Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Mattia Bellucci Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for US Open 2025 Round – 2

Carlos Alcaraz looks to keep his dominant 2025 season rolling as he faces Italy’s Mattia Bellucci.

Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Second seed Carlos Alcaraz continues his US Open 2025 campaign against Italy’s Matteo Bellucci in the second round. Alcaraz opened with a straight-sets win over Reilly Opelka, while Bellucci advanced after Shang Juncheng retired in the fourth set due to a foot injury.

Alcaraz’s season has been nothing short of dominant. The Spaniard has already claimed six titles: Rotterdam, Monte Carlo, Rome, Roland Garros, London, and most recently Cincinnati. In the latter, Jannik Sinner retired in the final due to fatigue. He also reached finals in Barcelona and Wimbledon, adding semifinals in Indian Wells and quarterfinals in Melbourne and Doha. Only a shock loss to David Goffin in Miami and a Madrid withdrawal stand out as blemishes. Statistically, he has piled up 355 aces, winning 73% of first-serve points and converting 45% of 562 break opportunities.

Carlos Alcaraz with an INSANE FOREHAND PASSING SHOT against Opelka at the U.S. Open.

Just a flick of the wrist.

Absurd talent. 🤯🤯🤯

pic.twitter.com/tNSRrpxolI
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) August 26, 2025

Bellucci, ranked No. 65, enters as the underdog but brings notable highlights of his own. The Italian reached the third round at Wimbledon, his Grand Slam best, and impressed in Rotterdam with a semifinal run that included wins over Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas. He has also captured six ITF and four Challenger titles, including the 2025 Serve First Open. This season, he has hit 149 aces, winning 72% of first-serve points, 28% of return points, and 35% of break points converted out of 152 opportunities.

Mattia Bellucci avanza agli US Open 2025! 🎾🇮🇹

L’azzurro archivia Shang e vola al 2° turno degli US Open: l'azzurro attende il vincente di Alcaraz-Opelka#Tennis #USOpen2025 #Bellucci pic.twitter.com/T1gbqb9uES
— Eurosport IT (@Eurosport_IT) August 25, 2025

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Mattia Bellucci Head-to-Head Record

Carlos Alcaraz and Mattia Bellucci do not have a head-to-head record yet.

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Mattia Bellucci Comparison

Carlos Alcaraz	Category	Mattia Bellucci
2	Current Ranking	65
263-62	Career W-L	16-23
54-6	YTD W-L	10-14
22	Career Titles	0
5	Grand Slams	0
6	YTD Titles	0

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Mattia Bellucci Prediction

Alcaraz’s six titles and relentless form point to a straightforward win, but Bellucci’s fearless shot-making could make this a livelier contest than expected.

Carlos Alcaraz is rocking a new haircut for the US Open 👀 pic.twitter.com/h0xidUHc3Q
— ESPN (@espn) August 25, 2025

Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Mattia Bellucci US Open 2025 Betting Odds

At 1/40, Alcaraz is the overwhelming favorite, with Bellucci at 12/1, a long shot despite his breakthrough in Rotterdam.

Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:

Carlos Alcaraz: 1/40

Mattia Bellucci: 12/1

Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):

Total Sets Under 4.5: 1/10

Total Sets Over 4.5: 6/1

Total Games Under 27.5: 37/20

Total Game Over 27.5: 2/5

Alcaraz Set 1 Winner: 1/7

Bellucci Set 1 Winner: 9/2

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Image Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Carlos Alcaraz

Rudra Dubey

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I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.