Colombia
Congo DR
>World Cup · 2Colombia vs Congo DR: Prediction and Odds, World Cup, 23/06/2026
Colombia face DR Congo at Guadalajara Stadium on June 23 in a Group K clash that could seal early knockout-stage passage for Los Cafeteros. Priced at 1.54, Nestor Lorenzo’s side carry genuine momentum after dismantling Uzbekistan 3-1 in the opener, while Congo return buoyed by a historic point snatched against Portugal.
Projected final score: 2-1
Colombia are the clear favourites here, ranked 12th in the world against Congo DR’s 43rd, and their 3-1 opening win over Uzbekistan underlines a side in sharp attacking form. With James Rodriguez operating as a number 10 and Luis Diaz on the left, 1.54 reflects a team capable of controlling this group-stage decider and securing early knockout qualification.
Colombia’s average of 2.17 goals per game over their last six outings points to goals, but Congo DR’s 5-3-2 defensive block and four clean sheets in that same span suggest this will not be a blowout. Yoane Wissa’s counter-attacking threat, as shown against Portugal, makes 2.35 a credible angle, keeping the total tight at three goals.
Recommended Bets for Colombia vs Congo DR
Colombia vs Congo DR, Odds Comparison
Match Analysis
Colombia enter as commanding favourites at 1.54, ranked 12th in the world and riding strong momentum after a 3-1 opening win over Uzbekistan. A second victory here would seal knockout qualification early, giving Lorenzo’s side every reason to attack.
- 13 goals in their last 6 matches (2.17 per game) highlights elite attacking output.
- 3-1 win over Uzbekistan in the opener provides momentum and a platform to qualify.
- James Rodriguez at No. 10 in a 4-2-3-1 unlocked Uzbekistan and threatens any defence.
- Rocky Bushiri ruled out with an Achilles injury, disrupting Congo DR’s back-five structure.
Congo DR face a steep challenge at 6.25, returning to the World Cup stage for the first time in 52 years. Their 1-1 draw with Portugal showed resilience, but their 5-3-2 block must absorb a Colombian attack operating at full intensity.
- Only 4 goals in their last 6 matches (0.67 per game) exposes a toothless attack.
- Congo DR have failed to score in three of their last six games, limiting their threat.
- Key defender Rocky Bushiri is absent, weakening the defensive structure against Luis Diaz.
Key point: With Congo DR’s defensive discipline and just 4 goals in 6 games, the under 2.5 goals market at 1.62 offers a complementary angle if Colombia win narrowly.
Statistics and Head-to-Head
Form & Statistics: Colombia vs Congo DR
Colombia
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Congo DR
Recent form
Season statistics (3)
Probabilities & Odds: Colombia vs Congo DR
Source : betmgm.comMatch Information
Lineups: Colombia vs Congo DR
Colombia
Starters
- 1 Camilo Vargas
- 2 Daniel Munoz
- 3 Davinson Sanchez
- 4 Jhon Lucumi
- 5 Johan Mojica
- 6 Jefferson Lerma
- 7 Gustavo Puerta
- 8 Jhon Arias
- 9 James Rodriguez
- 10 Luis Diaz
- 11 Luis Suarez
Bench
- David Ospina
- Alvaro Montero
- Yerry Mina
- Willer Ditta
- Deiver Machado
- Santiago Arias
- Richard Rios
- Kevin Castano
- Jorge Carrascal
- Jaminton Campaz
- Andres Gomez
- Juan Camilo Hernandez
Absent
- Juan Guillermo Cuadrado (Persistent thigh injury; not selected for World Cup squad due to ongoing fitness issues during 2025/26 season.)
Congo DR
Starters
- 1 Lionel Mpasi
- 2 Aaron Wan-Bissaka
- 3 Chancel Mbemba
- 4 Axel Tuanzebe
- 5 Steve Kapuadi
- 6 Arthur Masuaku
- 7 Ngal'ayel Mukau
- 8 Edo Kayembe
- 9 Samuel Moutoussamy
- 10 Cedric Bakambu
- 11 Yoane Wissa
Bench
- Timothy Fayulu
- Joris Kayembe
- Gedeon Kalulu
- Dylan Batubinsika
- Noah Sadiki
- Charles Pickel
- Aaron Tshibola
- Gael Kakuta
- Theo Bongonda
- Simon Banza
- Meschak Elia
- Fiston Mayele
Absent
- Rocky Bushiri (Serious Achilles injury sustained during World Cup preparations; replaced in the squad.)
Medium confidence
A 4-2-3-1 against a 5-3-2 sets up a compelling tactical contest, with Colombia’s width through Luis Diaz and Jhon Arias likely to probe Congo DR’s wing-backs relentlessly. James Rodriguez operates as the creative fulcrum behind a single striker, giving Los Cafeteros a clear attacking identity.
Congo DR’s five-man defensive block, anchored by Chancel Mbemba and supported by a compact midfield trio, is designed to absorb pressure and threaten on the counter through Yoane Wissa and Cedric Bakambu. Both lineups carry similar confidence levels across multiple credible outlets, so the tactical picture is reasonably settled on both sides.
Final thoughts on the predictions for Colombia vs Congo DR
Colombia’s superior ranking, attacking firepower, and momentum from their opening 3-1 win over Uzbekistan make them the clear pick here. Congo DR showed heart against Portugal, but replicating that effort against a side this clinical is a tall order. The pick is Colombia to win at 1.54, a price that reflects fair value given the gap in quality. Odds and markets subject to change.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main prediction for Colombia vs Congo DR?
Colombia to win at 1.54 is the clear call here. Ranked 30 places above Congo DR and averaging over two goals per game across their last six outings, Los Cafeteros have the attacking firepower and momentum from their 3-1 opener to control this Group Stage 2 fixture.
What is the highest odd for Colombia to win?
The best home-win price is available at 1.54. For bettors seeking safer coverage, a double chance backing Colombia or a draw removes the upset risk entirely, though the home-win price alone already reflects a strong probability given Colombia’s commanding ranking and form advantage.
Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?
Colombia average 2.17 goals scored per game in their last six matches, and Congo DR’s compact 5-3-2 shape has conceded in four of those six contests. The dynamics point toward a multi-goal Colombian performance. Over 2.5 goals at 2.25 carries genuine appeal in this matchup.
When and where is Colombia vs Congo DR played?
Colombia vs Congo DR kicks off at 02:00 UTC on 24 June 2026, which is 04:00 CET. The match is played at Guadalajara Stadium in Guadalajara, Mexico.
Can Congo DR pull off an upset against Colombia?
An upset is possible but genuinely difficult. Congo DR’s 1-1 draw with Portugal shows resilience, and Yoane Wissa is a live threat on the counter. However, the 6.25 price reflects a side that has scored just four goals in six games against a Colombia team operating at a significantly higher level.
Which alternative market offers the best value?
With Colombia’s attacking quality and Congo DR’s limited scoring output, BTTS No at 1.57 offers solid value. Congo DR have failed to score in three of their last six matches, and Colombia’s defensive organisation makes it realistic that the Leopards are kept quiet here.
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