Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears Predictions, Odds, and Best Bets for Week 11 2025-26 NFL Season

The Minnesota Vikings will take on the Chicago Bears for Week 11 matchup. The Vikings vs Bears action will be played live at U.S. Bank Stadium, home of the Vikings. The Vikings come into this matchup after losing to the Ravens last week and are 4-5 for the season. They are below .500 for the season and while their quarterback JJ McCarthy has shown flashes of brilliance, he has not been consistent with his performance, going 2-2 with his as the starting QB this season.

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Meanwhile, for the Bears, they have been rolling with their new head coach, Ben Johnson, leading the way. He’s unlocked the Bears offense like we haven’t seen before, and they are currently 6-3 for the season, tied with the Lions for the No.1 seed in NFC North. While their wins can also be due to the easier schedule they’ve faced so far, you cannot argue with results. This game will be a huge test for the Bears, as they try to beat a very talented group in Vikings.

Recommended Bets and Updated Odds

Recommended Bets	Fanduel	BetMGM
JJ McCarthy over 0.5 interceptions	-148	-140
D’Andre Swift over 13.5 rushing attempts	-128	-115
Justin Jefferson anytime TD scorer	+105	+120

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Rationale and Analysis

JJ McCarthy may throw over 0.5 interceptions, as in four games he’s started for, he’s had one or more TD in every game he’s played. McCarthy is technically still in his rookie season and is going through what every rookie QB goes through in their first season, navigating complex NFL defenses, hence leading to picks and turnovers. The Bears thrive on picks and have 13 interceptions so far. Looking at this, it’s a safe bet.

D’Andre Swift may have over 13.5 rushing attempts as he’s had double digit rushing attempts in every game thus far for the Bears. The Vikings’ 20th ranked run defense that allows 122.3 yards on average, could have a tough time covering Swift, making this a safe bet. He’s been a safety net for the Bears and has been highly effective, when he’s made to run with the football.

Justin Jefferson is a threat to score at any given moment, as the Bears are one of the worst pass defense teams in the NFL, ranking 25th, and they also fail to contain teams from scoring ranking 29th in scoring defense, allowing 27 TDs so far. Looking at the Bears’ defense, and Jefferson being a big target for McCarthy, we expect him to get a TD in this game.

Vikings vs Bears Prediction

We expect the Vikings to win the matchup against the Bears. Despite, the Vikings’ inconsistency this season, they can explode at times, with McCarthy and Jefferson leading the way. While the Bears are on a winning streak, they’ve mostly gathered those wins facing non-playoff contending teams, which makes us question their toughness against good or great teams. The Vikings’ pass defense, ranks 8th, should be able to contain Bears’ passing offense, helping them get the win.

Prediction: Vikings win the game 28-27

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Week 11 Vikings vs Bears Spread and Betting Odds

Looking at the spread and the betting odds, the Vikings are the favorites to win the matchup against the Bears, as per BetMGM

Teams	Spread	Total Points	Moneyline
Bears	+2.5 (-102)	48.5 (-110)	+125
Vikings	-2.5 (-118)	48.5 (-110)	-150

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Vikings vs Bears Best Bets

Here are some of the best player bets and over/under odds for the Minnesota Vikings and the Chicago Bears, as per BetMGM.

Minnesota Vikings Over/Under Odds

Listed below are over/under odds for the Minnesota Vikings, as per BetMGM

Over/Under Bets	Over	Under
JJ McCarthy passing yards	221.5 (-115)	221.5 (-115)
Aaron Jones rushing yards	52.5 (-110)	52.5 (-118)
Justin Jefferson receiving yards	72.5 (-118)	72.5 (-110)

Minnesota Vikings Best Player Bets

Here are some of the best player bets for the Minnesota Vikings, as per BetMGM.

JJ McCarthy over 0.5 interceptions thrown: -140
Justin Jefferson anytime TD scorer: +120
JJ McCarthy over 1.5 passing TDs: -120

Chicago Bears Over/Under Odds

Listed below are over/under odds for the Chicago Bears, as per BetMGM.

Over/Under Bets	Over	Under
Caleb Williams passing yards	213.5 (-115)	213.5 (-115)
D’Andre Swift rushing yards	58.5 (-115)	58.5 (-115)
Rome Odunze receiving yards	54.5 (-118)	54.5 (-115)

Chicago Bears Best Player Bets

Here are some of the best player bets for the Chicago Bears, as per BetMGM.

Caleb Williams under 0.5 interceptions: -125
Caleb Williams under 1.5 passing TDs: -130
D’Andre Swift anytime TD scorer: +150

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(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

FAQs

Who is favored to win between the Vikings vs Bears?
The Vikings are 2.5-point favorites to win the matchup against Bears.

What is the over/under total for the game?
The over/under for total points is set at 48.5.

What is the predicted score for the Vikings vs Bears game?
We expect the Vikings to take down the Bears in a close victory, and the Final score to be 28-27.

Eric Divakaran

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I cover the National Football League and things cannot get better than that. I always dreamed to play football or basketball professionally since I’m built like a Running Back. But now that I can’t, since I’m technically in the “Unc” age, I thought why not pick a career in sports industry? So here I am, doing what I love, and hoping that the Commanders win the Super Bowl. I give love to players when it’s due, but can be critical about their performances at the same time. Enough about me, now let my articles do all the talking.