Italy vs Israel Preview, Betting Odds and Predictions – 14/10/25

Italy are just one point away from sealing their place in the 2026 World Cup playoffs as they prepare to face Israel in Udine on Tuesday night. The Azzurri will look to maintain their recent resurgence under Gennaro Gattuso after a thrilling 5-4 win in the reverse fixture last month.

That dramatic encounter in Tel Aviv saw Sandro Tonali grab a stoppage-time winner in a chaotic nine-goal clash. With form improving and confidence rising, Italy will be eager to avoid any late drama this time. Especially as they aim to secure qualification comfortably on home soil.

Italy vs Israel Best Bets

Italy vs Israel Preview

Italy

The home side come into this match on a four-game winning streak in the qualifiers. They’ve recently beaten Estonia by a 3-1 margin. Despite Mateo Retegui missing a penalty and Gianluigi Donnarumma’s costly mistake in Tallinn, Gattuso’s side showed attacking intent through Francesco Pio Esposito’s first senior goal. However, Moise Kean is sidelined with an ankle injury.

Meanwhile, Alessandro Bastoni is suspended. Gianluca Mancini is likely to replace him in defence. Injuries to Gianluca Scamacca, Matteo Politano, and Mattia Zaccagni mean Giacomo Raspadori and Riccardo Orsolini could continue up front. Leonardo Spinazzola and Andrea Cambiaso are also in contention for starting roles.

Also Read: Spain vs Bulgaria Preview, Betting Odds and Predictions – 14/10/25

Israel

Israel’s qualification hopes are hanging by a thread after a heavy 5-1 defeat to Norway. Ran Ben Shimon’s side, now three points behind Italy with an extra game played, must win to stay alive in the playoff race. The absence of Dor Peretz is a major setback. 

He scored twice in the previous meeting with Italy, Dan Biton may drop out after a poor showing, with Tai Baribo or Dor Turgeman expected to lead the attack. Manor Solomon and Oscar Gloukh will provide creativity on the wings as Israel look to upset the odds in Udine.

Italy vs Israel Over/ Under Predictions

Total Goals Under 3.5 @ -105 as per BetMGM:

It is expected to be a high-scoring battle, justifying the line of over 3.5 goals at -105. In their recent encounter, the two sides produced a dramatic 5-4 thriller, showing both teams can contribute to goalfest situations. Italy have been involved in multiple fixtures lately that have seen high totals, while Israel’s defence has looked fragile in recent matches, letting in ten goals in their last two outings alone.  Given that each side will push for goals, a 3-1 or 3-2 win for the hosts seems plausible under this market.

FanDuel

High total bonus ceiling

Daily second-chance bet protection

No promo code required

$150

Welcome offer

Bet $5 & Get $150 in Bonus Bets

Click to reveal code

COPIED

F A N D U V I P

Claim now

New customers only. Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions, but 18+ in DC, KY, and WY. Offer is valid only in eligible regulated states/jurisdictions and not available in AR; void where prohibited. First online real-money wager only; cashed-out or bonus-funded bets are excluded.

Italy vs Israel Player Picks

Giacomo Raspadori to score anytime @ -115 as per FanDuel:

The Giacomo Raspadori to score anytime at -115 market offers solid value given his recent role and attacking output under Gennaro Gattuso. With Moise Kean sidelined through injury, Raspadori is expected to start in a more advanced position supporting Mateo Retegui. 

He impressed in Italy’s 3–1 win against Estonia, linking play efficiently and creating key chances. Raspadori has proven his ability to score in crucial matches for both club and country. His sharp movement and composure in front of goal make him a strong anytime scorer option against a fragile Israeli defence that conceded five goals in the reverse fixture.

Mateo Retegui to either score or assist @ -240 as per FanDuel:

The bet on Mateo Retegui to either score or assist anytime at -240 rests on his consistent involvement in Italy’s attacking phases. He scored in the Estonia match (despite missing a penalty earlier)  and has been a key part of the forward line with strong link-up play. In the 5-4 thriller, his attacking presence was also felt, helping create chances in an end-to-end contest. Given the offensive posture Italy are likely to adopt, Retegui’s dual role makes this a relatively safe exposure in player markets.

Italy vs Israel Predictions

Also Read: Ferran Torres Injury Update: What Happened to the Barcelona Star Returning from Spain Camp?

Italy enter this match having won four qualifying games in a row, scoring 13 goals in their last three under Gattuso.  Meanwhile, Israel’s recent defensive capitulations make them vulnerable. They’ve conceded five to Norway, and four in the reverse match with Italy.

Final Prediction: Italy 3-1 Israel

With home advantage, attacking form, and greater depth up front, Italy should be able to win by a margin. Still, Israel will likely penetrate and find a goal of their own, making 3-1 a plausible final scoreline in line with both the total goals expectation and the matchup dynamics.

Moumita Dutta

soccer

Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.

Read more

 

Sporting CP vs Alverca: Prediction and Odds, Liga Portugal, 22/08/2026

marcelo

Valencia vs Celta de Vigo: Prediction and Odds, La Liga, 22/08/2026

marcelo

Ipswich Town vs Sunderland: Prediction and Odds, Premier League, 22/08/2026

marcelo

New York RB vs Chicago Fire: Prediction and Odds, Major League Soccer, 22/08/2026

marcelo