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Lorenzo Sonego vs. Brandon Nakashima Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for Wimbledon 2025 Round-3

Sankalp Harikrishnan

Winner to face Shelton or Fucsovics in the Round of 16.

No. 29 seed Brandon Nakashima will look to avoid becoming another seed that is buried beneath the hallowed grass, when he plays his Round of 32 clash at Wimbledon 2025 on Saturday. He will face Lorenzo Sonego of Italy – who came through against Nikoloz Basilashvili of Georgia in his last match. The winner of this match will equal their career-best record at the Championships by making it to the pre-quarterfinals.

Lorenzo Sonego exacted revenge on behalf of his Italian counterpart Lorenzo Musetti on Thursday. The 30-year-old defeated Basilashvili, who ousted the No. 7 seed in the opening round, had no answers to Sonego’s power and accuracy in Round-2.

Sonego came into Wimbledon with a miserly 11-16 record in 2025. He started the year on a high note with QF appearances at the Australian Open and Open 13, before suffering a major slump. The World No. 47 has lost to Ben Shelton in both previous Grand Slams this year, and could face him again in the Round of 16.

Meanwhile, Brandon Nakashima looked in good touch en route to back-to-back grass court quarterfinals before heading to All England Club. The 23-year-old has notched two four set victories so far, including a huge success over fellow American Reilly Opelka. Winning nearly 80% points on first serve at the Championships this year, the World No. 34 will be keen on making it count.

Lorenzo Sonego vs Brandon Nakashima Head to Head Record

Lorenzo Sonego leads the head-to-head against Brandon Nakashima by 1-0 so far. The Wimbledon 2025 clash will be their first meeting since Hong Kong in early 2025. Sonego emerged victorious in straight sets during their previous Round-1 battle. On Saturday, the duo will play out their first Grand Slam duel as well as the first on grass.

EventRoundWinnerScore
2025 Hong KongRound of 32Lorenzo Sonego7-6(4) 6-3

Lorenzo Sonego vs Brandon Nakashima Career Comparison

Lorenzo SonegoCategoryBrandon Nakashima
0Grand Slams0
4ATP Singles Titles1
2ATP Doubles Titles1
0Masters-1000 Titles0
R2 (Tokyo 2020)Olympics Best Performance
No. 47Current World RankingNo. 34

Lorenzo Sonego vs Brandon Nakashima Wimbledon 2025 Prediction

With both players capitalising on key moments in their previous rounds, the match will be decided on a few important points. It will come down to which competitor can keep calm under pressure and execute his groundstrokes to the best of his ability. According to Team PlayOffs, Sonego holds a slight edge due to his experience and fearlessness on the grass.

Prediction: Lorenzo Sonego in five sets.

Lorenzo Sonego vs Brandon Nakashima Wimbledon 2025 Betting Odds

Brandon Nakashima has the odds in his favour against underdog Lorenzo Sonego on Saturday. He is predicted to win the Round of 32 clash in four or five sets. Here are the full list of betting odds for the match-up (as per BetMGM):

  • Lorenzo Sonego Win: 33/20
  • Brandon Nakashima Win: 12/25
  • Total Games By Sonego >19.5: 4/5
  • Total Games By Nakashima >21.5: 22/25
  • Total Number of Tiebreaks >1.5: 2/1
  • Total Games in Set-1 >10.5: 6/5

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Susan Mullane, Imagn Images)

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.

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