Latest NFL MVP Odds Week 16 – Matthew Stafford Maintains Lead, Drake Maye and Josh Allen Round Up Top 3

Now that we are in Week 16 of the NFL season, plenty of contenders for the annual league MVP have fallen by the wayside. The race for the most prestigious individual award in football is heating up with just three contenders at the very top.

Matthew Stafford and the Rams are coming off an excellent win over the Detroit Lions, while Drake Maye and the Patriots blew a massive 21-point lead over the Bills. Those results mean that Stafford has increased his advantage at the top.

Moreover, Bills quarterback Josh Allen has improved his chances as well. Despite falling behind by 21 points at the half to the Patriots, the reigning MVP led a comeback for the ages.

Updated 2025-26 NFL MVP Odds

Here are the latest NFL MVP odds for the 2025-26 NFL season ahead of Week 16 sourced via FanDuel and BetMGM.

Player	FanDuel Odds	BetMGM Odds
Matthew Stafford	-260	-286
Drake Maye	+380	+400
Josh Allen	+600	+500
Bo Nix	+10000	+7500
Sam Darnold	+10000	+10000

The NFL MVP odds for Stafford, Allen, and Bo Nix have increased from last week, while those of Drake Maye and Sam Darnold have fallen. The odds on BetMGM are slightly better than FanDuel for Stafford and Allen, while FanDuel has better odds for Maye.

“He’s the only guy who can have a full month of mediocre football, individually and team-wise, and then have two awesome games and this be the conversation.”@getnickwright thinks Josh Allen can only steal the MVP if Matthew Stafford has a MAJOR collapse: pic.twitter.com/pGpbnULE2P
— First Things First (@FTFonFS1) December 17, 2025

2025-26 NFL MVP Favorites Right Now

Let us now take a look at the top 3 favorites to land the NFL MVP award this season.

Matthew Stafford

The Rams veteran quarterback has an excellent case to win his first career MVP at the age of 37. Despite facing back issues earlier in the offseason, Stafford’s play has been top-notch. The added presence of wide receiver Davante Adams has been a massive boost for the former Super Bowl winner.

Stafford currently ranks second in the league in passing yards (3,722), first in the league with 37 passing touchdowns, which is 8 more than the next best player, and has a completion percentage of 66.4%. Additionally, he has thrown just 5 interceptions in 14 games. Stafford also leads the league with a 112.2 passer rating.

Drake Maye

Patriots’ quarterback Drake Maye is currently second in the odds to win the prestigious MVP award. In just his second year in the league, Maye has helped transform the Patriots to where they once were when Tom Brady left.

With an 11 and 3 record, New England is currently atop the AFC East and just a game behind the Broncos for the top seed in the conference. With 3,567 passing yards, Maye is currently 5th in the league, but leads the NFL in completion percentage at 70.9%. He is also tied for 5th spot with 23 touchdowns and has thrown just 7 picks so far. Maye’s 109.1 passer rating comes in at number 3 in the league.

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Josh Allen

With the way Josh Allen has played this season, it feels like he is continuing from where he left off last year. Allen has carried the Bills in multiple games, getting it done both with his arm and his legs at times. Almost every week, he is setting one record or another.

The Bills’ quarterback has thrown for 3,276 yards and has a completion percentage of 70%. He has 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, but he makes up for the high number of picks with his 535 rushing yards and 12 rushing touchdowns.

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Why the Odds Moved

This week, the odds shifted more in favor of Stafford due to his amazing performance against the Lions last week. The Rams’ signal caller completed 24 of 38 passes for 368 yards and a pair of touchdowns as he led his team to a 41-34 win.

As for Drake Maye, he started last week’s game against the Bills strongly, but was unable to retain his form after the half. Maye finished the game with just 155 passing yards and no touchdowns, but added 43 yards rushing on 4 carries and 2 scores on the ground.

At the same time, Allen started slowly, but overcame the 24-3 deficit in the second half. He didn’t have an explosion of yards, but was consistent enough and threw 3 touchdowns and no picks.

The above odds are sourced from FanDuel. Use FanDuel to ace your betting game in all sports!

Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images

Devavrat Kulkarni

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I am a content writer for the NFL team, and joined The Playoffs after working with Sportskeeda and NFL Analysis as an NFL writer. After starting my professional career as a French-to-English translator, working as a content writer is a new adventure for me. I started out in the sports media field for two main reasons: my love for sports in general, especially the NFL, NBA, and Tennis, as well as my passion for writing. The best part of this job is that I get to write a variety of pieces with the freedom to explore content from various angles. It also enables me to stay up to date with the sporting world, which otherwise can be difficult to do in the day-to-day grind. In a world full of chaos, sports unite and entertain like nothing else!