Congo DR
Uzbekistan
>World Cup · 3Congo DR vs Uzbekistan: Prediction and Odds, World Cup, 27/06/2026
Two nations with decades of World Cup absence, or none at all, collide at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on June 27 when Congo DR face Uzbekistan in a Group K clash that could define both teams’ knockout hopes. Congo DR, priced at 1.74, carry momentum after holding Portugal, while Uzbekistan seek their first ever World Cup victory.
Projected final score: 1-1
DR Congo enter this match unbeaten in their last three and sitting top of Group K after a composed 1-1 draw with Portugal, a result that underlines their defensive resilience. Uzbekistan, by contrast, arrive on a run of three losses in five and were beaten 3-1 by Colombia, and the absences of Masharipov and Ashurmatov further thin their options. At 3.80, a shared result carries genuine value.
Both sides carry notable attacking absences, and Congo’s defensive record of just 0.60 goals conceded per 90 minutes points to a low-scoring affair. Uzbekistan retain Shomurodov and Fayzullaev as credible threats, making a complete shutout unlikely, but the overall evidence strongly favors a tight, contained contest where 1.80 goals is the most coherent outcome.
Recommended Bets for Congo DR vs Uzbekistan
Congo DR vs Uzbekistan, Odds Comparison
Match Analysis
DR Congo enter this crucial Group K clash as the favorite at 1.74, sitting top of the group after a resilient 1-1 draw with Portugal. Unbeaten in their last three matches, the Leopards have shown defensive solidity and tactical discipline throughout.
- Unbeaten in 3 consecutive matches (DDW), including a creditable draw against Portugal.
- 0.60 goals conceded per 90 minutes highlights a defensively compact and well-organized structure.
- 50% clean-sheet rate in recent fixtures underlines their ability to shut out opponents.
- Uzbekistan missing 3 key players (Masharipov, Ashurmatov, Alikulov), thinning midfield and defensive depth.
Uzbekistan arrive at 4.40 odds, carrying the weight of a 3-1 defeat to Colombia and a recent run of three losses in five matches. Cannavaro’s side face a significant challenge with key absences disrupting their midfield structure and defensive options.
- Recent form reads LLLDW, with three defeats in the last five competitive outings.
- 3-1 loss to Colombia exposed defensive vulnerabilities against organized, transition-oriented opponents.
- Absence of Masharipov and Ashurmatov critically weakens midfield creativity and defensive cover.
Key point: With both defenses under injury pressure and limited attacking firepower, the double chance home or draw combined with a tight, low-scoring game makes 1.80 a compelling complementary angle.
Statistics and Head-to-Head
Form & Statistics: Congo DR vs Uzbekistan
Congo DR
Recent form
Season statistics (4)
Uzbekistan
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Probabilities & Odds: Congo DR vs Uzbekistan
Source : betmgm.comMatch Information
Lineups: Congo DR vs Uzbekistan
Congo DR
Starters
- 1 Mpasi
- 2 Aaron Wan-Bissaka
- 3 Chancel Mbemba
- 4 Axel Tuanzebe
- 5 Arthur Masuaku
- 6 Samuel Moutoussamy
- 7 Noah Sadiki
- 8 Meshack Elia
- 9 Nathanael Mbuku
- 10 Cédric Bakambu
- 11 Yoane Wissa
Absent
- Rocky Bushiri (Achilles injury)
- Théo Bongonda (Injury)
Uzbekistan
Starters
- 1 Utkir Yusupov
- 2 Abdukodir Khusanov
- 3 Abdulla Abdullaev
- 4 Umar Eshmurodov
- 5 Farrukh Sayfiev
- 6 Otabek Shukurov
- 7 Odiljon Xamrobekov
- 8 Sherzod Nasrullaev
- 9 Abbosbek Fayzullaev
- 10 Eldor Shomurodov
- 11 Oston Urunov
Absent
- Jaloliddin Masharipov (Spinal disc herniation)
- Rustamjon Ashurmatov (Injury)
- Husniddin Alikulov (ACL injury (long-term))
Low confidence
Congo DR’s probable 4-3-3 faces a speculated 3-4-3 from Uzbekistan, so treat the visitors’ shape with some caution given it rests on a single adjusted prediction rather than confirmed sources. The Leopards’ setup looks more settled, with Yoane Wissa and Cédric Bakambu providing genuine attacking threat on the flanks and through the middle.
Tactically, Congo DR’s wide 4-3-3 could exploit the space behind Uzbekistan’s wing-backs if the back three is caught high. Eldor Shomurodov remains the focal point of the visitors’ attack, and how Mbemba and Tuanzebe handle his movement in the channels may well define the contest’s outcome.
Final thoughts on the predictions for Congo DR vs Uzbekistan
DR Congo’s superior form, their resilient draw against Portugal, and Uzbekistan’s three losses in their last four outings all point toward the home or draw double chance as the sharpest angle here. The Leopards carry momentum and defensive solidity that Uzbekistan have yet to match at this level. The pick is 1X, backed by the home win price at 1.74.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main prediction for Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?
The pick is 1X (Congo DR win or draw), backed by DR Congo’s defensive solidity of just 0.60 goals conceded per 90 minutes and Uzbekistan’s damaging absences in midfield. The draw option sits at 3.80, making the double-chance coverage compelling at a 58% confidence level.
What is the highest odd for Congo DR to win?
Congo DR’s outright win is priced at 1.74, representing genuine value given their top-of-group standing. For bettors seeking safer coverage, the home double chance, which combines a Congo win with the draw, reduces risk considerably without sacrificing too much return.
Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?
Under 2.5 goals, available at 1.80, looks the sharper call here. DR Congo concede just 0.60 goals per 90 minutes in qualifying, and Uzbekistan arrive depleted and on a run of three losses in five. A tight, low-scoring contest is the most logical outcome.
When and where is Congo DR vs Uzbekistan played?
The match kicks off on 27 June 2026 at 23:30 UTC (01:30 CET on 28 June). The venue is the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia, one of the flagship arenas of the 2026 World Cup.
Can Uzbekistan pull off an upset against Congo DR?
An Uzbekistan upset is possible but difficult to back confidently at 4.40. Shomurodov and Fayzullaev remain dangerous, yet the absences of Masharipov, Ashurmatov, and Alikulov thin their squad considerably. Their 3-1 defeat to Colombia and a broader LLLDW run make a winning performance against a resilient Congo side a tall order.
Which alternative market offers the best value?
The BTTS No market at 1.83 offers solid alternative value. DR Congo’s 50% clean-sheet rate in qualifying combined with Uzbekistan’s depleted attack suggests at least one side fails to score, making this a coherent complement to the low-scoring match narrative.
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