The Atlanta Dream and Indiana Fever meet tonight in a winner‑take‑all Game 3 at Gateway Center Arena, with a trip to the WNBA semifinals on the line. Each team has held at home so far, with Atlanta taking Game 1 by 12, Indiana answering with a 17‑point win in Game 2. The Fever, playing without six injured players including Caitlin Clark, leaned on Kelsey Mitchell’s 19 points and Aliyah Boston’s inside presence to extend the series.
Atlanta Dream will look to re‑establish the offensive flow that carried them in the opener, when Allisha Gray and Rhyne Howard combined for 40 points. In Game 2, the Dream were held to just 60 points, their second‑lowest total of the season, and shot 5‑for‑19 from three‑point range. Naz Hillmon’s foul trouble and limited bench scoring left them chasing the game from the second quarter onward.
The Indiana Fever’s defensive intensity and timely shooting, including Lexie Hull’s buzzer‑beating three to end the third quarter, proved decisive in Indianapolis. Now, the challenge shifts to replicating that effort on the road against a Dream team that went 16‑6 at home in the regular season.
| Recommended Bets | Selection | FanDuel | BetMGM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race to 30 Pts | Dream | -205 | -190 |
| First Field Goal | Aliyah Boston | +175 | +425 |
| Winning Margin | Dream by 6-10 | +390 | +350 |
When: Thursday, September 18, 2025
Time: 07:30 pm ET
Venue: Gateway Center Arena at College Park
TV: ESPN
Live Stream: ESPN+, Disney+, Fubo
With that matchup in mind, let’s break down the key betting angles and player props for Game 2.
Atlanta enters Game 3 as a clear favorite at home, reflected in the ‑6.5 spread and ‑300 money line. The Dream’s strong home record and Indiana’s depleted roster give them an edge, but the Fever’s Game 2 defensive effort showed they can slow the pace.
The total at 153.5 suggests oddsmakers expect a moderately high‑scoring game, though both teams have had one low‑scoring outing in the series. Rhyne Howard’s points line at 17.5 is a key prop. She scored 20 in Game 1 but was held to 10 in Game 2. The Atlanta Dream’s chances improve significantly if she reaches or exceeds that mark.
| Bet Type | Line / Selection | BetMGM Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Total | O 153.5 | -105 |
| Spread | Dream -6.5 | -115 |
| Player Points | O 17.5 – Rhyne Howard | -110 |
| Money Line | Dream | -300 |
Kelsey Mitchell — Over 19.5 (-125) Indiana Fever’s lead scorer with 27 in Game 1 and 19 in Game 2. High usage, strong three‑point shooting, and heavy minutes make her a reliable scoring threat. With multiple teammates out, she’ll carry the offensive load again, giving her a solid chance to clear 19.5 points.
Rhyne Howard — Over 17.5 (-110) Scored 20 in Game 1, then limited to 10 in Game 2 under tighter defense. Back at home, she should see better spacing and more touches. Atlanta Dream’s offense runs through her, and in a decisive game, her scoring volume should rise enough to challenge the 17.5 line.
Allisha Gray — Over 16.5 (-115) Dropped 20 in Game 1, fueled by nine free throws, but foul trouble cut her to 9 in Game 2. At home, she’s likely to attack more and get to the line. If she stays aggressive and avoids fouls, she can surpass 16.5 points.
Main Pick — Rhyne Howard Over 17.5 (-110 at BetMGM) Howard’s role, minutes, and bounce‑back potential make her the most appealing prop. She’s Atlanta’s go‑to scorer in big moments and will likely play 35+ minutes. At home, with better efficiency, she has a strong chance to clear 17.5, especially if she finds early rhythm from deep or at the line.
The Dream are favored by -6.5 points at home, a margin that reflects both their strong 16‑6 regular‑season home record and Indiana’s depleted roster. With Rhyne Howard and Allisha Gray leading the scoring load, plus Naz Hillmon’s inside presence, Atlanta has the tools to control the pace and build a multi‑possession lead.
For Indiana, covering depends on Kelsey Mitchell’s scoring efficiency and Aliyah Boston’s impact in the paint. If the Fever can limit turnovers and hit timely threes, they could keep it close into the fourth quarter. Still, Atlanta’s depth, health, and home‑court advantage make them the safer pick to pull away late.
Spread/Money Line Pick: Atlanta Dream -6.5 (-115) at BetMGM
Atlanta is the betting favorite at home, listed around ‑6.5 on the spread and ‑300 on the moneyline at BetMGM.
The Fever need efficient scoring from Kelsey Mitchell, strong interior play from Aliyah Boston, and to limit turnovers.
Rhyne Howard’s points line at 17.5 is a key focus, with bettors eyeing a bounce‑back performance at home.
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