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Champions League
NEC Nijmegen
11 Aug 2026 18:30
Olympiacos F.C.
Prediction:
Olympiacos F.C. to win 2.55
View Odds >
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Champions League · 3rd Qualifying Round

NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiacos F.C.: Prediction and Odds, Champions League, 11/08/2026

11 Aug 2026 Emmanuel Taiwo

NEC Nijmegen welcome Olympiacos to the Netherlands on 11 August 2026 for the second leg of their Champions League third qualifying round tie, locked at 0-0 on aggregate. A historic occasion for the Dutch side, facing Conference League holders priced at 2.55 to advance. The stakes could not be higher.

Our prediction
X2: Double Chance Draw or Olympiacos F.C.
2.55 on Stake · Confidence Medium
NEC Nijmegen's historic Champions League run faces a stern test against a seasoned Olympiacos side that holds clear advantages in squad depth and European pedigree.
Odds recorded on 31 Aug 2026 at 15:10 · Odds are subject to change

Projected final score: 1-2

Olympiacos arrive at Nijmegen with their squad largely intact, while NEC face a crippling absentee list spanning suspensions and injuries that strips their probable XI of key figures. Priced as favourites at 2.55, the Greek side's experience, including a 2024 Conference League title and a 2-0 H2H win over NEC, gives them the structural edge to edge this decisive leg.

Both legs have the hallmarks of a tight, low-scoring contest: the first leg produced just nine combined shots on target across 90 minutes. NEC's depleted attack limits their threat significantly, while Olympiacos are unlikely to overcommit with a draw also sending them through, making 1.76 the natural fit for a controlled, narrow away victory.

Recommended Bets for NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiacos F.C.

NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiacos F.C., Odds Comparison

Odds comparison

Stakebc.game
NEC Nijmegen to win2.652.60
Draw3.303.20
Olympiacos F.C. to win2.552.56
BTTS Yes1.031.74

Odds recorded on 31 Aug 2026 at 15:10 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Olympiacos F.C. enter this decisive home leg as the structured favourite at 2.55, with their squad largely intact and the confidence of a 2024 Conference League title and a previous 2-0 win over NEC behind them.

  • Only 2 absentees for Olympiacos: Yazici (long-term ACL) and Retsos (doubtful), leaving the XI essentially at full strength.
  • 2-0 H2H victory over NEC in 2024 demonstrates Olympiacos hold a proven edge against this opponent.
  • 5 shots on target in the goalless first leg show Olympiacos created genuine danger despite the tight tactical contest.
  • 2024 Conference League winners bring elite European knockout experience, a decisive factor in high-pressure two-legged ties.

NEC Nijmegen face their historic Champions League qualifier at 2.65 severely undermined, with Ogawa and Schuurs unregistered, Sano absent due to a PSV transfer dispute, and Sandler a doubt, stripping the Dutch debutants of key personnel at the worst possible moment.

  • At least 4 key players unavailable via registration or transfer issues, gutting NEC's scouted starting XI.
  • Kodai Sano's refusal to play due to an imminent PSV move eliminates a central midfield option for the second leg.
  • 0-0 aggregate score means any Olympiacos goal forces NEC to attack, exposing a depleted and reshuffled backline.

Key point: With both sides cautious in a tight first leg and NEC's attack depleted, the double chance covering draw or Olympiacos win aligns with the 2.55 value as the sharper structural play.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

Form & Statistics: NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiacos F.C.

NEC Nijmegen

Recent form

D
Wins0/1 (0%)
Draws1/1 (100%)
Losses0/1 (0%)

Season statistics (1)

3.9Total goals
79%Both teams score
2.2Goals scored
1.7Goals conceded

Olympiacos F.C.

Recent form

DDL
Wins0/3 (0%)
Draws2/3 (67%)
Losses1/3 (33%)

Season statistics (3)

2.5Total goals
40%Both teams score
1.8Goals scored
0.7Goals conceded
StatisticNEC NijmegenOlympiacos F.C.
Last 5 results1D·2D 1L
Avg goals scored2.2·1.8
Avg goals conceded1.7·0.7
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/1·3/3
H2H, last 2 meetings0 NEC Nijmegen · 1 Draws · 1 Olympiacos F.C.

NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiacos F.C.: Head-to-Head

NEC Nijmegen 0 % Draws 50 % Olympiacos F.C. 50 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

1Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Home goals
1Away goals
0%Over 2.5 goals
100%Under 2.5 goals

Probabilities & Odds: NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiacos F.C.

Source : Stake
MarketProbabilityOdds
NEC Nijmegen to win37.7%2.65
Draw30.3%3.30
Olympiacos F.C. to win39.2%2.55
Both teams to score (Yes)97.1%1.03
Over 2.5 goals50.8%1.97
Under 2.5 goals56.8%1.76

Match Information

Competition: Champions League
Stage: 3rd Qualifying Round
Date: 11 Aug 2026
Time: 18:30 BST

Final thoughts on the predictions for NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiacos F.C.

NEC Nijmegen's historic Champions League run faces a stern test against a seasoned Olympiacos side that holds clear advantages in squad depth and European pedigree. With four suspensions crippling the hosts and Olympiacos arriving with a near-full contingent, the Draw or Away (X2) selection at 2.55 represents the soundest reading of this tie. Olympiacos should progress.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di gioco.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiacos F.C.?

The value pick is Draw or Away (X2), with Olympiacos priced as favourites at 2.55. The single most decisive factor is NEC's devastating injury and suspension list, with up to nine first-choice players unavailable, severely weakening the home side despite their impressive first-leg showing in Piraeus.

What is the highest odd for NEC Nijmegen to win?

NEC's best home-win price sits at 2.65, reflecting their underdog status. For cautious bettors, a double chance covering the draw alongside NEC offers safer coverage without committing to an outright home win, though the depleted squad makes that combination a tough sell at current pricing.

Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?

With the first leg ending 0-0 and both sides showing defensive solidity across 13 and 12 shots respectively, goals look hard to come by. A tight, low-scoring second leg is the likeliest outcome, making 1.76 the sensible lean in the goals market for this Champions League qualifier.

When and where is NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiacos F.C. played?

The match kicks off at 19:30 local time (CEST) on 11 August 2026, at the Goffert Stadion in Nijmegen, Netherlands. It is the second leg of their Champions League third qualifying round tie, with the aggregate score level at 0-0.

Can Olympiacos F.C. pull off an upset against NEC Nijmegen?

Olympiacos are actually the favourites here, priced at 2.55, so this is less an upset and more the expected outcome. With their probable XI largely intact, only Yazici absent long-term, they carry a clear structural advantage over a NEC side missing up to nine players through suspension and injury.

Which alternative market offers the best value?

The best alternative value lies with 1.76. Both legs of this tie have the hallmarks of a cagey, low-scoring affair; the first leg produced zero goals despite reasonable shot volumes, and NEC's depleted attack makes a high-scoring second leg unlikely, giving the under market genuine appeal.

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