Nov 3, 2023; Cancun, Mexico; Aryna Sabalenka hugs Elena Rybakina (KAZ) at the net after their match on day six of the GNP Saguaros WTA Finals Cancun.

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Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for WTA Cincinnati Open 2025 Quarterfinal

Two powerhouse Grand Slam champions square off in Cincinnati.

Nov 3, 2023; Cancun, Mexico; Aryna Sabalenka hugs Elena Rybakina (KAZ) at the net after their match on day six of the GNP Saguaros WTA Finals Cancun.

Two of the biggest ball strikers on the WTA Tour will collide at the 2025 Cincinnati Open, when Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina meet in the quarterfinals on Friday. It is a rivalry that has an adventurous history full of quality tennis. With both players in top form, this match-up promises to be one for the history books. Using BetMGM, we provide you with the most accurate predictions and betting odds for the Cincinnati Masters.

Competing in her first event since Wimbledon, World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka is back to her ruthless best. The 27-year-old Belarusian has three titles and four finals to her name in 2025, including the semifinal or better at all the majors. After beating Grand Slam champions Vondrousova and Raducanu in her opening two matches at Cincinnati, the top seed earned her 50th win of the season by thrashing Bouzas Maneiro in the Round of 16. Coming in as the defending champion, Sabalenka will start as the firm favourite.

Meanwhile, Elena Rybakina required three sets in all her contests thus far – including a Round of 16 vs Australian Open champ Keys. The Kazakh sensation overcame her Wimbledon disappointment by reaching back-to-back semifinals in Washington and Montreal, and looks to make it a hat-trick on Friday. Rybakina’s 40-15 record in 2025 places her at No. 10 in the world at the moment. Despite winning just one trophy in Strasbourg so far, her consistency makes her a strong contender at the upcoming US Open in August.

Elena Rybakina and Aryna Sabalenka will face each other in the Cincinnati Quarterfinals.

Aryna leads the head to head 7-4.

They’ve split their last 4 meetings.

The last time they played, Elena had 4 match points, but Aryna pulled off the comeback.

The two biggest servers.… pic.twitter.com/khU4FrniAA
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) August 14, 2025

Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Head to Head Record

Sabalenka leads the head-to-head against Rybakina by 7-4 so far.

Having stood across the net for the first time in 2019, Sabalenka and Rybakina have weaved one of the finest duels in the WTA. The Belarusian won their first four battles – including the Australian Open final in 2023. Since then however, it has been practically impossible to split the two. The outcome of their most recent encounter was determined by a third set tiebreak, in Stuttgart earlier this year.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025 Stuttgart	Quarterfinal	Aryna Sabalenka	7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(6)
2024 WTA Finals	Round Robin	Elena Rybakina	6-4 3-6 6-1
2024 Madrid	Semifinal	Aryna Sabalenka	1-6 7-5 7-6(5)
2024 Brisbane	Final	Elena Rybakina	6-0 6-3
2023 WTA Finals	Round Robin	Aryna Sabalenka	6-2 3-6 6-3
2023 Beijing	Quarterfinal	Elena Rybakina	7-5 6-2
2023 Indian Wells	Final	Elena Rybakina	7-6(11) 6-4
2023 Australian Open	Final	Aryna Sabalenka	4-6 6-3 6-4
2021 Wimbledon	Round of 16	Aryna Sabalenka	6-3 4-6 6-3
2021 Abu Dhabi	Quarterfinal	Aryna Sabalenka	6-4 4-6 6-3
2019 Wuhan	Quarterfinal	Aryna Sabalenka	6-3 1-6 6-1

Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Career Comparison

Aryna Sabalenka	Category	Elena Rybakina
1	Current Ranking	10
466-197	Career W-L	371-158
50-9	YTD W-L	40-15
20	Career Titles	9
3	YTD Titles	1
3	Grand Slams	1

Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina WTA Cincinnati Open 2025 Prediction

Although Sabalenka has a comfortable edge in the head-to-head, she is yet to beat Rybakina in straight sets. The top seed will be fully aware that she needs to be on top of her game to overpower the former Wimbledon winner. Rybakina’s one-dimensional approach means that she will need to be fearless in her shot making, and go for the lines. Meanwhile, the World No. 1 will use slices and drops to upset the rhythm of her opponent. Expect an increase in the average ace count, winners and unforced errors.

Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka in straight sets.

Meeting No. 12 coming 🔜

You DON'T want to miss Sabalenka vs. Rybakina 😼

Stream it LIVE on our Tennis Channel App this Friday! #CincyTennis pic.twitter.com/b6JdRaqUR4
— Tennis Channel (@TennisChannel) August 14, 2025

Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina WTA Cincinnati Open 2025 Betting Odds

Sabalenka has received heavy backing in terms of the betting odds for the Cincinnati QF against Rybakina. She comes in with a 75% chance of advancing to the semifinal stage, according to the money line. Take a look at the odds for the winner, as well as in-match specifics (as per BetMGM):

Aryna Sabalenka Win: 13/25
Elena Rybakina Win: 31/20

Total Games By Sabalenka >12.5: 17/20
Total Games By Rybakina >11.5: 13/20
Rybakina to Win At Least 1 Set (Yes): 11/20
Total Number of Tiebreaks <0.5: 4/9
Total Games in Set-1 >9.5: 4/5

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Susan Mullane, Imagn Images)

Aryna Sabalenka

Betting

Cincinnati Open

Elena Rybakina

Tennis

US Open

WTA

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.