Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Polina Kudermetova Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for US Open 2025 Round – 2

World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka faces rising Russian Polina Kudermetova in the US Open second round.

Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images

Top seed Aryna Sabalenka faces unseeded Polina Kudermetova in the second round of the US Open 2025. Sabalenka rolled past Rebecca Masarova in straight sets, while Kudermetova advanced after Nuria Parrizas Diaz retired early with an ankle injury.

The Belarusian’s form this season has been relentless. She has lifted three titles, Brisbane (over Kudermetova), Miami (over Jessica Pegula), and Madrid (over Coco Gauff), while also reaching finals in Melbourne, Indian Wells, Stuttgart, and Roland Garros. Semifinal runs at Wimbledon and Berlin, plus quarterfinals in Rome and Cincinnati, show how rarely she misses a deep run. Her numbers underline the dominance with 217 aces, 68% first-serve points won, 46.3% return points captured, and 46.8% break points converted across 61 matches.

Aryna Sabalenka in her Lightning McQueen era 🏎️ pic.twitter.com/AQ4V4CYbwB
— US Open Tennis (@usopen) August 24, 2025

Kudermetova, meanwhile, is still searching for her first main-tour title but has collected nine ITF trophies. She broke through with her first WTA win in Libema and made her biggest splash earlier this year by reaching the Brisbane final, stopped by Sabalenka. Other highlights include a third-round showing in Indian Wells and a career-high ranking of No. 54 in April. Now sitting at No. 67, she has fired 59 aces in 26 matches with a 60.8% first-serve win rate and a sharp 52.1% break-point conversion rate.

You've just got to applaud that one 👏 😵‍💫

Today's @BetMGM Shot of the Day is by Polina Kudermetova 🦾 pic.twitter.com/LCXrxZPepE
— Tennis Channel (@TennisChannel) August 20, 2025

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Polina Kudermetova Head-to-Head Record

Sabalenka leads Kudermetova 1-0 in their rivalry, having overturned a tough start to win their Brisbane meeting earlier this year.

Year	Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025	Brisbane	Final	Aryna Sabalenka	4-6, 6-3, 6-2

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Polina Kudermetova Comparison

Aryna Sabalenka	Category	Polina Kudermetova
1	Current Ranking	67
433-198	Career W-L	195-120
50-10	YTD W-L	15-19
20	Career Titles	0
3	Grand Slams	0
3	YTD Titles	0

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Polina Kudermetova Prediction

Sabalenka’s form and firepower make her the overwhelming favorite, but Kudermetova’s aggressive return game could test her early.

92,24 – Aryna Sabalenka (92hrs & 24 mins) is the player who has spent the most time on court in Women's Singles at WTA-level during 2025. Effort. @WTA @WTA_insider pic.twitter.com/tTTebuJlwS
— OptaAce (@OptaAce) July 16, 2025

Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka in straight sets

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Polina Kudermetova US Open 2025 Betting Odds

Bookmakers have Aryna Sabalenka as the clear favorite at 1/25, and it’s easy to see why. The world No. 1 has barely faltered this season and already holds a win over Kudermetova in Brisbane.

Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:

Aryna Sabalenka: 1/25

Polina Kudermetova: 21/2

Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):

Total Sets Under 2.5: 1/6

Total Sets Over 2.5: 19/5

Total Games Under 15.5: 39/20

Total Game Over 15.5: 2/5

Sabelenka Set 1 Winner: 1/10

Kudermetova Set 1 Winner: 6/1

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Image Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images

Aryna Sabalenka

Polina Kudermetova

US Open 2025

Rudra Dubey

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I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.