Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
>Champions League · 3rd Qualifying RoundCrvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Prediction and Odds, Champions League, 11/08/2026
Crvena Zvezda welcome Hapoel Be'er Sheva to the Stadion Rajko Mitić on 11 August 2026, trailing 1-0 on aggregate in the Champions League third qualifying round. The Serbian giants, priced at 1.24, must overturn that deficit to keep their European campaign alive and secure a playoff berth.
Projected final score: 2-0
Crvena Zvezda's structural advantages are hard to ignore here. Playing at Rajko Mitić, they have conceded zero goals across two UCL qualifier appearances this campaign, while Hapoel arrive depleted, missing Biton, João Victor, and suspended Baltaxa. At 1.24, Red Star's 74% implied probability feels well-supported by the evidence.
A 2-0 scoreline reflects Zvezda's attacking output, averaging 3.4 goals per game in their last five, tempered by Hapoel's expected low-block approach to protect their aggregate lead. With both sides carrying defensive concerns but Hapoel likely to sit deep and limit space, 2.64 looks tight, making three total goals the natural ceiling.
Recommended Bets for Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva, Odds Comparison
Match Analysis
Crvena Zvezda enter this second leg at Rajko Mitić as heavy favorites at 1.24, averaging 3.4 goals per game across their last five matches while conceding zero in two Champions League qualifier appearances this campaign.
- 3.4 goals per game in last 5 matches signals relentless attacking output at home.
- 0 goals conceded in two UCL qualifier appearances this campaign, elite defensive solidity.
- First leg was played at a neutral venue in Hungary, meaning Red Star's true home advantage is unleashed now.
- Hapoel conceded 10 goals in 5 matches before the first leg, exposing a fragile defensive structure.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva arrive at 12.50 needing only a draw to advance, but face a depleted squad with Dan Biton and João Victor confirmed out, Pedro Amador and Djibril Diop doubtful, and Matan Baltaxa suspended.
- 4 key absences across midfield and defense severely limit Hapoel's tactical options.
- Kings Kangwa departed for Panathinaikos before this tie, removing a key creative outlet in midfield.
- Conceding 10 goals in 5 pre-tie matches makes holding a low-block at Rajko Mitić extremely difficult.
Key point: With Over 2.5 odds unavailable, the double chance covering a home win or draw favors Red Star forcing extra time, complementing the outright home win angle at 1.24.
Statistics and Head-to-Head
Form & Statistics: Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Crvena Zvezda
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Recent form
Season statistics (3)
Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
Probabilities & Odds: Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Source : 1xBetMatch Information
Lineups: Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Crvena Zvezda
Starters
- 1 Matheus
- 2 Young-Woo Seol
- 3 Derrick Luckassen
- 4 Strahinja Erakovic
- 5 Nair Tiknizyan
- 6 Mohammad Abu Fani
- 7 Osman Bukari
- 8 Vasilije Kostov
- 9 Mirko Ivanic
- 10 Bruno Duarte
Bench
- Marko Arnautovic
- Kristiyan Balov
- Jay Enem
- Aleksandar Katai
- Milos Veljkovic
- Timi Elsnik
- Nikola Stankovic
- Matej Strika
- Franklin Uchenna
- Muhammed Cham
- Loizos Loizou
- Ivan Gutesa
Absent
- Douglas Owusu (suspended)
- Mahmudu Bajo (suspended)
- Vladimir Lucic (suspended)
- Lazar Jovanovic (suspension)
- Adem Avdić (injury)
- Rade Krunic (injury)
- Rodrigão (suspended)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Starters
- 1 Ofir Marciano
- 2 Guy Mizrahi
- 3 Miguel Vitor
- 4 Itay Rotman
- 5 Pedro Amador
- 6 Niv Yehoshua
- 7 Lucas Ventura
- 8 Eliel Peretz
- 9 Javon East
- 10 Igor Zlatanovic
- 11 Zahi Ahmed
Bench
- Mohamad Kanaan
- Amir Ganah
- Ofir Davidzada
- Roy Levi
- Amit Ohana
- Yoav Koren
- Itay Hazout
- Yoni Stoyanov
- Marco Wolff
- Djibril Diop
- Mohammed Abu Rumi
Absent
- Dan Biton (injury)
- João Victor (injury)
- Matan Baltaxa (Suspension (second yellow card in first leg))
Medium confidence
A 4-2-3-1 versus 4-3-3 contest shapes up at Rajko Mitić, with Crvena Zvezda's double pivot of Krunic and Abu Fani tasked with controlling the tempo against a Hapoel midfield trio that will look to press high and disrupt the hosts' build-up play.
Hapoel's probable XI has been adjusted from their first-leg confirmed side due to a suspension, introducing a slight uncertainty around their attacking shape, while Zahi Ahmed on the left flank and Javon East through the centre remain the Israeli side's primary threats on the counter.
Final thoughts on the predictions for Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Crvena Zvezda's prolific attacking form, defensive solidity at home, and the departure of Kangwa from the Israeli side all point firmly towards a Red Star victory. Trailing by a single goal, the Serbian giants have every tool required to overturn this deficit in front of their supporters. A home win at 1.24 represents the strongest selection from this fixture. Prediction: Crvena Zvezda to win. Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main prediction for Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva?
The pick is a Crvena Zvezda home win at 1.24, backed by 68% confidence. The single most decisive factor is Red Star's blistering attack, averaging 3.4 goals per game across their last five matches, against a Hapoel defence that shipped 10 goals in five outings heading into this tie.
What is the highest odd for Crvena Zvezda to win?
The best home-win price is available at 1.24. For bettors who prefer safer coverage, a double chance backing Crvena Zvezda or a draw is worth considering, as it eliminates the outright away-win risk while still keeping you on the right side of the overwhelming form gap.
Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?
Over 2.5 goals looks the natural lean here, available at 1.44. Crvena Zvezda are averaging 3.4 goals per game in their last five matches, and Red Star must score at least twice to overturn the deficit, making a high-scoring evening at Rajko Mitić very plausible.
When and where is Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva played?
The match kicks off at 20:00 local time (CEST) on 11 August 2026 at Stadion Rajko Mitić in Belgrade, Serbia. The first leg was played at a neutral venue in Hungary, so this is Crvena Zvezda's first genuine home fixture of the tie.
Can Hapoel Be'er Sheva pull off an upset against Crvena Zvezda?
An upset is possible but genuinely difficult. Hapoel arrive at one of Europe's most hostile qualifying atmospheres already holding a 1-0 lead, yet their defence conceded 10 goals in five matches and key figures including Dan Biton and João Victor are unavailable. The 12.50 price reflects how remote their chances of winning this leg outright truly are.
Which alternative market offers the best value?
The most interesting alternative is Over 2.5 goals at 1.44. Crvena Zvezda need to chase the tie from the first whistle, Hapoel's defence has been extremely porous all campaign, and the structural pressure of a knockout second leg strongly favours an open, high-scoring contest.
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