AC Milan will welcome Como at San Siro on Wednesday, February 18, 2026, in a Serie A fixture. Originally slated for an overseas staging, the match will now unfold in Milan, where second-placed Milan are chasing the Scudetto. Whereas, Como are pushing for European qualification.
Milan are sitting eight points behind leaders Inter with a game in hand. Meanwhile, Como are sitting in seventh place and remain within reach of the top six. Both sides are boasting strong attacking form and contrasting tactical identities.
You can find more of our soccer predictions on our main picks hub. Here’s how we’re betting AC Milan vs Como tonight, including our Best Bet, a Same-Game Parlay, and key trends to know.
AC Milan vs Como Match Details
Competition: Serie A
Date & kickoff: Wednesday, February 18, 2026 – 2:45 PM ET / 7:45 PM GT
Venue: San Siro Stadium, Milan, Italy
Expected XIs: AC Milan 3-5-2 vs Como 4-2-3-1
Best Bet for AC Milan vs Como
Our best bet for AC Milan vs Como is Both Teams to Score: Yes at -118 (BetMGM) / -122 (FanDuel).
Milan are unbeaten in 23 league matches since their opening-day defeat. They’re averaging approximately 1.92 goals per game across that span. Over their last 10 Serie A fixtures, they have generated a cumulative xG figure just above 17.5. In the meantime, they’ve conceded roughly 10.2 xGA.
At San Siro, Milan have scored in 10 of their last 11 league outings. Yet, they’ve kept only four clean sheets in that period. Their high defensive line under Max Allegri has produced territorial control. But they’ve also allowed space in transition, particularly when full-backs advance simultaneously. Como, managed by Cesc Fabregas, have proven resilient on the road.
They have lost just three of 11 Serie A road matches. They’ve conceded nine goals while scoring 14. Across their last 10 league games, Como’s xG output stands near 14.0, with 12 actual goals scored. Tasos Douvikas and Nico Paz, both on eight league goals, have combined for over 5.5 shots per 90 minutes, providing sustained threat. So, it’s logical to assume that both teams will find the back of the net.
AC Milan vs Como Prediction
Our pick: Como to Win at +130 (BetMGM) / +135 (FanDuel)
The Rossoneri’s league form justifies the favoritism in the market. They have collected their highest points tally at this stage in over two decades and have posted 2.1 points per game across the campaign. In the reverse fixture at Stadio Sinigaglia last month, Milan prevailed 3-1 with Adrien Rabiot scoring twice.
They produced 2.4 xG in that match compared to Como’s 1.1. As per recent records, Milan have won all three Serie A meetings since Como’s 2024 promotion. While Como remain competitive on the road, their recent 2-1 home loss to Fiorentina revealed vulnerability against teams that press aggressively in midfield.
Milan are averaging 10.8 high turnovers per match. They’re ranking among the league’s top pressing sides. With Christian Pulisic and Rafael Leao returning to sharper fitness levels, Milan’s transitional pace should stretch Como’s defensive block. That should give them the edge to grab a win against CESC Fabregas’ side.
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Same-Game Parlay (Bet Builder) for AC Milan vs Como
Bet $100 to Win $231.56 (FanDuel) Total Goals Over 2.5 (+114) + BTTS: Yes (-122) + Rafael Leao to Score or Assist (+100)
Milan’s last 10 league matches have produced an average of 3.1 total goals. Meanwhile, six of Como’s last eight across all competitions have cleared the 2.5-goal threshold. Leao’s inclusion is data-driven. The Portuguese winger is averaging 0.42 xG and 0.31 xA per 90 minutes in Serie A this season.
Leao is leading Milan in progressive carries and successful take-ons. He is generating 3.7 shot-creating actions per 90 minutes. Against Pisa last week, he entered from the bench and recorded two key passes in limited minutes, indicating sharpness.
Como’s right flank has conceded a disproportionate share of chances. They’ve allowed roughly 38% of opponent attacks down that channel. Leao’s direct dribbling and acceleration isolate defenders in 1v1 situations, increasing his probability of direct goal involvement.
Milan have scored at least twice in six of their last nine league fixtures. Whereas, Como have netted in eight of their last 10 across competitions. Both teams exhibit positive attacking xG trends and favor proactive transitions over conservative buildup. Leao remains Milan’s primary destabilizer in wide areas. His 61 successful dribbles rank among Serie A’s highest totals. He has also contributed directly to 11 league goals this season.
Over 2.5: +110 / Under 2.5: -150 Over 3.5: +275 / Under 3.5: -425
Over 2.5: +116 / Under 2.5: -144 Over 3.5: +310 / Under 3.5: -420
BTTS
Yes: -118 / No: -120
Yes: -118 / No: -108
Asian Handicap
AC Milan -0.25: -105 / -0.50: +130 Como +0.25: -122
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Draw No Bet
AC Milan: -160 Como: +110
AC Milan: -150 Como: +115
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw: -285 Como or Draw: -175
AC Milan or Draw: -280 Como or Draw: -180
Trends to Know for AC Milan vs Como
Head-to-Head: Milan have won all three Serie A meetings since Como’s return to the top flight, scoring nine goals across those fixtures.
Unbeaten Run: Milan are unbeaten in 23 league matches, the longest active streak among Europe’s top five leagues.
Home Output: Milan have averaged just under two goals per home match while conceding in six of their last 11 at San Siro.
Como Away Form: Only three defeats in 11 away matches, with nine goals conceded, highlighting defensive organization on the road.
Goals Profile: Seven of Milan’s last 10 league games and six of Como’s last eight in all competitions have featured over 2.5 goals, reinforcing confidence in goal-based markets.
Latest Injuries & Lineup News for AC Milan vs Como
In soccer, injuries and rotations can drastically alter how a match plays out, especially when it comes to BTTS, totals, and goalscorer markets. Navigating through a few key injuries in this clash, both coaches will look to lineup their strongest XI. Here are the players who are either doubtful or are set to miss out:
Team
Player
Status
Notes
AC Milan
Santiago Gimenez
Out
Ankle
AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot
Out
Suspension
Como
Alvaro Morata
Out
Suspension
Como
Assane Diao
Out
Hamstring
Como
Edoardo Goldaniga
Out
Heel
Reminder: Always check confirmed lineups 60–75 minutes before kickoff, especially for goalscorer and BTTS markets.
How to watch – quick Q&A
What time is AC Milan vs Como?
AC Milan vs Como kicks off at 2:45 PM ET on Wednesday, February 18, 2026 (7:45 PM local UK time).
Where is the match being played?
The match will be played at the San Siro Stadium in Milan, Italy.
How can I watch on TV / stream?
Broadcast rights vary by territory. In the US, the Serie A can be telecast on Paramount+. The match will be telecast on DAZN UK in the UK. The match will also be available to stream on these broadcasters’ official websites.
Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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