Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images

Iga Swiatek vs. Anna Kalinskaya Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for US Open 2025 Round of 32

Kalinskaya looks to challenge Swiatek after a recent Cincinnati loss at the US Open.

Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images

Second seed Iga Swiatek faces 29th seed Anna Kalinskaya in a fascinating third-round matchup at the 2025 US Open. Kalinskaya has looked sharp so far, upsetting wild card Clervie Ngounoue before dispatching Yulia Putintseva, both in straight sets. Swiatek, meanwhile, breezed past Emiliana Arango but had a gritty three-setter against Suzan Lamens.

Swiatek’s season has once again underlined her dominance. With only early exits in Rome and Montreal, the Pole has otherwise been relentless. She lifted her sixth Grand Slam title and first at Wimbledon, with a ruthless double-bagel win over Amanda Anisimova, then followed it with a Cincinnati crown, sweeping aside Jasmine Paolini in the final. Finals in Bad Homburg, semifinals in Melbourne, Doha, Indian Wells, Madrid, and Roland Garros, plus multiple quarterfinals, complement her consistency. In 62 matches, she has struck 180 aces while winning 69.3% on first serve and converting break points at a 51.8% rate.

Iga Swiatek is the only woman to reach the 3rd round or better of every single Grand Slam this decade.

Taking consistency to another level entirely.

Wow. 🇵🇱❤️ pic.twitter.com/LhguF1rdMc
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) August 28, 2025

Kalinskaya’s season has been more uneven, plagued by retirements and withdrawals. She was forced out of Adelaide and Melbourne with health issues, then retired again in Singapore and Strasbourg. Still, she’s shown resilience, with quarterfinal runs in Charleston, Strasbourg, and Cincinnati, and a runner-up finish in Washington, where Leylah Fernandez proved too strong. In 36 matches, she has produced 68 aces, winning 64.3% on first serve and converting 45.4% of break points.

Kalinskaya d. Ngounoue 6-0 5-7 6-4 at U.S. Open

Anna gets her 20th win of 2025.

It’s been fantastic to watch her find her form again on the American hard courts the last few weeks.

✅Won 10 of last 13 matches

Hanging tough. 💙 pic.twitter.com/XCGwItXLy7
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) August 25, 2025

Iga Swiatek vs. Anna Kalinskaya Head-to-Head Record

Swiatek and Kalinskaya are level in their head-to-head, 1-1. Kalinskaya stunned the Pole in straight sets in Madrid last year, but Swiatek responded in Cincinnati earlier this month with a commanding straight-sets win of her own.

Year	Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025	Cincinnati	Quarterfinals	Iga Swiatek	6-3, 6-4
2024	Dubai	Semifinals	Anna Kalinskaya	6-4, 6-4

Iga Swiatek vs. Anna Kalinskaya Comparison

Iga Swiatek	Category	Anna Kalinskaya
2	Current Ranking	29
391-87	Career W-L	317-194
49-12	YTD W-L	19-16
24	Career Titles	0
6	Grand Slams	0
2	YTD Titles	0

Iga Swiatek vs. Anna Kalinskaya Prediction

Swiatek’s relentless consistency makes her the safer pick, but Kalinskaya’s resilience and recent form suggest she could at least test the Pole and make this more competitive than the odds imply.

300 – Iga Swiatek (372) is the player with fewest matches taken to 300 wins at WTA-level (excluding BJK Cup) since Serena Williams (360) at Cincinnati Open 2006. Repeat. #CincyTennis | @CincyTennis @WTA @WTA_insider pic.twitter.com/P4KBWFHePB
— OptaAce (@OptaAce) August 9, 2025

Prediction: Iga Swiatek in straight sets

Iga Swiatek vs. Anna Kalinskaya US Open 2025 Betting Odds

Iga Swiatek (1/7) is the clear favorite, with Anna Kalinskaya (19/4) positioned as a long-shot underdog despite her strong start in New York.

Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:

Iga Swiatek: 1/7

Anna Kalinskaya: 19/4

Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):

Total Sets Under 2.5: 7/20

Total Sets Over 2.5: 9/4

Total Games Under 17.5: 7/4

Total Game Over 17.5: 4/9

Swiatek Set 1 Winner: 6/25

Kalinskaya Set 1 Winner: 3/1

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Image Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images

Iga Swiatek

US Open 2025

Rudra Dubey

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I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.