Sep 1, 2025; Flushing, NY, USA; Alex de Minaur (AUS) celebrates after his match against Leandro Riedi (SUI) (not pictured) on day nine of the 2025 US Open tennis championships at Billie Jean King National Tennis Center.

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Alex de Minaur vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for US Open 2025 Quarterfinal

Winner to face Sinner or Musetti in the SF.

No. 8 seed Alex de Minaur will test his skills against surprise quarterfinalist Felix Auger-Aliassime in the 2025 US Open Quarterfinals on Wednesday. The Australian will be hoping to enter his maiden Grand Slam semifinal, but will receive stiff opposition from a man who has taken out the No. 3 and No. 15 seeds in his last two matches. When two players with compact attacking game-styles come face to face, there are bound to be fireworks. Let’s preview this clash, after which BetMGM will offer the best betting odds.

Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match Preview

There is no questioning the fact that Alex de Minaur is a hard court maestro. Both physically and tactically, the 26-year-old has weaved a masterful brand of attacking tennis which has given him success. With a Washington DC championship run, Rotterdam final and Australian Open QF being his best hard court outings in 2025, de Minaur set himself up perfectly at Flushing Meadows. He has a 41-15 record this year, which includes 84% service games won and 60% break points saved on this surface.

Alex de Minaur becomes the first Australian man to reach back-to-back U.S. Open quarterfinals since Lleyton Hewitt.

🇦🇺😈 pic.twitter.com/PrkS4Suyqn
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) September 1, 2025

Touted to reach the Round of 32 at best, Felix Auger-Aliassime proved why they call him the biggest Canadian talent over the past decade. With swashbuckling upset wins over Zverev and Rublev, the World No. 27 will now bid for a re-entry into the semifinals in New York. It has been a season of blowing hot and cold for the 25-year-old in 2025. Despite securing title charges in Adelaide and Montpellier, FAA’s outings at the majors as well as the clay court season have let him down. He enters this match with a win percentage of 65% so far this year.

SEAMLESS AUGER-ALIASSIME 🇨🇦 pic.twitter.com/BeSLtMWf3H
— US Open Tennis (@usopen) September 1, 2025

Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Head to Head Record

Felix Auger-Aliassime leads the head-to-head against Alex de Minaur by 2-1. It is a rivalry that began in 2022.

3 years ago, Felix Auger-Aliassime and Alex de Minaur met in the Davis Cup Final. Today they meet in the US Open Quarter-final.

Who is your winner? 💬 pic.twitter.com/TlQTfLIVnr
— Davis Cup (@DavisCup) September 2, 2025

The Canadian won the first two encounters in this duel – at the 2022 Cincinnati Masters and 2022 Davis Cup. However, ‘Demon’ bounced back on the hallowed clay in 2024. He required three tight sets to overcome FAA in a Roman Round of 32 marathon.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2024 Rome	Round of 32	Alex de Minaur	6-7(2) 6-4 6-4
2022 Davis Cup	Final	Felix Auger-Aliassime	6-3 6-4
2022 Cincinnati	Round of 32	Felix Auger-Aliassime	6-3 6-2

Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Career Comparison

Alex de Minaur	Category	Felix Auger-Aliassime
8	Current Ranking	27
290-170	Career W-L Record	248-165
41-15	YTD W-L Record	33-18
10	Career Titles	7
1	YTD Titles	2
0	Grand Slams	0

Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-Aliassime US Open 2025 Prediction

Although de Minaur has dropped just a solitary set en route to the last eight, Auger-Aliassime will be his first seeded opponent at this year’s event. The Australian has not endured a fighting battle against a high profile ATP star just yet. This might play into the hands of the Canadian, who is high on confidence and form. If de Minaur can frustrate him with his counter-punch tennis, there are chances of drawing errors from the FAA racquet. However, it all depends on execution on the day.

Prediction: Alex de Minaur in four sets.

Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-Aliassime US Open 2025 Betting Odds

The odds are slightly in favour of Alex de Minaur for this QF bout against Felix Auger-Aliassime. According to the implied probability on the money line, the Australian has a 58% chance of advancing to the final four. Here are the odds (as per BetMGM):

Alex de Minaur Win: 4/6
Auger-Aliassime Win: 5/4

Total Games <38.5: 19/20
Total Sets >3.5: 13/25
Auger-Aliassime +2.5 (Game Handicap): 17/20
de Minaur -2.5 (Game Handicap): 10/11
Total Minutes >/< 208.5: 22/25
Total Number of Tiebreaks >0.5: 4/5
Total Aces >18.5: 19/20

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Geoff Burke, Imagn Images)

Alex de Minaur

ATP

Betting

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Jannik Sinner

Lorenzo Musetti

Tennis

US Open 2025

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.