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Daniil Medvedev vs. Karen Khachanov Head to Head Record, Preview and Prediction for Monte Carlo Masters Round-1

Sankalp Harikrishnan

The Russian face-off headlines Round-1 in Monte Carlo.

It’s time for some Russian roulette in France, as Daniil Medvedev takes on Karen Khachanov in the ATP Monte Carlo Masters Round-1 on Monday. It promises to be the most engaging opening round bout of the tournament, with both players moving out of their potentially strongest surface. Can the ninth seed ignore the white noise and prove his mettle on the beloved red dirt?

The year so far has not been all smooth sailing for World No. 11 Daniil Medvedev. The 29-year-old has made a couple of quarterfinal and semifinal appearances each, with Indian Wells being his best result. Yet, Medvedev hasn’t looked like the freakishly good competitor that we’ve seen so often over the years. After bouncing out of the Top-10 for the first time in over two years, the Russian No. 2’s redemption arc starts now.

READ MORE: ATP Monte Carlo Masters 2025 Draw: What Are the Best Round-1 Matches in Monte Carlo?

Karen Khachanov could possibly find it a saving grace that he beat Medvedev at this very tournament 12 months ago. Although clay isn’t his most suited surface either, the Tokyo Olympics silver medalist knows his opponent’s game inside out. He has a 5-7 record to start the season, dropping out of the Top-20 since the start of 2025 in the process.

Daniil Medvedev vs Karen Khachanov Head to Head Record

Daniil Medvedev has an advantageous 6-2 head to head record against Karen Khachanov. Their rivalry dates back to 2017, when they met for the first time in the Next Gen ATP Finals.

The Medvedev-Khachanov duel is like watching two separate movies at the same time. With contrasting styles and approaches, every match between them promises something ginormous. They are yet to face each other on grass, (seven matches on hard, one match on clay). Khachanov’s two victories came in 2018 and 2024.

EventRoundWinnerScore
2025 DohaRound of 32Daniil Medvedev4-6 7-5 6-3
2024 Monte CarloRound of 16Karen Khachanov6-3 7-5
2023 ViennaQuarterfinalDaniil Medvedev6-3 3-6 6-3
2023 MiamiSemifinalDaniil Medvedev7-6(5) 3-6 6-3
2023 Adelaide 1QuarterfinalDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-3
2019 CanadaSemifinalDaniil Medvedev6-1 7-6(6)
2018 MoscowSemifinalKaren Khachanov6-1 6-7(5) 6-3
2017 Next Gen ATP FinalsRound RobinDaniil Medvedev2-4 4-3(6) 4-3(3) 4-2

Daniil Medvedev vs Karen Khachanov Titles Comparison

Daniil MedvedevCategoryKaren Khachanov
1Grand Slams0
20ATP Singles Titles7
0ATP Doubles Titles1
6Masters-1000 Titles1
4ATP-500 Titles0
QF (Tokyo 2020)Best Olympics PerformanceSilver (Tokyo 2020)
No. 11Current World RankingNo. 25

Daniil Medvedev vs Karen Khachanov ATP Monte Carlo Masters 2025 Prediction

Fans of ‘The Octopus’ may want to look away for this, but our initial guesses are that Karen Khachanov will pull off an upset in this blockbuster opening round encounter. The 28-year-old has been serving well, and will back his strengths on this surface to overcome the 2021 US Open champion for the second straight year in Monte Carlo.

Prediction: Karen Khachanov in three sets.

Daniil Medvedev vs Karen Khachanov ATP Monte Carlo Masters 2025 Betting Odds

Daniil Medvedev Win: 4/5

Karen Khachanov Win: 11/10

READ ALSO: How Many Times Has Rafael Nadal Won the Monte Carlo Masters? Exploring the Rafa Nadal-Monte Carlo Romance!

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.

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