Jul 8, 2024; London, United Kingdom; Alex de Minaur (AUS) reacts after winning a game against Arthur Fils (FRA)(not pictured) in a gentlemen's singles match on day eight of The Championships Wimbledon 2024 at The All England Lawn Tennis Club.

tennis-predictions

Alex de Minaur vs. August Holmgren Preview, Prediction and Betting Odds for Wimbledon 2025 Round-3

All you need to know about the de Minaur vs Holmgren R3 encounter.

No. 11 seed Alex de Minaur remains on course to match his career-best quarterfinal finish at this tournament, and resumes his charge against August Holmgren of Denmark in the 2025 Wimbledon Championships third round. Saturday’s clash will be the first ever encounter between these two players, with the winner going on to face Novak Djokovic or Miomir Kecmanovic in the Round of 16.

Alex de Minaur vs August Holmgren Match Preview

Simply INCREDIBLE.

World No.192 August Holmgren beats No.21 seed Tomas Machac after nearly five hours of play on his first appearance in a Grand Slam main draw.

Just look at what it means to the Dane 🇩🇰 #Wimbledon pic.twitter.com/lUiRZJD4nB
— Wimbledon (@Wimbledon) July 3, 2025

Coming through the qualifying tournament, August Holmgren is the breakout star of Wimbledon so far. The Dane has had to endure nine tiebreakers across five matches, winning two of them in deciding set super tiebreaks. In the previous round, Holmgren upset 21st seed Tomas Machac in five gruesome sets. Just the third player from Denmark to reach R3 on Grand Slam debut, the 27-year-old will rely on his 88% service game success rate to aid him.

It has been business as usual for World No. 11 Alex de Minaur. With a plethora of top seeds crashing out, Wimbledon 2025 presents a sparkling opportunity for the Aussie to stamp his authority among the ATP elite. The ‘Demon’ boasts a 29-12 record in 2025, including a final in Rotterdam, semifinal at Monte Carlo and three other quarterfinals. He beat Carballes Baena and Cazaux en route to the match-up against Holmgren.

Dialled in 🤝

Alex de Minaur recovers from losing the first set to defeat Arthur Cazaux 4-6, 6-2, 6-4, 6-0 and move into the third round of #Wimbledon pic.twitter.com/42SrQ9uZE6
— Wimbledon (@Wimbledon) July 3, 2025

Alex de Minaur vs August Holmgren Career Comparison

Alex de Minaur	Category	August Holmgren
0	Grand Slams	0
9	ATP Singles Titles	0
1	ATP Doubles Titles	0
0	Masters-1000 Titles	0
–	Olympics Best Performance	–
No. 11	Current World Ranking	No. 192

Alex de Minaur vs August Holmgren Wimbledon 2025 Prediction

While Holmgren could exploit the chinks in Machac’s armor, de Minaur will give him little to work with. The Australian has the ability to make the court dimensions feel claustrophobic and smaller than they are. He has the speed to engage in baseline duels, whilst producing a relentless array of attacks. Expect the demon to take advantage of Holmgren’s fatigue to win this battle.

Prediction: Alex de Minaur in straight sets.

Alex de Minaur vs August Holmgren Wimbledon 2025 Betting Odds

Alex de Minaur is the favourite in this match against underdog August Holmgren. He has an approximate 93% chance of winning, according to the pre-match probability on the money line. Here are the odds for the match result (as per BetMGM):

Alex de Minaur Win: 1/18
August Holmgren Win: 8/1

The market suggests that de Minaur will win in straight sets. Holmgren has been given unfavourable odds when it comes to winning over 13 games in the match, which could spell a recipe for disaster. Here are the in-match odds for Saturday (as per BetMGM):

Total Sets >3.5: 6/5
de Minaur -2.5 (Game Handicap): 7/10
Holmgren +2.5 (Game Handicap): 11/10
de Minaur to Win 3-0 (Yes): 8/13

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Geoff Burke, Imagn Images)

Alex de Minaur

ATP

August Holmgren

Betting

Tennis

Wimbledon

Wimbledon 2025

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.