The San Diego Padres will face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 3 of the NLDS on Tuesday, scheduled for 9:08 p.m. ET, and you can catch it live on Fox Sports 1 from PETCO Park. The series is tied 1-1, so a win here would push the victor one step closer to the NLCS.
Currently, oddsmakers favor the Padres with a moneyline of -152, while the Dodgers come in as underdogs at +128. The run line has San Diego as favorites at -1.5, and the over/under is set at 7.5 runs.
Here’s a comprehensive look at the betting angles for the Padres-Dodgers matchup, covering the run line, moneyline, total, and expert picks.
| Team | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -152 | +128 | 7.5 | -116 | -104 | -1.5 | +142 | -169 |
This season, the Padres have secured victory in 63 out of the 104 games where they entered as favorites, translating to a 60.6% win rate. When favored by -152 or more, San Diego has a 31-14 record. Based on the moneyline, the Padres have a 60.3% chance to win.
On the other side, the Dodgers have played as underdogs in 17 games this season, winning five times, giving them a 29.4% win rate. In instances where Los Angeles was a moneyline underdog at -152 or higher, they lost all three matches.
The odds suggest the Dodgers have a 43.9% chance of winning this game.
Walker Buehler’s numbers may not jump off the page, but he delivered a solid performance against the Padres recently, allowing just one run across five innings. His September was inconsistent, yet it turned out to be his best month.
If he continues this momentum into the playoffs, the Dodgers have a strong shot at taking this game on the road.
Buehler is no stranger to the postseason, with an impressive resume. Over 15 playoff starts, he has logged 79.2 innings, surrendered only 61 hits, and struck out 101 batters, maintaining an ERA below 3.00. If he keeps pitching at this level, the Dodgers could secure the win.
Michael King has emerged as the Padres’ ace this season. With Joe Musgrove sidelined, King’s role is even more crucial. Fortunately, he was flawless in his first playoff start, showing no signs of nerves by delivering seven scoreless innings against the Braves in the Wild Card round.
The Padres will need him to step up again, and even six solid innings allowing fewer than three runs should be enough for them to win.
In King’s last regular-season start against the Dodgers, he was exceptional. In fact, he dominated them in his previous two outings, pitching 12 scoreless innings, giving up just five hits, and striking out 14.
King has been on fire since early May, so his performance isn’t surprising. If he maintains this form, he’ll likely shut down the Dodgers for a third time.
The Padres’ offense has been on point throughout these playoffs. They scored nine runs in two games against the Braves and have already put up 15 against the Dodgers in their first two games.
During the regular season, the Padres had a 77-13 record when scoring at least four runs. If their offense can reach that mark again, it should be more than enough for King to secure the win.
Image Credit: © Kim Hong-Ji/Reuters via Imagn Images
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