Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Champions League · 3rd Qualifying RoundCrvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Prediction and Odds, Champions League, 11/08/2026
Crvena Zvezda welcome Hapoel Be'er Sheva to the Stadion Rajko Mitić on August 11 trailing 1-0 on aggregate in the Champions League third qualifying round. The Serbian giants, priced at 1.21, must overturn that deficit to keep their group stage ambitions alive, with a playoff clash against Aarhus or Sabah awaiting the winner.
Projected final score: 2-0
Crvena Zvezda's structural advantages are compelling here. They have conceded zero goals across two UCL qualifier appearances this campaign and average 3.4 goals per game in their last five matches. Hapoel arrive without Biton, João Victor, and suspended Baltaxa, severely thinning their options. At 1.21, Red Star look well-placed to win the second leg outright.
A 2-0 scoreline reflects Hapoel's intent to defend deep and protect their aggregate lead, limiting the total to two goals. Hapoel's low-block approach should restrict Red Star's volume, but their leaky defence, having shipped 10 goals in five pre-first-leg matches, makes a clean sheet unlikely. N/A suits a match where the visitors prioritise containment over attack.
Match Analysis
Crvena Zvezda enter this second leg at Rajko Mitić as clear favorites at 1.21, averaging 3.4 goals per game across their last five matches while conceding zero in two Champions League qualifier appearances this campaign.
- 3.4 goals per game in last 5 matches signals relentless attacking output at home.
- 0 goals conceded in two UCL qualifier appearances reflects elite defensive solidity.
- First leg played at a neutral venue in Hungary, meaning Hapoel have yet to face Rajko Mitić's hostile atmosphere.
- Hapoel conceded 10 goals in 5 matches pre-first leg, exposing a fragile defensive structure.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva arrive at 11.00 needing only a draw to advance, but travel to Belgrade without Dan Biton and João Victor confirmed out, Pedro Amador and Djibril Diop doubtful, and suspended midfielder Matan Baltaxa also unavailable.
- Confirmed absences of Biton and João Victor strip Hapoel of key creative and midfield cover.
- Matan Baltaxa suspended and Djibril Diop doubtful, leaving the midfield severely undermanned.
- Kings Kangwa departed to Panathinaikos pre-tie, removing another key midfield option entirely.
Key point: With over/under markets unavailable, the double chance covering a home win or draw favors Crvena Zvezda; back 1.21 outright given their dominant home form and Hapoel's depleted squad.
Statistics and Head-to-Head
Form & Statistics: Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Crvena Zvezda
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Recent form
Season statistics (3)
Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
Probabilities & Odds: Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Source : fanduel.comMatch Information
Lineups: Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Crvena Zvezda
Starters
- 1 Matheus
- 2 Young-Woo Seol
- 3 Derrick Luckassen
- 4 Strahinja Erakovic
- 5 Nair Tiknizyan
- 6 Mohammad Abu Fani
- 7 Osman Bukari
- 8 Vasilije Kostov
- 9 Mirko Ivanic
- 10 Bruno Duarte
Bench
- Marko Arnautovic
- Kristiyan Balov
- Jay Enem
- Aleksandar Katai
- Milos Veljkovic
- Timi Elsnik
- Nikola Stankovic
- Matej Strika
- Franklin Uchenna
- Muhammed Cham
- Loizos Loizou
- Ivan Gutesa
Absent
- Douglas Owusu (suspended)
- Mahmudu Bajo (suspended)
- Vladimir Lucic (suspended)
- Lazar Jovanovic (suspension)
- Adem Avdić (injury)
- Rade Krunic (injury)
- Rodrigão (suspended)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Starters
- 1 Ofir Marciano
- 2 Guy Mizrahi
- 3 Miguel Vitor
- 4 Itay Rotman
- 5 Pedro Amador
- 6 Niv Yehoshua
- 7 Lucas Ventura
- 8 Eliel Peretz
- 9 Javon East
- 10 Igor Zlatanovic
- 11 Zahi Ahmed
Bench
- Mohamad Kanaan
- Amir Ganah
- Ofir Davidzada
- Roy Levi
- Amit Ohana
- Yoav Koren
- Itay Hazout
- Yoni Stoyanov
- Marco Wolff
- Djibril Diop
- Mohammed Abu Rumi
Absent
- Dan Biton (injury)
- João Victor (injury)
- Matan Baltaxa (Suspension (second yellow card in first leg))
Medium confidence
A 4-2-3-1 against a 4-3-3 shapes this Champions League qualifying clash, with Crvena Zvezda's double pivot of Rade Krunic and Abu Fani tasked with controlling the tempo against a Hapoel midfield trio that will look to press high and transition quickly.
Hapoel's lineup carries an asterisk: it has been adjusted from their first-leg confirmed XI due to a suspension, introducing a small degree of uncertainty around their attacking shape. Zvezda, by contrast, look settled, with Bruno Duarte leading the line and Bukari providing width in what appears a coherent, rehearsed structure.
Final thoughts on the predictions for Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Crvena Zvezda's firepower, defensive solidity at home, and the loss of Kangwa for Hapoel Be'er Sheva all point in one direction. A 1-0 aggregate deficit looks entirely surmountable for a side averaging over three goals per match. The pick is Crvena Zvezda to win at 1.21, overturning the tie and advancing to the playoff round.
Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main prediction for Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva?
Crvena Zvezda to win at 1.21 is the main pick, backed by a 68% confidence rating. The single most decisive factor is Red Star's blistering attack, averaging 3.4 goals per game across their last five matches, giving them every tool to overturn the 1-0 first-leg deficit on home soil.
What is the highest odd for Crvena Zvezda to win?
The best price on a Crvena Zvezda victory is available at 1.21. For bettors who prefer a safety net, a double chance covering both a home win and the draw is a sensible alternative, effectively insuring against a narrow stalemate while still backing Red Star to advance.
Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?
Crvena Zvezda are averaging 3.4 goals per game in their last five outings, and Hapoel Be'er Sheva conceded 10 goals in five matches heading into this tie. With Red Star needing to score and the visitors badly depleted, backing N/A looks well-supported by the underlying numbers.
When and where is Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva played?
The match kicks off on Tuesday, 11 August 2026 at 20:00 local time (CEST) at the Stadion Rajko Mitić in Belgrade, Serbia, one of the most intimidating arenas in European qualifying.
Can Hapoel Be'er Sheva pull off an upset against Crvena Zvezda?
Hapoel arrive holding a 1-0 lead, which is their biggest asset, but the 11.00 price reflects just how steep the task is at Rajko Mitić. Key absences, including suspended Matan Baltaxa and injured Dan Biton and João Victor, gut their midfield depth, and their defensive record of 10 goals conceded in five games makes a clean sheet extremely unlikely.
Which alternative market offers the best value?
With no over/under market data available, Both Teams to Score at N/A stands out as the value play. Hapoel hold a lead and must attack if Red Star equalise, while Crvena Zvezda's depleted double pivot creates pockets for a Hapoel counter, making a goal at each end a realistic outcome.
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