slam from third baseman Mark Vientos.

Dodgers at Mets Projected Starters

RHP Walker Buehler vs. RHP Luis Severino

Buehler’s Season Stats: (1-6, 5.38 ERA)
- Last Start: 5 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 0 K (Loss vs. San Diego Padres)
- 2024 Postseason Stats: 0-1, 10.80 ERA, 1.60 WHIP in 5 IP
- Career vs. Mets: 1-1, 5.00 ERA (27 IP, 15 ER)
Severino’s Season Stats: (11-7, 3.91 ERA)
- Last Start: 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K (No-decision vs. Philadelphia Phillies)
- 2024 Postseason Stats: 1-0, 4.50 ERA, 1.33 WHIP in 12 IP
- Career vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 10.50 ERA (6 IP, 7 ER)

Dodgers at Mets Odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; Updated at 12:27 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -110 | Mets -110
Run Line (RL): Dodgers -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-190)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

How to watch Dodgers vs. Mets

Who: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
Date: Wednesday, October 16, 2024
Time: 8:08PM ET/5:08PM PT
Venue: Citi Field

Dodgers at Mets Picks and Predictions

Prediction: Mets 6, Dodgers 5

Moneyline: Lean Mets (-110)

The Mets have proven themselves at home this postseason, winning both games, and they have a solid playoff record lately at 3-1. However, this prediction leans towards the Mets as the Dodgers have performed better overall this season and recently defeated the Mets in their last three matchups in New York.

Run Line/Against the Spread: Pass

While the Mets may cover the +1.5 spread (-190), the risk may not justify the bet. It’s advisable to focus on the moneyline or total instead, but if comfortable, consider a split wager between the run line and moneyline.

Over/Under: Bet Over 7.5 (-115)

The Over has hit in the first two games of this series and has a favorable trend with the Mets at 5-1 in their last five postseason games. The Dodgers have also shown a propensity for high-scoring games, going 5-1-1 in their seven playoff contests. Expect the trend of high-scoring matchups to continue as both teams aim for a decisive victory.

Image Credit: © Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images

Natasha Bose

I write about sports because, well, it brings in the big bucks! I’m not some lifelong analyst or stats guru, truth being told, you've probably never heard of me!—I just know how to research, write, and make things sound good. That’s the job!
Got into sports media the same way most people do: by (fortunate) accident. Started with SEO writing, took on a few sports gigs, and now here we are! I cover games, trades, player drama—whatever needs words.
Favorite part? The chaos. One day it's a blockbuster trade, the next it's a goat running onto the field. Never boring.
Message to readers: If you want deep analysis, there are people for that. If you want sharp, no-BS writing that actually makes sense, stick around.