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Newcastle United vs Liverpool Premier League Over and Under Odds

Moumita Dutta

Newcastle are set to host Liverpool at St James’ Park after a goalless opener against Aston Villa. They are set to play even with the missing wantaway striker Alexander Isak amid transfer drama. The Magpies have failed to score in three league games but seek a fourth straight home win under Eddie Howe. 

Liverpool, fresh from a 4-2 win against Bournemouth, boast attacking firepower despite defensive frailties. Arne Slot’s men aim to extend their scoring streak to 36 league matches. They will look to continue their dominance over Newcastle, who haven’t beaten the reigning champions in 17 Premier League meetings.

Total Goals Over/Under Odds 

Pick: Under 3.5 at -188

Liverpool are entering this clash as favourites after a 4-2 opening-day triumph over Bournemouth, whereas Newcastle failed to find the net in a goalless draw with Aston Villa. Historically, Liverpool have dominated this fixture, winning 21 of the last 33 contests to Newcastle’s 5, with only 39 percent of those games surpassing 3.5 goals. Given Newcastle’s lack of attacking momentum and Liverpool’s defensive vulnerabilities, the most likely scenario is a tight scoreline – a 1-0 or 2-1 Liverpool win. Thus, making the Under 3.5 goals bet a sound one.

Also Read: Newcastle vs Liverpool Preview, Betting Odds, and Predictions – 25/08/2025

Total Shots and Shots on Target Over/Under Odds

Pick: Over 27.5 Shots at -143

Pick: Over 11.5 Shots on Target at +165

(Odds via BetMGM)

While neither side promises a goal glut, both have strong offensive capabilities and the incentive to strike early and often. Newcastle’s front three of Anthony Gordon, Anthony Elanga, and Harvey Barnes will look to compensate for Alexander Isak’s absence. Liverpool’s attackers, including emerging hero Hugo Ekitike alongside Salah and Gakpo, offer sustained pressure from the off. With such firepower on both ends and historic head-to-heads showing a fair amount of action (average goals per match over 3), surge in total attempts seems likely, even in a tight contest.

Also Read: Newcastle United vs Liverpool: Top Goalscorer, Top Assist Odds, Key Player to Watch, and More

Total Corners Over/Under Odds

Pick: Under 9.5 Corners at +144

Given the expectation of a disciplined, compact game from both teams, the match is unlikely to produce a high volume of set-piece opportunities. Newcastle are aiming to stifle and Liverpool will look to manage their tempo. Adding to this, both sides prefer structured build-up to speculative crossing, reinforcing the logic behind an Under 9.5 corners bet.

Total Cards Over/Under Odds

Pick: Over 4.5 Cards at -102

This fixture is expected to be intense. Especially with referees in Premier League showdowns who can hand out cards. Recent reports emphasize Liverpool’s shaky defense and Newcastle’s physical approach rather than outright aggression. Neither team is known for disciplinary blowouts, and the focus is likely to be on tactical control rather than reckless challenges. This dynamic supports a wager on Under 4.5 cards.

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Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.

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