Wu Yibing has played phenomenal tennis so far, but Medvedev will pose a bigger hurdle to overcome
The round of 16 action from the ATP Citi DC Open will start today with the number 8 seed Daniil Medvedev taking the court first against Wu Yibing. The winner of this match will make their way to the quarterfinals, where they will play either Dan Evans or Corentin Moutet.
Heading into this matchup, Medvedev has been having a so-so season, especially considering how well he was playing until last year. With no titles to his name, and just the one final appearance in 2025, the Russian has hit a rough patch of form.
He is coming off a three-set win over Riley Opelka in the previous round. He didn’t serve particularly well, hitting 6 double faults, but he managed to win a high 87% of points on his first serve. With plenty of opportunities to break, the Russian managed just 3 from 13 chances. However, the 51 unforced errors from his opponent were a crucial factor in Medvedev’s win.
Reintroducing: Daniil Medvedev's ultra-deep positioning on return 🔥@DaniilMedwed #MubadalaCitiDCOpen pic.twitter.com/vtAHEy1GoB
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) July 23, 2025
As for Wu, he has reached the round of 16 after two wins in the qualifying round, followed by victories over Gael Monfils and Alexei Popyrin in rounds one and two, respectively. The Chinese player does not have much experience at this level, and that could be a big factor in his match today.
The pair has only met once before, and that too was nearly three years ago. Medvedev leads the head-to-head 1-0 after his win at the 2022 US Open, but the Russian was the world number one back then and in sublime form.
Wu has played well thus far, and with a struggling Medvedev on the other side of the court, the Chinese has a good chance at equaling the head-to-head with a win today.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | US Open | Round of 32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4, 6-2, 6-2 |
| Daniil Medvedev | Category | Wu Yibing |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Ranking | 243 |
| 402-171 | Career W-L | 21-29 |
| 23-14 | YTD W-L | 0-2 |
| 20 | Career Titles | 1 |
| 1 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 0 | YTD Titles | 0 |
Wu hot to handle 🔥
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) July 23, 2025
Wu Yibing defeats Popyrin 7-5 5-7 6-3 for his first Top 25 win in over two years! #MubadalaCitiDCOpen pic.twitter.com/vydDiP6T5Q
On paper, this is ideally a mismatch in terms of quality. The Russian is the superior player over his younger counterpart. That said, Medvedev hasn’t really clicked this year and has made multiple early exits. While his consistency is lacking, he did manage to dig deep and came from behind in the previous round.
Frankly speaking, Wu does not have the game to match the Russian, but the Chinese player has shown his grit and talent with wins over Moutet, Monfils, and Popyrin. If he serves well enough and lands his powerful strokes, he may have a chance, but a win seems less likely.
Match Prediction: Medvedev in straight sets
As per BetMGM, Medvedev is the heavy favorite with a 74% chance of winning this match. The money line for this match also shows the Russian as the favorite to win by a big margin. (Sourced from BetMGM).
As for the number of games and sets, the betting odds by BetMGM reflect that Medvedev is favored to win the match in straight sets.
| Bet | Daniil Medvedev | Wu Yibing |
|---|---|---|
| Match Odds | 7/25 | 27/10 |
The over-under for the number of sets and games in this match is as follows:
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals, and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
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