Casa Pia
Benfica
>Liga Portugal · 2Casa Pia vs Benfica: Prediction and Odds, Liga Portugal, 17/08/2026
Estádio Pina Manique hosts a compelling Liga Portugal clash on August 17 as Casa Pia welcome Benfica, both still searching for their first win of the 2026/27 season. The Eagles carry a remarkable 50-game unbeaten league streak into this fixture, with the market pricing them at 1.24 to extend it further.
Projected final score: 0-2
Benfica's quality shines through despite key absences: Pavlidis, Rafa Silva, and Schjelderup remain available, preserving an attack averaging 2.3 goals per game across their last 10 matches. Casa Pia, sitting 16th after an opening-day defeat to Marítimo, have won just 2 of their last 17 home league games, making 1.24 compelling value here.
A low-to-moderate scoring game is expected, with N/A reflecting Casa Pia's anaemic 0.5 goals per game in recent form and Benfica's defensive reshuffling without Otamendi and Aursnes. The hosts lack the cutting edge to trouble a reorganised Benfica backline, pointing toward a controlled, professional two-goal away victory.
Match Analysis
Benfica arrive at Estadio Municipal Pina Manique as overwhelming favourites at 1.24, backed by a 50-game Primeira Liga unbeaten run and an attacking average of 2.3 goals per game across their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- 50-game Primeira Liga unbeaten run gives Benfica unmatched momentum entering Round 2.
- 2.3 goals per game in last 10 matches; Pavlidis, Rafa Silva, and Schjelderup all available.
- Europa League rotation against Hearts (7-2 aggregate) leaves key attackers rested and sharp.
- Benfica's squad depth vastly outclasses Casa Pia despite 5 key absentees through injury and suspension.
Casa Pia face a steep challenge at 11.00, having opened the season with a 1-0 defeat to Marítimo and suffering a 6-2 pre-season hammering by Leixões, with stand-in coach Gonçalo Brandão still reshaping a fragile squad.
- Only 2 home wins in their last 17 Liga Portugal games signal chronic structural weakness.
- 0.5 goals per game in their last 10 matches; attack too blunt to threaten Benfica's defence.
- Squad rebuild incomplete; 4 players unavailable, including Livolant and Abdu Conte, thinning options further.
Key point: With Casa Pia averaging under a goal per game and Benfica's defence still functional despite absences, the double chance pairing with under 3.5 total goals offers a measured alternative angle.
Statistics and Head-to-Head
Form & Statistics: Casa Pia vs Benfica
Casa Pia
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Benfica
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Casa Pia vs Benfica: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
Probabilities & Odds: Casa Pia vs Benfica
Source : betmgm.comMatch Information
Lineups: Casa Pia vs Benfica
Casa Pia
Starters
- 1 Andre Gomes
- 2 Andre Geraldes
- 3 Kaly
- 4 David Sousa
- 5 João Goulart
- 6 Sebastian Perez
- 7 Lawrence Ofori
- 8 Gabi Pereira
- 9 Oluwakorede David Osundina
- 10 Henrique Araujo
- 11 Rochinha
Absent
- Jérémy Livolant (disciplinary proceedings/transfer rumors)
- Abdu Conte (unavailable (conflicting reports, listed in some probable XIs but also as unavailable))
- Kiki (unavailable)
- Claudio Mendes (unavailable)
- Duplexe Tchamba (unavailable)
- Kevin Prieto (unavailable (conflicting reports, listed in some probable XIs but also as unavailable))
- Max Svensson (unavailable)
Benfica
Starters
- 1 Samuel Soares
- 2 Unknown RB
- 3 Tomás Araújo
- 4 Clément Lenglet
- 5 Samuel Dahl
- 6 Leandro Barreiro
- 7 Enzo Barrenechea
- 8 Rafa Silva
- 9 Andreas Schjelderup
- 10 Vangelis Pavlidis
Absent
- Gonçalo Oliveira (injury)
- Gianluca Prestianni (suspended)
- Fredrik Aursnes (injury)
- Amar Dedić (unavailable (close to transfer))
- Franjo Ivanović (leaving club)
- Nicolás Otamendi (suspended (accumulation of bookings))
- Bruma (long-term injury)
- Manu Silva (long-term injury)
- Alexander Bah (long-term injury (conflicting reports, listed in some probable XIs but also as long-term injury))
- Joshua Wynder (injury)
- Jakub Kamiński (metatarsal bruise)
- A. Tué Na Bangna (red card suspension)
Medium confidence
A 4-3-3 versus 4-2-3-1 shapes up as the tactical frame for this Liga Portugal opener, with Casa Pia looking to press high through Henrique Araújo and Rochinha on the flanks, while Benfica's double pivot of Barreiro and Barrenechea aims to control the midfield tempo.
Benfica's right-back slot remains unconfirmed in the probable XI, adding a small layer of uncertainty to the visitors' defensive shape. Vangelis Pavlidis leads the line for the away side, and how Casa Pia's back four handles his movement could prove the defining contest of the evening.
Final thoughts on the predictions for Casa Pia vs Benfica
Benfica's 50-game unbeaten streak in the Primeira Liga, combined with Casa Pia's defensive vulnerabilities and poor pre-season form, makes the away win at 1.24 the clear selection. The Eagles rotated heavily in Europe, keeping key players fresh for this fixture. Casa Pia's head-to-head resilience is notable, but their current squad instability tips the balance firmly toward Benfica. Pick: Benfica to win at 1.24. Odds correct at time of publication.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main prediction for Casa Pia vs Benfica?
Benfica away win is the call here at 1.24, backed by the Eagles' 50-game Primeira Liga unbeaten run against a Casa Pia side that has scored just 0.5 goals per game across their last ten league matches and opened this season with a defeat.
What is the highest odd for Casa Pia to win?
Casa Pia's home victory is available at 11.00, reflecting how unlikely an upset is considered. Bettors seeking safer coverage can explore the double chance backing Casa Pia or a draw in words, though the gap in squad quality makes even that a stretch given current form.
Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?
Benfica have averaged 2.3 goals per game across their last ten matches, and even a defensively fragile Casa Pia side should contribute to the tally. Over 2.5 goals at N/A looks the natural lean, with Pavlidis, Rafa Silva, and Schjelderup all expected to start for the visitors.
When and where is Casa Pia vs Benfica played?
The match kicks off on Monday, 17 August 2026 at 20:15 local time (Western European Summer Time) at the Estádio Pina Manique in Lisbon, the home ground of Casa Pia.
Can Benfica pull off an upset against Casa Pia?
Framing this correctly: Benfica are the heavy favourites, not the underdogs. Casa Pia are the side attempting the upset, and their H2H record, including a 3-1 win in January 2025, gives them a genuine reference point. However, 1.24 reflects how strongly the market backs Benfica, and the squad disparity makes a Casa Pia repeat difficult to price as likely.
Which alternative market offers the best value?
With no BTTS or Over/Under odds supplied for this fixture, the standout alternative angle is Benfica to win and over 2.5 goals combined. Benfica's attacking core has scored in ten consecutive matches across all competitions, and Casa Pia's defensive fragility, highlighted by that 6-2 pre-season loss, makes N/A the value add alongside the main pick.
nba 
soccer 
