Sep 4, 2024; Flushing, NY, USA; Daniil Medvedev serves against Jannik Sinner (ITA)(not pictured) on day ten of the 2024 U.S. Open tennis tournament at USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center.

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Daniil Medvedev vs. Benjamin Bonzi Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for US Open 2025 Round-1

Winner to face Giron or Navone in Round-2.

Sep 4, 2024; Flushing, NY, USA; Daniil Medvedev serves against Jannik Sinner (ITA)(not pictured) on day ten of the 2024 U.S. Open tennis tournament at USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center.

World No. 13 Daniil Medvedev returns to one of his most cherished courts, as he takes on Benjamin Bonzi of France in the 2025 US Open Round of 128. Despite the Russian’s impeccable record at this tournament, his past performances against the Frenchman will leave him worried. As BetMGM presents you with the most accurate betting odds throughout the two weeks in New York, we look to preview this clash on Super Sunday.

Daniil Medvedev vs Benjamin Bonzi Match Preview

Although Daniil Medvedev has been going through a rut this year, his record at the US Open speaks for itself. The 29-year-old was crowned champion here in 2021, and also won the runner-up trophy back in 2019. Provided Medvedev can rewrite history, it will be his maiden championship run of the 2025 campaign. The whirlwind season has seen the former No. 1 reach the Halle final, as well as semifinals at the Open 13 and Indian Wells. His hard court record of 15-10 doesn’t do justice to the potential he carries.

Bonzi Bonanza 🎉@BenjaminBonzi hands Medvedev his first ever Round 1 loss at Wimbledon for a second Top 10 win of his career!#Wimbledon pic.twitter.com/Iw9QYDmQnb
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) June 30, 2025

Benjamin Bonzi continues to take the tour by surprise with sudden outbursts from time to time. Having begun the year by reaching the quarterfinal in Brisbane, Bonzi followed it up with an impressive run to the third round at the Australian Open. After a quiet patch, he beat Cilic and Hurkacz en route to the Round of 32 in Madrid. Another string of poor outings culminated in a confidence-boosting fourth round finish at the Cincinnati Masters – where he upset the likes of Musetti and Tsitsipas. The 29-year-old Frenchman is currently ranked No. 51 in the world.

Daniil Medvedev vs Benjamin Bonzi Head to Head Record

Bonzi leads the head-to-head against Medvedev by 2-0.

The rivalry between Medvedev and Bonzi has spanned close to a decade. Interestingly, the duo is yet to face one another outside Grand Slam events. At the 2017 Roland Garros, Bonzi led Medvedev by two sets to one, before the former World No. 1 retired midway. Eight years later, the rematch was set at this year’s Wimbledon Championships. A scrappy performance from the Russian meant that Bonzi was able to prevail in four sets and maintain his unbeaten record.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025 Wimbledon	Round of 128	Benjamin Bonzi	7-6(2) 3-6 7-6(3) 6-2
2017 Roland Garros	Round of 128	Benjamin Bonzi	5-7 6-4 6-1 3-1 RET.

Daniil Medvedev vs Benjamin Bonzi Career Comparison

Daniil Medvedev	Category	Benjamin Bonzi
13	Current Ranking	51
405-174	Career W-L Record	56-75
26-17	YTD W-L Record	10-16
20	Career Titles	1
0	YTD Titles	0
1	Grand Slams	0

Daniil Medvedev vs Benjamin Bonzi US Open 2025 Prediction

Owing to the fact that this will be a night session encounter, Medvedev will fancy his chances. While the Russian tends to struggle in the heat, slower conditions in the night means that he gets to dictate the pace of play. On the other hand, Bonzi tends to raise his level against the best players. With Medvedev’s defensive approach, the Frenchman can extend his arms and hit through the line. A lot will depend on whether or not Medvedev can execute a high percentage of first serves, and minimize the unforced errors.

Prediction: Daniil Medvedev in four sets.

Daniil Medvedev vs Benjamin Bonzi US Open 2025 Betting Odds

Medvedev is the favourite and Bonzi is the underdog in this US Open 2025 Round of 128 encounter. According to the implied probability on the money line, the Russian has an 81% chance of advancing to the next stage of the competition. Here are the odds for the match result, as well as in-match specifics (as per BetMGM):

Daniil Medvedev Win: 1/5
Benjamin Bonzi Win: 17/5

Total Games <36.5: 17/20
Total Games By Medvedev >20.5: 19/20
Total Games By Bonzi >16.5: 22/25
Medvedev -5.5 (Game Handicap): 3/4
Bonzi +5.5 (Game Handicap): Evens
Medvedev to Win 3-2: 21/5

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Geoff Burke, Imagn Images)

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Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.