Hansa Rostock
VfB Stuttgart
>DFB Pokal · 1st RoundHansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart: Prediction and Odds, DFB Pokal, 21/08/2026
The Ostseestadion hosts a mouth-watering DFB Pokal first-round clash on 21 August 2026 as third-tier Hansa Rostock welcome defending cup champions VfB Stuttgart. The Bundesliga heavyweights, priced at 1.19 for the away win, carry enormous pedigree into this knockout tie, yet Rostock's history of cup upsets adds genuine tension to proceedings.
Projected final score: 1-2
Stuttgart's Bundesliga pedigree and 75% DFB Pokal win rate over their last 12 cup matches make them clear favourites, and 1.19 reflects that market confidence. Even with eight players sidelined including four defenders, their squad depth still outclasses a 3. Liga side, and their cup experience should prove decisive across 90 minutes.
A tight, competitive scoreline is the most likely outcome here. Hansa Rostock average 2.9 goals at home and have a historical ability to score against top-flight opposition, while Stuttgart's reshuffled backline and poor recent away form across all competitions invite pressure. 1.89 aligns with a match where both sides find the net but Stuttgart edge it.
Match Analysis
VfB Stuttgart enter this DFB Pokal first-round tie as overwhelming favorites at 1.19, backed by a 75% cup win rate across their last 12 DFB Pokal matches and the authority of defending champions with clear Bundesliga-level superiority.
- 75% DFB Pokal win rate across Stuttgart's last 12 cup matches underlines elite knockout pedigree.
- Stuttgart concede just 0.92 goals per game on average in recent DFB Pokal fixtures, showing cup defensive discipline.
- Bundesliga squad depth vastly outclasses Hansa Rostock's 3. Liga roster even with rotation applied.
- Defending champions carry title-holder momentum, historically a significant factor in early-round cup ties.
Hansa Rostock face a steep challenge as 3. Liga hosts priced at 11.50, yet their home record demands respect: undefeated in 12 of their last 15 at Ostseestadion and averaging 2.9 goals scored per home game.
- Stuttgart's class gap at Bundesliga level remains insurmountable for a 3. Liga side in a single-leg cup tie.
- Hansa's defensive departures and squad turnover leave them structurally vulnerable against top-flight attacking quality.
- A 2018 giant-killing is a historical outlier; Stuttgart have since built a far more dominant cup record.
Key point: With Stuttgart's reshuffled backline and Hansa averaging 2.9 home goals, backing both teams to score via 1.89 offers value beyond the straightforward away-win market.
Statistics and Head-to-Head
Form & Statistics: Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart
Hansa Rostock
Season statistics
VfB Stuttgart
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Probabilities & Odds: Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart
Source : StakeMatch Information
Lineups: Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart
Hansa Rostock
Starters
- 1 Luca Unbehaun
- 2 Florian Bohnert
- 3 Florian Carstens
- 4 Niklas Kölle
- 5 Franz Pfanne
- 6 Jonas Dirkner
- 7 Marco Schuster
- 8 Maximilian Krauß
- 9 Benno Dietze
- 10 Bernie Lennemann
- 11 Andreas Voglsammer
Absent
- Vincent Ehouman (injury)
- Maurice Litka (injury)
- Jan Mejdr (injury)
- Leon Reichardt (injury)
- Lukas Wallner (injury)
- Paul Stock (injury)
- Peter Kiedl (injury)
- Emil Holten (injury)
VfB Stuttgart
Starters
- 1 Alexander Nübel
- 2 Ramon Hendriks
- 3 Maximilian Mittelstädt
- 4 Jamie Leweling
- 5 Angelo Stiller
- 6 Chema Andrés
- 7 Chris Führich
- 8 Ermedin Demirovic
- 9 Deniz Undav
- 10 Nikolas Nartey
Absent
- Yannik Keitel (injury)
- Jeff Chabot (injury)
- Josha Vagnoman (injury)
- El Bilal Touré (injury)
- Dan-Axel Zagadou (injury)
- Justin Diehl (injury)
- Dennis Seimen (injury)
- Lorenz Assignon (injury)
Low confidence
Both lineups here carry a speculated tag, drawn from a single source ahead of this DFB Pokal first-round tie, so treat the shapes with appropriate caution. That said, the projected contest pits Hansa Rostock's compact defensive structure against Stuttgart's fluid, possession-minded approach, with Angelo Stiller expected to orchestrate from the centre of the park.
For the Bundesliga visitors, the attacking combination of Ermedin Demirovic and Deniz Undav offers genuine quality against second-division opposition, and Stuttgart will be heavy favourites to progress regardless of which exact XI takes the field. Rostock's Andreas Voglsammer leads the home threat, though the gulf in class between these sides is considerable.
Final thoughts on the predictions for Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart
Stuttgart's Bundesliga pedigree, their status as defending DFB Pokal champions, and a 75% cup win rate across recent knockout fixtures make them the clear pick here. Hansa Rostock's strong home form at the Ostseestadion adds a layer of resistance, but the class gap between the third tier and the top flight is too wide to ignore. The away win at 1.19 remains the most logical selection for this encounter.
Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main prediction for Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart?
Away win for VfB Stuttgart is the call here, backed at 1.19, with the decisive factor being Stuttgart's Bundesliga-level squad depth simply outclassing a 3. Liga side even with eight defenders sidelined and a reshuffled backline.
What is the highest odd for Hansa Rostock to win?
The best available price on a Hansa Rostock victory is 11.50, reflecting how unlikely the market considers a home upset. Punters seeking safer coverage can explore the double chance combining Hansa and the draw in words, though the value at those reduced returns is limited.
Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?
Hansa Rostock average 2.9 goals per game at home, suggesting an open contest. However, Stuttgart's cup pedigree, conceding fewer than one goal per game across their last 12 DFB Pokal matches, points towards a tighter affair. The lean here is 2.66, with Stuttgart likely to control the tempo.
When and where is Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart played?
The match kicks off on Friday, 21 August 2026 at 20:45 local time (CEST) at the Ostseestadion in Rostock, Germany.
Can VfB Stuttgart pull off an upset against Hansa Rostock?
Hansa Rostock are the underdogs here, and at 11.50 the market prices their chances as a long shot. Undefeated in 12 of their last 15 home fixtures and with Stuttgart's defence threadbare, an upset is genuinely possible. The 2018 DFB Pokal elimination of Stuttgart is a reminder: cup football respects no hierarchy.
Which alternative market offers the best value?
The most interesting alternative market is Both Teams to Score: No, available at 1.75. Stuttgart's cup defensive record of just 0.92 goals conceded per game across 12 matches suggests they are well-drilled at shutting out lower-league opposition, making a clean sheet a realistic and value-laden proposition.
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